Serie A
· Regular Season - 1
August 24, 2026 18:30
59'
(ast. B. Dia)
D. Frattesi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Lazio 32%). The final result was Bologna 0–1 Lazio. In 3 previous meetings, Bologna have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Lazio.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
1.70
Actual xG
0.58
2
Saves
4
59%
Possession
41%
8
Corners
6
14
Tackles
15
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
19'
R. Floriani
/
A. Marusic
22'
R. Floriani
34'
B. Dia
O. El Azzouzi
34'
N. Cambiaghi
41'
44'
M. Cancellieri
46'
G. Isaksen
/
M. Cancellieri
54'
D. Frattesi
/
F. Dele-Bashiru
59'
ast. B. Dia ·
D. Frattesi⚽
R. Orsolini
/ F. Bernardeschi
60'
R. Piccoli
/ A. Dovbyk
60'
N. Cambiaghi
/ J. Rowe
60'
N. Zortea
/ E. Holm
69'
78'
N. Tavares
/
A. Pedraza
79'
T. Noslin
/
B. Dia
O. El Azzouzi
/ M. Amondarain
79'
J. Odgaard
83'
T. Heggem
83'
90'+3
O. Provstgaard
Pre-match prediction
34.12%
Bologna
33.04%
X
32.84%
Lazio ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lazio)
32.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
1.70
+0.08
1.55
0.58
-0.97
Bologna dominated by xG (1.70 vs 0.58).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ł. Skorupski
G
Ł. Skorupski
G
33
Juan Miranda
D
Juan Miranda
D
14
T. Heggem
D
T. Heggem
D
5
E. Helland
D
E. Helland
D
20
N. Zortea
69'
D
N. Zortea
69'
D
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
17
O. El Azzouzi
79'
M
O. El Azzouzi
79'
M
28
N. Cambiaghi
60'
M
N. Cambiaghi
60'
M
21
J. Odgaard
M
J. Odgaard
M
7
R. Orsolini
60'
M
R. Orsolini
60'
M
91
R. Piccoli
60'
F
R. Piccoli
60'
F
Bench
9
A. Dovbyk
37'
F
A. Dovbyk
37'
F
2
E. Holm
28'
D
E. Holm
28'
D
10
F. Bernardeschi
37'
F
F. Bernardeschi
37'
F
11
J. Rowe
37'
F
J. Rowe
37'
F
29
L. De Silvestri
D
L. De Silvestri
D
8
M. Amondarain
18'
M
M. Amondarain
18'
M
18
M. Libra
D
M. Libra
D
25
M. Pessina
G
M. Pessina
G
41
M. Vitík
D
M. Vitík
D
6
N. Moro
M
N. Moro
M
23
R. Alhassane
D
R. Alhassane
D
4
T. Pobega
M
T. Pobega
M
72
U. Happonen
G
U. Happonen
G
35
C. Mandas
G
C. Mandas
G
23
Pedraza
78'
D
Pedraza
78'
D
25
O. Provstgaard
D
O. Provstgaard
D
5
D. Doekhi
D
D. Doekhi
D
77
Adam Marušić
19'
D
Adam Marušić
19'
D
24
K. Taylor
M
K. Taylor
M
6
Nicolò Rovella
M
Nicolò Rovella
M
7
F. Dele-Bashiru
54'
M
F. Dele-Bashiru
54'
M
10
M. Zaccagni
F
M. Zaccagni
F
19
B. Dia
1 👟
79'
F
B. Dia
1 👟
79'
F
22
M. Cancellieri
45'
F
M. Cancellieri
45'
F
Bench
28
A. Przyborek
M
A. Przyborek
M
13
A. Romagnoli
D
A. Romagnoli
D
47
Davide Renzetti
G
Davide Renzetti
G
16
D. Frattesi
1 ⚽
43'
M
D. Frattesi
1 ⚽
43'
M
40
E. Motta
G
E. Motta
G
11
G. Isaksen
52'
F
G. Isaksen
52'
F
29
M. Lazzari
M
M. Lazzari
M
17
Nuno Tavares
19'
D
Nuno Tavares
19'
D
20
P. Ratkov
F
P. Ratkov
F
21
R. Belahyane
M
R. Belahyane
M
15
R. Floriani Mussolini
78'
D
R. Floriani Mussolini
78'
D
33
Ricardo Bordon
D
Ricardo Bordon
D
14
T. Noslin
18'
F
T. Noslin
18'
F
71
V. Farcomeni
M
V. Farcomeni
M
Best on the pitch
C. Mandas
G · Lazio
8.60
· 33 pass
D. Frattesi
M · Lazio
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
L. Ferguson
M · Bologna
7.70
1 shots
· 84 pass
R. Floriani Mussolini
D · Lazio
7.70
1 shots
· 24 pass
F. Bernardeschi
F · Bologna
7.50
2 shots
· 7 pass
Nicolò Rovella
M · Lazio
7.30
1 shots
· 47 pass
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ł. Skorupski | G | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Heggem | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 67 | 64% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Helland | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 69 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Zortea | D | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 84 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| O. El Azzouzi | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Cambiaghi | M | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Odgaard | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Orsolini | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Piccoli | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Dovbyk | F | 37 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| E. Holm | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| F. Bernardeschi | F | 37 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Rowe | F | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
Lazio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Mandas | G | 97 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Pedraza | D | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| O. Provstgaard | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Doekhi | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Adam Marušić | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Taylor | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolò Rovella | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Dele-Bashiru | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| M. Zaccagni | F | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Dia | F | 79 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Cancellieri | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Frattesi | M | 43 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Isaksen | F | 52 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Floriani Mussolini | D | 78 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Noslin | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bologna vs Lazio?
The final score was Bologna 0–1 Lazio.
What did the model predict before Bologna vs Lazio?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Bologna win, 33% to a draw, and 32% to an Lazio win.