66'
(ast. C. Elder)
B. House
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolton a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Lincoln 32%). The final result was Bolton 0–1 Lincoln. In 2 previous meetings, Bolton have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Lincoln.
Match statistics
21
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
7
69%
Possession
31%
14
Corners
2
9
Tackles
26
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
30'
B. House
A. Famewo
/ G. Larrazabal
61'
S. Iling Junior
/ K. Dong
61'
65'
R. Street
/
F. Draper
66'
ast. C. Elder ·
B. House⚽
T. Gale
/ J. Nelson
71'
J. McAtee
/ R. Hardie
72'
79'
I. Varfolomeev
E. Erhahon
/ D. Watson
80'
80'
T. Olaofe
/
R. Hackett-Fairchild
85'
J. Honohan
/
B. House
85'
T. Bayliss
/
I. Varfolomeev
90'+3
C. McGrandles
Pre-match prediction
34.82%
Bolton
32.76%
X
32.42%
Lincoln ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lincoln)
32.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
—
—
1.12
—
—
Lineups
1
J. Bonham
G
J. Bonham
G
25
M. Conway
D
M. Conway
D
14
A. Famewo
61'
D
A. Famewo
61'
D
3
C. Forino-Joseph
D
C. Forino-Joseph
D
5
L. Brunt
D
L. Brunt
D
21
E. Erhahon
80'
M
E. Erhahon
80'
M
8
J. Sheehan
M
J. Sheehan
M
11
T. Gale
71'
M
T. Gale
71'
M
45
J. McAtee
72'
M
J. McAtee
72'
M
16
S. Iling-Junior
61'
M
S. Iling-Junior
61'
M
10
S. Dalby
F
S. Dalby
F
Bench
6
B. Davies
D
B. Davies
D
12
D. Watson
10'
M
D. Watson
10'
M
18
E. Toal
D
E. Toal
D
22
Gaizka Larrazabal
29'
D
Gaizka Larrazabal
29'
D
31
G. Bazunu
G
G. Bazunu
G
26
J. Nelson
19'
F
J. Nelson
19'
F
7
K. Dong
29'
F
K. Dong
29'
F
39
R. Hardie
18'
F
R. Hardie
18'
F
1
G. Wickens
G
G. Wickens
G
20
C. Elder
1 👟
D
C. Elder
1 👟
D
6
R. Towler
D
R. Towler
D
25
D. Elerewe
D
D. Elerewe
D
3
A. Reach
M
A. Reach
M
14
C. McGrandles
M
C. McGrandles
M
24
I. Varfolomeev
85'
M
I. Varfolomeev
85'
M
16
D. Jefferies
M
D. Jefferies
M
18
B. House
1 ⚽
85'
F
B. House
1 ⚽
85'
F
34
F. Draper
65'
F
F. Draper
65'
F
7
R. Hackett
80'
F
R. Hackett
80'
F
Bench
4
A. Coubiș
D
A. Coubiș
D
29
E. Wheatley
F
E. Wheatley
F
19
I. Olaofe
10'
F
I. Olaofe
10'
F
46
J. Gauci
G
J. Gauci
G
23
J. Honohan
5'
D
J. Honohan
5'
D
10
M. Melia
F
M. Melia
F
17
R. Street
25'
F
R. Street
25'
F
8
T. Bayliss
5'
M
T. Bayliss
5'
M
26
Y. Konak
M
Y. Konak
M
Best on the pitch
G. Wickens
G · Lincoln
8.09
· 36 pass
B. House
F · Lincoln
7.87
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
R. Towler
D · Lincoln
7.51
· 19 pass
D. Elerewe
D · Lincoln
7.41
· 27 pass
M. Conway
D · Bolton
7.38
· 56 pass
C. Forino-Joseph
D · Bolton
7.35
· 54 pass
Bolton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bonham | G | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Conway | D | 90 | 7.38 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Famewo | D | 61 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 37% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Forino-Joseph | D | 90 | 7.35 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Brunt | D | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Erhahon | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 79 | 72% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gale | M | 71 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| J. McAtee | M | 72 | 6.17 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Iling-Junior | M | 61 | 6.06 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Dalby | F | 90 | 6.29 | — | — | 4 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Watson | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | D | 29 | 6.81 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Nelson | F | 19 | 6.74 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Dong | F | 29 | 6.91 | — | — | 4 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Hardie | F | 18 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Lincoln — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Wickens | G | 90 | 8.09 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Elder | D | 90 | 7.29 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Towler | D | 90 | 7.51 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Elerewe | D | 90 | 7.41 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Reach | M | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| C. McGrandles | M | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 29% | 3 | 1 | — |
| I. Varfolomeev | M | 85 | 6.79 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | 6 | 1 | — |
| D. Jefferies | M | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| B. House | F | 85 | 7.87 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 6 | 1 | — |
| F. Draper | F | 65 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Hackett | F | 80 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Olaofe | F | 10 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Honohan | D | 5 | 7.01 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Street | F | 25 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Bayliss | M | 5 | 6.78 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolton vs Lincoln?
The final score was Bolton 0–1 Lincoln.
What did the model predict before Bolton vs Lincoln?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Bolton win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Lincoln win.