← Serie A
Serie A · Regular Season - 32 April 12, 2026 20:00
Bologna
#8 · 52 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Lecce
#17 · 32 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Bologna
R. Freuler 26'
R. Orsolini (ast. F. Bernardeschi) 90'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bologna a 57% win probability (draw 27%, Lecce 14%). The final result was Bologna 2–0 Lecce. In 1 previous meetings, Bologna have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Lecce.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
1
2.19
Actual xG
0.32
1
Saves
2
64%
Possession
36%
8
Corners
6
11
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Freuler
26'
36'
Oumar Ngom
38'
Jamil Siebert
46'
O. Gandelman / O. Ngom ↕
46'
A. Gallo / C. Ndaba ↕
64'
K. Ndri / L. Banda ↕
64'
W. Cheddira / N. Stulic ↕
↕ Joao Mario / N. Zortea
66'
↕ N. Cambiaghi / J. Rowe
74'
↕ S. Sohm / T. Pobega
74'
83'
A. Sala / S. Pierotti ↕
↕ N. Moro / F. Bernardeschi
85'
↕ S. Castro / J. Odgaard
85'
⚽R. Orsolini · ast. F. Bernardeschi
90'
Pre-match prediction
57.81%
Bologna ←
27.25%
X
14.94%
Lecce
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bologna) 57.81% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bologna
1.42
2.19
+0.77
Lecce
0.60
0.32
-0.28
Bologna dominated by xG (2.19 vs 0.32). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Inter Inter 36 85
2 Napoli Napoli 36 70
3 Juventus Juventus 36 68
4 AC Milan AC Milan 36 67
5 AS Roma AS Roma 36 67
6 Como Como 36 65
7 Atalanta Atalanta 36 58
8 Bologna Bologna 36 52
9 Lazio Lazio 36 51
10 Udinese Udinese 36 50
11 Sassuolo Sassuolo 36 49
12 Torino Torino 36 44
13 Parma Parma 36 42
14 Genoa Genoa 36 41
15 Fiorentina Fiorentina 36 38
16 Cagliari Cagliari 36 37
17 Lecce Lecce 36 32
18 Cremonese Cremonese 36 31
19 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 36 20
20 Pisa Pisa 36 18
Lineups
Bologna Bologna 4-2-3-1
25
G 7.50
33 Juan Miranda Juan Miranda D 7.70
26 Jhon Lucumí Jhon Lucumí D 7.70
16
N. Casale D 7.00
17 João Mário João Mário 66' D 7.30
6 Nikola Moro Nikola Moro 85' M 7.90
8 R. Freuler R. Freuler 1 ⚽ M 7.20
28
N. Cambiaghi 74' M 7.20
23 Simon Sohm Simon Sohm 74' M 7.00
7 Riccardo Orsolini Riccardo Orsolini 1 ⚽ M 8.30
9 S. Castro S. Castro 85' F 6.50
Bench
10 F. Bernardeschi F. Bernardeschi 1 👟 10' F 6.90
13 Federico Ravaglia Federico Ravaglia G
21 Jens Odgaard Jens Odgaard 10' F 6.30
11 J. Rowe J. Rowe 16' F 6.90
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri Lorenzo De Silvestri D
20 Nadir Zortea Nadir Zortea 24' D 6.90
4 Tommaso Pobega Tommaso Pobega 16' M 6.50
Lecce Lecce 4-2-3-1
30
G 6.30
3 Corrie Ndaba Corrie Ndaba 45' D 5.60
5 Jamil Siebert Jamil Siebert D 7.00
44 Tiago Gabriel Tiago Gabriel D 6.50
17 Danilo Veiga Danilo Veiga D 5.90
79 Oumar Ngom Oumar Ngom 45' M 6.70
20 Y. Ramadani Y. Ramadani M 6.60
19 Lameck Banda Lameck Banda 64' M 6.30
29 Lassana Coulibaly Lassana Coulibaly M 6.30
50 Santiago Pierotti Santiago Pierotti 83' M 6.30
9 Nikola Štulić Nikola Štulić 64' F 6.30
Bench
25 Antonino Gallo Antonino Gallo 45' D 6.70
11 N'Dri Konan N'Dri Konan 26' F 6.50
16 Omri Gandelman Omri Gandelman 45' M 6.30
8
S. Fofana M
99 Walid Cheddira Walid Cheddira 26' F 6.70
Best on the pitch
Riccardo Orsolini
Riccardo Orsolini
M · Bologna
8.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
Nikola Moro
Nikola Moro
M · Bologna
7.90
1 shots · 59 pass
Juan Miranda
Juan Miranda
D · Bologna
7.70
· 52 pass
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí
D · Bologna
7.70
· 82 pass
G · Bologna
7.50
· 35 pass
João Mário
João Mário
D · Bologna
7.30
· 24 pass
Bologna Bologna — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 35 26% — — —
Juan Miranda D 90 7.70 — — — 52 40% 3 — —
Jhon Lucumí D 90 7.70 — — — 82 74% 2 — —
N. Casale D 90 7.00 — — 1 61 56% 1 — —
João Mário D 66 7.30 — — — 24 22% 1 — —
Nikola Moro M 85 7.90 — — 1 59 55% 1 — —
R. Freuler M 90 7.20 1 — 1 66 57% — — —
N. Cambiaghi M 74 7.20 — — — 24 20% 2 — —
Simon Sohm M 74 7.00 — — 1 37 33% 1 — —
Riccardo Orsolini M 90 8.30 1 — 3 27 20% — — —
S. Castro F 85 6.50 — — 1 10 8% — — —
F. Bernardeschi F 10 6.90 — 1 — 2 2% — — —
Jens Odgaard F 10 6.30 — — 1 1 — — — —
J. Rowe F 16 6.90 — — — 3 1% — — —
Nadir Zortea D 24 6.90 — — — 4 3% — — —
Tommaso Pobega M 16 6.50 — — — 6 2% — — —
Lecce Lecce — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.30 — — — 39 19% — — —
Corrie Ndaba D 45 5.60 — — — 10 8% — — —
Jamil Siebert D 90 7.00 — — — 28 23% 1 1 —
Tiago Gabriel D 90 6.50 — — — 39 35% 1 — —
Danilo Veiga D 90 5.90 — — — 20 14% 2 — —
Oumar Ngom M 45 6.70 — — — 14 14% 1 1 —
Y. Ramadani M 90 6.60 — — 1 32 24% — — —
Lameck Banda M 64 6.30 — — 1 8 6% — — —
Lassana Coulibaly M 90 6.30 — — 1 18 10% 1 — —
Santiago Pierotti M 83 6.30 — — — 17 11% 4 — —
Nikola Štulić F 64 6.30 — — 1 8 6% — — —
Antonino Gallo D 45 6.70 — — — 11 8% 1 — —
N'Dri Konan F 26 6.50 — — — 5 2% — — —
Omri Gandelman M 45 6.30 — — — 13 6% — — —
Walid Cheddira F 26 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bologna vs Lecce?
The final score was Bologna 2–0 Lecce.
What did the model predict before Bologna vs Lecce?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Bologna win, 27% to a draw, and 14% to an Lecce win.