The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 40% win probability (draw 31%, Lazio 27%). The final result was Bologna 0–2 Lazio. In 3 previous meetings, Bologna have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Lazio.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
5
1.35
Actual xG
1.60
54%
Possession
46%
2
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
40.91%
Bologna
31.68%
X
27.41%
Lazio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lazio)
27.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
1.35
+0.33
0.88
1.60
+0.72
xG dominance was balanced (1.35 – 1.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bologna vs Lazio?
The final score was Bologna 0–2 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Bologna vs Lazio?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Bologna win, 31% to a draw, and 27% to an Lazio win.