Bolton 1–0 Cardiff — pre-match prediction — Championship — September 12, 2026

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Championship · Regular Season - 7 September 12, 2026 13:30 Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton

Bolton

#18 · 14 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Cardiff

#16 · 14 pts

Thierry Gale (ast. Thelonius Bair) 90'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolton a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Cardiff 33%). The final result was Bolton 1–0 Cardiff. In 2 previous meetings, Bolton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cardiff.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

41%

Possession

59%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Ben Davies

31'

Kyliane Dong

32'

Samuel Iling

37'

42'

Joel Colwill

↕ Sam Dalby / Thelonius Bair

45'

↕ Samuel Iling / Thierry Gale

45'

54'

Perry Tian Hee Ng

59'

David Turnbull / Joel Colwill ↕

↕ Ruben Rodrigues / Atsuki Ito

64'

74'

C. Ashford / Christopher Willock ↕

↕ Kyliane Dong / Jayden Nelson

75'

Callum Robinson / Yousef Salech ↕

Jayden Nelson

78'

↕ Ethan Erhahon / Ryan Hardie

83'

Thierry Gale

90'+1

90'+2

Ronan Kpakio / Alexander Sean Pablo Robertson ↕

90'+2

Calum Scanlon / Joel Bagan ↕

⚽Thierry Gale · ast. Thelonius Bair

90'

Pre-match prediction

35.41%

Bolton ←

30.86%

33.73%

Cardiff

we assigned to the actual result (Bolton) 35.41% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Bolton

1.59

—

Cardiff

1.48

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	25
2	Swansea	12	23
3	West Ham	12	22
4	Wolves	12	21
5	West Brom	12	21
6	Southampton	12	20
7	Birmingham	12	20
8	QPR	12	20
9	Stoke City	12	20
10	Blackburn	12	18
11	Portsmouth	12	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	16
13	Millwall	12	15
14	Bristol City	12	15
15	Lincoln	12	15
16	Cardiff	12	14
17	Wrexham	12	14
18	Bolton	12	14
19	Charlton	12	14
20	Norwich	12	12
21	Watford	12	11
22	Burnley	12	8
23	Derby	12	7
24	Preston	12	5

Lineups

Bolton 4-2-3-1

G. Bazunu G 8.95

M. Conway D 6.89

B. Davies D 6.76

E. Toal D 7.22

Gaizka Larrazabal D 6.89

E. Erhahon 83' M 6.43

J. Sheehan M 6.67

K. Dong 75' M 6.11

Ruben Rodrigues 64' M 6.59

S. Iling-Junior 45' M 6.50

S. Dalby 45' F 7.06

Bench

A. Famewo D 0.00

A. Ito 26' M 6.61

J. Bonham G 0.00

J. McAtee F 0.00

J. Nelson 15' F 6.33

R. Hardie 7' F 6.45

T. Bair 1 👟 45' F 6.69

T. Gale 1 ⚽ 45' F 7.58

X. Simons M 0.00

Cardiff 4-2-3-1

N. Trott G 7.60

J. Bagan 89' D 7.38

G. Osho D 6.72

K. Bielik D 6.37

P. Ng D 6.17

J. Colwill 59' M 6.07

A. Robertson 89' M 5.90

C. Willock 74' M 6.86

J. Moylan M 5.82

O. Tanner M 6.36

Y. Salech 75' F 6.02

Bench

Cian Ashford 16' F 6.51

C. Robinson 15' F 6.63

C. Scanlon 1' D 6.16

D. Turnbull 31' M 6.30

H. Tyrer G 0.00

M. Turner G 0.00

P. Moreno M 0.00

R. Kpakio 1' D 6.28

R. Tankiewicz M 0.00

Best on the pitch

G. Bazunu

G · Bolton

8.95

· 41 pass

N. Trott

G · Cardiff

7.60

· 51 pass

T. Gale

F · Bolton

7.58

1 ⚽

1 shots · 13 pass

J. Bagan

D · Cardiff

7.38

· 53 pass

E. Toal

D · Bolton

7.22

· 43 pass

S. Dalby

F · Bolton

7.06

· 12 pass

Bolton — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Bazunu	G	90	8.95	—	—	0	41	21%	0	—	—
M. Conway	D	90	6.89	—	—	1	34	24%	9	—	—
B. Davies	D	90	6.76	—	—	0	26	24%	1	1	—
E. Toal	D	90	7.22	—	—	0	43	38%	2	—	—
Gaizka Larrazabal	D	90	6.89	—	—	0	24	19%	3	—	—
E. Erhahon	M	83	6.43	—	—	0	36	30%	4	—	—
J. Sheehan	M	90	6.67	—	—	1	40	35%	0	—	—
K. Dong	M	75	6.11	—	—	1	16	9%	1	1	—
Ruben Rodrigues	M	64	6.59	—	—	1	20	16%	0	—	—
S. Iling-Junior	M	45	6.50	—	—	2	18	12%	0	1	—
S. Dalby	F	45	7.06	—	—	0	12	6%	3	—	—
A. Ito	M	26	6.61	—	—	0	4	3%	2	—	—
J. Nelson	F	15	6.33	—	—	0	6	2%	0	1	—
R. Hardie	F	7	6.45	—	—	0	2	1%	0	—	—
T. Bair	F	45	6.69	—	1	0	4	2%	1	—	—
T. Gale	F	45	7.58	1	—	1	13	8%	2	1	—

Cardiff — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
N. Trott	G	90	7.60	—	—	0	51	44%	0	—	—
J. Bagan	D	89	7.38	—	—	0	53	49%	1	—	—
G. Osho	D	90	6.72	—	—	0	72	68%	1	—	—
K. Bielik	D	90	6.37	—	—	1	89	75%	0	—	—
P. Ng	D	90	6.17	—	—	0	41	27%	4	1	—
J. Colwill	M	59	6.07	—	—	2	18	14%	1	1	—
A. Robertson	M	89	5.90	—	—	1	50	41%	1	—	—
C. Willock	M	74	6.86	—	—	3	19	16%	0	—	—
J. Moylan	M	90	5.82	—	—	1	21	12%	1	—	—
O. Tanner	M	90	6.36	—	—	3	28	19%	3	—	—
Y. Salech	F	75	6.02	—	—	4	11	9%	0	—	—
Cian Ashford	F	16	6.51	—	—	1	4	4%	0	—	—
C. Robinson	F	15	6.63	—	—	1	4	3%	0	—	—
C. Scanlon	D	1	6.16	—	—	0	2	1%	0	—	—
D. Turnbull	M	31	6.30	—	—	0	17	15%	0	—	—
R. Kpakio	D	1	6.28	—	—	0	3	2%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Bolton vs Cardiff?

The final score was Bolton 1–0 Cardiff.

What did the model predict before Bolton vs Cardiff?

The model assigned 35% probability to a Bolton win, 30% to a draw, and 33% to an Cardiff win.