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Serie A · Regular Season - 7 October 17, 2026 18:00 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Bologna
#13 · 8 pts
1 – 3
Final score
Inter
#2 · 22 pts
Tommaso Pobega (ast. Juan Miranda) 10'
44' (ast. Nicolò Barella) Marcus Thuram
69' (ast. Piotr Zieliński) Carlos Augusto
83' (ast. Carlos Augusto) Ange-Yoan Bonny
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 44% win probability (draw 29%, Bologna 26%). The final result was Bologna 1–3 Inter. In 3 previous meetings, Bologna have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Inter.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
8
0.98
Actual xG
3.41
5
Saves
3
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
7
12
Tackles
10
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Tommaso Pobega · ast. Juan Miranda
10'
↕ Roberto Piccoli / Jay Enem
30'
Arthur Theate
34'
35'
Pio Esposito
44'
ast. Nicolò Barella · Marcus Thuram⚽
Tommaso Pobega
57'
58'
Ange-Yoan Bonny / Pio Esposito ↕
61'
Marcus Thuram
↕ Arthur Theate / Eivind Helland
63'
69'
Carlos Augusto / Federico Dimarco ↕
69'
Andy Diouf / Luis Henrique ↕
69'
ast. Piotr Zieliński · Carlos Augusto⚽
Juan Miranda
71'
Federico Bernardeschi
72'
↕ Nicolo Cambiaghi / Artem Dovbyk
76'
↕ Tommaso Pobega / Nikola Moro
76'
79'
Carlos Augusto
79'
Hakan Çalhanoğlu / Piotr Zieliński ↕
79'
Henrikh Mkhitaryan / Marcus Thuram ↕
83'
ast. Carlos Augusto · Ange-Yoan Bonny⚽
Pre-match prediction
26.32%
Bologna
29.48%
X
44.21%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter) 44.21% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bologna
0.73
0.98
+0.25
Inter
1.30
3.41
+2.11
Inter dominated by xG (3.41 vs 0.98). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Bologna Bologna 3-4-2-1
1 Ł. Skorupski Ł. Skorupski G 6.69
3 A. Theate A. Theate 63' D 5.84
16 N. Casale N. Casale D 6.19
36 M. Darmian M. Darmian D 6.39
33 Juan Miranda Juan Miranda 1 👟 M 6.45
4 T. Pobega T. Pobega 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.66
19 L. Ferguson L. Ferguson M 6.46
20 N. Zortea N. Zortea M 5.18
28 N. Cambiaghi N. Cambiaghi 76' M 6.05
10 F. Bernardeschi F. Bernardeschi M 6.10
91 R. Piccoli R. Piccoli 30' F 6.23
Bench
9 A. Dovbyk A. Dovbyk 14' F 6.30
5 E. Helland E. Helland 27' D 5.98
22 J. Enem J. Enem 60' F 6.28
21 J. Odgaard J. Odgaard F 0.00
29 L. De Silvestri L. De Silvestri D 0.00
8 M. Amondarain M. Amondarain M 0.00
18 M. Libra M. Libra M 0.00
25 M. Pessina M. Pessina G 0.00
41 M. Vitík M. Vitík D 0.00
6 N. Moro N. Moro 14' M 5.81
17 O. El Azzouzi O. El Azzouzi M 0.00
23 R. Alhassane R. Alhassane D 0.00
11 S. Mbangula S. Mbangula F 0.00
14 T. Heggem T. Heggem D 0.00
72 U. Happonen U. Happonen G 0.00
Inter Inter 3-5-2
1 Josep Martínez Josep Martínez G 7.02
95 A. Bastoni A. Bastoni D 6.86
25 M. Akanji M. Akanji D 7.54
31 Y. Bisseck Y. Bisseck D 6.68
