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Serie A · Regular Season - 1 August 24, 2026 18:30
Bologna
#16 · 1 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Lazio
#1 · 10 pts
59' (ast. B. Dia) D. Frattesi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Lazio 32%). The final result was Bologna 0–1 Lazio. In 3 previous meetings, Bologna have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Lazio.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
1.70
Actual xG
0.58
2
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
8
Corners
6
14
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
19'
R. Floriani / A. Marusic ↕
22'
R. Floriani
34'
B. Dia
O. El Azzouzi
34'
N. Cambiaghi
41'
44'
M. Cancellieri
46'
G. Isaksen / M. Cancellieri ↕
54'
D. Frattesi / F. Dele-Bashiru ↕
59'
ast. B. Dia · D. Frattesi⚽
↕ R. Orsolini / F. Bernardeschi
60'
↕ R. Piccoli / A. Dovbyk
60'
↕ N. Cambiaghi / J. Rowe
60'
↕ N. Zortea / E. Holm
69'
78'
N. Tavares / A. Pedraza ↕
79'
T. Noslin / B. Dia ↕
↕ O. El Azzouzi / M. Amondarain
79'
J. Odgaard
83'
T. Heggem
83'
90'+3
O. Provstgaard
Pre-match prediction
34.12%
Bologna
33.04%
X
32.84%
Lazio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lazio) 32.84% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bologna
1.62
1.70
+0.08
Lazio
1.55
0.58
-0.97
Bologna dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.58). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 4 10
2 AS Roma AS Roma 3 9
3 Inter Inter 3 9
4 AC Milan AC Milan 4 8
5 Como Como 3 7
6 Juventus Juventus 3 7
7 Frosinone Frosinone 4 7
8 Atalanta Atalanta 3 6
9 Cagliari Cagliari 3 6
10 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3 4
11 Udinese Udinese 3 4
12 Napoli Napoli 3 3
13 Torino Torino 3 3
14 Lecce Lecce 3 3
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 4 3
16 Bologna Bologna 3 1
17 Parma Parma 3 1
18 Monza Monza 3 1
19 Genoa Genoa 4 1
20 Venezia Venezia 4 0
Lineups
Bologna Bologna 4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Skorupski Ł. Skorupski G 6.00
33 Juan Miranda Juan Miranda D 6.60
14 T. Heggem T. Heggem D 6.90
5 E. Helland E. Helland D 6.60
20 N. Zortea N. Zortea 69' D 6.70
19 L. Ferguson L. Ferguson M 7.70
17 Oussama El Azzouzi Oussama El Azzouzi 79' M 6.90
28 N. Cambiaghi N. Cambiaghi 60' M 6.50
21 J. Odgaard J. Odgaard M 6.50
7 R. Orsolini R. Orsolini 60' M 6.90
91 R. Piccoli R. Piccoli 60' F 6.90
Bench
9 A. Dovbyk A. Dovbyk 37' F 6.20
2 E. Holm E. Holm 28' D 6.90
10 F. Bernardeschi F. Bernardeschi 37' F 7.50
11 J. Rowe J. Rowe 37' F 6.90
29 L. De Silvestri L. De Silvestri D
8 M. Amondarain M. Amondarain 18' M 6.20
18 M. Libra M. Libra D
25 M. Pessina M. Pessina G
41 M. Vitík M. Vitík D
6 N. Moro N. Moro M
23 R. Alhassane R. Alhassane D
4 T. Pobega T. Pobega M
72 U. Happonen U. Happonen G
Lazio Lazio 4-3-3
35 Christos Mandas Christos Mandas G 8.60
23 Alfonso Pedraza Alfonso Pedraza 78' D 6.30
25 Oliver Provstgaard Oliver Provstgaard D 6.90
5 D. Doekhi D. Doekhi D 7.00
77 Adam Marušić Adam Marušić 19' D 6.70
