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Serie A · Regular Season - 1 August 24, 2026 18:30
#13 · 8 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#1 · 25 pts
59' (ast. B. Dia) D. Frattesi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Lazio 32%). The final result was Bologna 0–1 Lazio. In 3 previous meetings, Bologna have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Lazio.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
1.70
Actual xG
0.58
2
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
8
Corners
6
14
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
19'
R. Floriani / A. Marusic ↕
22'
R. Floriani
34'
B. Dia
O. El Azzouzi
34'
N. Cambiaghi
41'
44'
M. Cancellieri
46'
G. Isaksen / M. Cancellieri ↕
54'
D. Frattesi / F. Dele-Bashiru ↕
59'
ast. B. Dia · D. Frattesi⚽
↕ R. Orsolini / F. Bernardeschi
60'
↕ R. Piccoli / A. Dovbyk
60'
↕ N. Cambiaghi / J. Rowe
60'
↕ N. Zortea / E. Holm
69'
78'
N. Tavares / A. Pedraza ↕
79'
T. Noslin / B. Dia ↕
↕ O. El Azzouzi / M. Amondarain
79'
J. Odgaard
83'
T. Heggem
83'
90'+3
O. Provstgaard
Pre-match prediction
34.12%
Bologna
33.04%
X
32.84%
Lazio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lazio) 32.84% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bologna
1.62
1.70
+0.08
Lazio
1.55
0.58
-0.97
Bologna dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.58). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Bologna Bologna 4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Skorupski Ł. Skorupski G 6.00
33 Juan Miranda Juan Miranda D 6.60
14 T. Heggem T. Heggem D 6.90
5 E. Helland E. Helland D 6.60
20 N. Zortea N. Zortea 69' D 6.70
19 L. Ferguson L. Ferguson M 7.70
17 O. El Azzouzi O. El Azzouzi 79' M 6.90
28 N. Cambiaghi N. Cambiaghi 60' M 6.50
21 J. Odgaard J. Odgaard M 6.50
7 R. Orsolini R. Orsolini 60' M 6.90
91 R. Piccoli R. Piccoli 60' F 6.90
Bench
9 A. Dovbyk A. Dovbyk 37' F 6.20
2 E. Holm E. Holm 28' D 6.90
10 F. Bernardeschi F. Bernardeschi 37' F 7.50
11 J. Rowe J. Rowe 37' F 6.90
29 L. De Silvestri L. De Silvestri D
8 M. Amondarain M. Amondarain 18' M 6.20
18 M. Libra M. Libra D
25 M. Pessina M. Pessina G
41 M. Vitík M. Vitík D
6 N. Moro N. Moro M
23 R. Alhassane R. Alhassane D
4 T. Pobega T. Pobega M
72 U. Happonen U. Happonen G
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
35 C. Mandas C. Mandas G 8.60
23 Pedraza Pedraza 78' D 6.30
25 O. Provstgaard O. Provstgaard D 6.90
5 D. Doekhi D. Doekhi D 7.00
77 Adam Marušić Adam Marušić 19' D 6.70
24 K. Taylor K. Taylor M 6.90
6 Nicolò Rovella Nicolò Rovella M 7.30
7 F. Dele-Bashiru F. Dele-Bashiru 54' M 6.60
10 M. Zaccagni M. Zaccagni F 6.60
19 B. Dia B. Dia 1 👟 79' F 6.70
22 M. Cancellieri M. Cancellieri 45' F 6.20
Bench
28 A. Przyborek A. Przyborek M
13 A. Romagnoli A. Romagnoli D
47 Davide Renzetti Davide Renzetti G
16 D. Frattesi D. Frattesi 1 ⚽ 43' M 8.50
40 E. Motta E. Motta G
11 G. Isaksen G. Isaksen 52' F 6.30
29 M. Lazzari M. Lazzari M
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares 19' D 6.90
20 P. Ratkov P. Ratkov F
21 R. Belahyane R. Belahyane M
15 R. Floriani Mussolini R. Floriani Mussolini 78' D 7.70
33 Ricardo Bordon Ricardo Bordon D
14 T. Noslin T. Noslin 18' F 6.50
71 V. Farcomeni V. Farcomeni M
Best on the pitch
C. Mandas
C. Mandas
G · Lazio
8.60
· 33 pass
D. Frattesi
D. Frattesi
M · Lazio
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
L. Ferguson
L. Ferguson
M · Bologna
7.70
1 shots · 84 pass
R. Floriani Mussolini
R. Floriani Mussolini
D · Lazio
7.70
1 shots · 24 pass
F. Bernardeschi
F. Bernardeschi
F · Bologna
7.50
2 shots · 7 pass
Nicolò Rovella
Nicolò Rovella
M · Lazio
7.30
1 shots · 47 pass
Bologna Bologna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ł. Skorupski G 97 6.00 — — — 23 20% — — —
Juan Miranda D 97 6.60 — — — 35 29% 2 — —
T. Heggem D 97 6.90 — — — 67 64% — 1 —
E. Helland D 97 6.60 — — 2 69 66% 2 — —
N. Zortea D 69 6.70 — — — 24 22% 3 — —
L. Ferguson M 97 7.70 — — 1 84 77% 2 — —
O. El Azzouzi M 79 6.90 — — — 54 51% 1 1 —
N. Cambiaghi M 60 6.50 — — 1 13 11% 4 1 —
J. Odgaard M 97 6.50 — — 2 22 17% — 1 —
R. Orsolini M 60 6.90 — — — 8 6% — — —
R. Piccoli F 60 6.90 — — 1 6 6% — — —
A. Dovbyk F 37 6.20 — — — 1 1% — — —
E. Holm D 28 6.90 — — — 9 7% — — —
F. Bernardeschi F 37 7.50 — — 2 7 7% — — —
J. Rowe F 37 6.90 — — 1 10 7% — — —
M. Amondarain M 18 6.20 — — — 14 12% — — —
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Mandas G 97 8.60 — — — 33 20% — — —
Pedraza D 78 6.30 — — — 11 9% — — —
O. Provstgaard D 97 6.90 — — — 38 31% 1 1 —
D. Doekhi D 97 7.00 — — — 35 34% — — —
Adam Marušić D 19 6.70 — — — 10 7% 1 — —
K. Taylor M 97 6.90 — — — 21 19% 1 — —
Nicolò Rovella M 97 7.30 — — 1 47 41% 2 — —
F. Dele-Bashiru M 54 6.60 — — — 21 19% — — —
M. Zaccagni F 97 6.60 — — 2 17 14% 2 — —
B. Dia F 79 6.70 — 1 — 22 20% — 1 —
M. Cancellieri F 45 6.20 — — 2 12 11% 1 1 —
D. Frattesi M 43 8.50 1 — 1 5 5% 1 — —
G. Isaksen F 52 6.30 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
Nuno Tavares D 19 6.90 — — — 5 2% 4 — —
R. Floriani Mussolini D 78 7.70 — — 1 24 22% 1 1 —
T. Noslin F 18 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bologna vs Lazio?
The final score was Bologna 0–1 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Bologna vs Lazio?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Bologna win, 33% to a draw, and 32% to an Lazio win.