32 F. Dimarco F. Dimarco 69' M 6.74
8 P. Sučić P. Sučić M 7.20
7 P. Zieliński P. Zieliński 1 👟 79' M 7.70
23 N. Barella N. Barella 1 👟 M 7.70
11 Luis Henrique Luis Henrique 69' M 6.57
94 F. Esposito F. Esposito 58' F 6.34
9 M. Thuram M. Thuram 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.56
Bench
14 A. Bonny A. Bonny 1 ⚽ 32' F 7.34
17 A. Diouf A. Diouf 21' M 6.18
5 A. Stanković A. Stanković M 0.00
30 Carlos Augusto Carlos Augusto 1 ⚽ 1 👟 21' D 7.39
99 D. Spence D. Spence D 0.00
20 H. Çalhanoğlu H. Çalhanoğlu 11' M 6.36
22 H. Mkhitaryan H. Mkhitaryan 11' M 6.31
49 I. Provedel I. Provedel G 0.00
46 L. Bovio L. Bovio D 0.00
48 M. Mosconi M. Mosconi F 0.00
12 R. Di Gennaro R. Di Gennaro G 0.00
Best on the pitch
N. Barella
N. Barella
M · Inter
7.70
1 👟
3 shots · 71 pass
P. Zieliński
P. Zieliński
M · Inter
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 61 pass
T. Pobega
T. Pobega
M · Bologna
7.66
1 ⚽
3 shots · 24 pass
M. Thuram
M. Thuram
F · Inter
7.56
1 ⚽
2 shots · 18 pass
M. Akanji
M. Akanji
D · Inter
7.54
· 75 pass
Carlos Augusto
Carlos Augusto
D · Inter
7.39
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 16 pass
Bologna Bologna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ł. Skorupski G 90 6.69 — — 0 31 18% 0 — —
A. Theate D 63 5.84 — — 1 36 29% 0 1 —
N. Casale D 90 6.19 — — 0 27 23% 2 — —
M. Darmian D 90 6.39 — — 0 30 27% 1 — —
Juan Miranda M 90 6.45 — 1 0 36 29% 2 1 —
T. Pobega M 76 7.66 1 — 3 24 19% 3 1 —
L. Ferguson M 90 6.46 — — 0 60 57% 0 — —
N. Zortea M 90 5.18 — — 2 23 15% 0 — —
N. Cambiaghi M 76 6.05 — — 2 14 12% 2 — —
F. Bernardeschi M 90 6.10 — — 2 31 24% 0 1 —
R. Piccoli F 30 6.23 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
A. Dovbyk F 14 6.30 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
E. Helland D 27 5.98 — — 0 20 19% 1 — —
J. Enem F 60 6.28 — — 1 8 5% 1 — —
N. Moro M 14 5.81 — — 0 19 18% 0 — —
Inter Inter — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Josep Martínez G 90 7.02 — — 0 31 29% 0 — —
A. Bastoni D 90 6.86 — — 0 91 83% 2 — —
M. Akanji D 90 7.54 — — 0 75 75% 4 — —
Y. Bisseck D 90 6.68 — — 0 87 83% 0 — —
F. Dimarco M 69 6.74 — — 1 42 32% 0 — —
P. Sučić M 90 7.20 — — 3 80 75% 1 — —
P. Zieliński M 79 7.70 — 1 1 61 56% 0 — —
N. Barella M 90 7.70 — 1 3 71 62% 0 — —
Luis Henrique M 69 6.57 — — 2 51 46% 0 — —
F. Esposito F 58 6.34 — — 1 15 12% 0 1 —
M. Thuram F 79 7.56 1 — 2 18 14% 2 1 —
A. Bonny F 32 7.34 1 — 3 9 9% 0 — —
A. Diouf M 21 6.18 — — 0 10 9% 0 — —
Carlos Augusto D 21 7.39 1 1 1 16 15% 0 1 —
H. Çalhanoğlu M 11 6.36 — — 0 15 14% 1 — —
H. Mkhitaryan M 11 6.31 — — 0 11 10% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bologna vs Inter?
The final score was Bologna 1–3 Inter.
What did the model predict before Bologna vs Inter?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Bologna win, 29% to a draw, and 44% to an Inter win.