24 Kenneth Taylor Kenneth Taylor M 6.90
6 Nicolò Rovella Nicolò Rovella M 7.30
7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 54' M 6.60
10 Mattia Zaccagni Mattia Zaccagni F 6.60
19 B. Dia B. Dia 1 👟 79' F 6.70
22 Matteo Cancellieri Matteo Cancellieri 45' F 6.20
Bench
28 Adrian Przyborek Adrian Przyborek M
13 A. Romagnoli A. Romagnoli D
16 Davide Frattesi Davide Frattesi 1 ⚽ 43' M 8.50
47 Davide Renzetti Davide Renzetti G
40 Edoardo Motta Edoardo Motta G
11 Gustav Isaksen Gustav Isaksen 52' F 6.30
29 Manuel Lazzari Manuel Lazzari M
17 Nuno Tavares Nuno Tavares 19' D 6.90
20 P. Ratkov P. Ratkov F
21 Reda Belahyane Reda Belahyane M
33 Ricardo Bordon Ricardo Bordon D
15 Romano Floriani Mussolini Romano Floriani Mussolini 78' D 7.70
14 Tijjani Noslin Tijjani Noslin 18' F 6.50
71 Valerio Farcomeni Valerio Farcomeni M
Best on the pitch
Christos Mandas
Christos Mandas
G · Lazio
8.60
· 33 pass
Davide Frattesi
Davide Frattesi
M · Lazio
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
L. Ferguson
L. Ferguson
M · Bologna
7.70
1 shots · 84 pass
Romano Floriani Mussolini
Romano Floriani Mussolini
D · Lazio
7.70
1 shots · 24 pass
F. Bernardeschi
F. Bernardeschi
F · Bologna
7.50
2 shots · 7 pass
Nicolò Rovella
Nicolò Rovella
M · Lazio
7.30
1 shots · 47 pass
Bologna Bologna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ł. Skorupski G 97 6.00 — — — 23 20% — — —
Juan Miranda D 97 6.60 — — — 35 29% 2 — —
T. Heggem D 97 6.90 — — — 67 64% — 1 —
E. Helland D 97 6.60 — — 2 69 66% 2 — —
N. Zortea D 69 6.70 — — — 24 22% 3 — —
L. Ferguson M 97 7.70 — — 1 84 77% 2 — —
Oussama El Azzouzi M 79 6.90 — — — 54 51% 1 1 —
N. Cambiaghi M 60 6.50 — — 1 13 11% 4 1 —
J. Odgaard M 97 6.50 — — 2 22 17% — 1 —
R. Orsolini M 60 6.90 — — — 8 6% — — —
R. Piccoli F 60 6.90 — — 1 6 6% — — —
A. Dovbyk F 37 6.20 — — — 1 1% — — —
E. Holm D 28 6.90 — — — 9 7% — — —
F. Bernardeschi F 37 7.50 — — 2 7 7% — — —
J. Rowe F 37 6.90 — — 1 10 7% — — —
M. Amondarain M 18 6.20 — — — 14 12% — — —
Lazio Lazio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Christos Mandas G 97 8.60 — — — 33 20% — — —
Alfonso Pedraza D 78 6.30 — — — 11 9% — — —
Oliver Provstgaard D 97 6.90 — — — 38 31% 1 1 —
D. Doekhi D 97 7.00 — — — 35 34% — — —
Adam Marušić D 19 6.70 — — — 10 7% 1 — —
Kenneth Taylor M 97 6.90 — — — 21 19% 1 — —
Nicolò Rovella M 97 7.30 — — 1 47 41% 2 — —
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru M 54 6.60 — — — 21 19% — — —
Mattia Zaccagni F 97 6.60 — — 2 17 14% 2 — —
B. Dia F 79 6.70 — 1 — 22 20% — 1 —
Matteo Cancellieri F 45 6.20 — — 2 12 11% 1 1 —
Davide Frattesi M 43 8.50 1 — 1 5 5% 1 — —
Gustav Isaksen F 52 6.30 — — 1 12 10% 1 — —
Nuno Tavares D 19 6.90 — — — 5 2% 4 — —
Romano Floriani Mussolini D 78 7.70 — — 1 24 22% 1 1 —
Tijjani Noslin F 18 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bologna vs Lazio?
The final score was Bologna 0–1 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Bologna vs Lazio?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Bologna win, 33% to a draw, and 32% to an Lazio win.