Bolton 2–1 Preston — pre-match prediction — Championship — August 15, 2026

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Championship · Regular Season - 1 August 15, 2026 13:30 Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton

Bolton

#17 · 7 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Preston

#24 · 3 pts

S. Dalby 14'

T. Gale (ast. J. McAtee) 25'

86' (ast. A. Vukcevic) J. Erabi

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolton a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Preston 32%). The final result was Bolton 2–1 Preston.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.10

Actual xG

0.81

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

13'

A. McCann

⚽S. Dalby

14'

⚽T. Gale · ast. J. McAtee

25'

27'

J. Thompson

42'

P. Valentin

J. Sheehan

48'

64'

L. Leroy / J. Thompson ↕

64'

J. Erabi / C. Lang ↕

64'

O. Offiah / P. Valentin ↕

↕ J. McAtee / R. Hardie

75'

↕ G. Larrazabal / S. Iling Junior

75'

79'

A. Vukcevic / A. Hughes ↕

79'

T. Small / D. Burgzorg ↕

↕ M. Conway / E. Toal

82'

↕ T. Gale / K. Dong

85'

↕ L. Stephenson / L. Brunt

85'

86'

ast. A. Vukcevic · J. Erabi⚽

C. Forino-Joseph

88'

Pre-match prediction

34.1%

Bolton ←

32.95%

Preston

we assigned to the actual result (Bolton) 34.1% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Bolton

3.40

1.10

-2.3

Preston

0.75

0.81

+0.06

xG dominance was balanced (1.10 – 0.81). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	West Ham	7	14
2	West Brom	7	14
3	QPR	7	12
4	Swansea	6	11
5	Charlton	6	11
6	Middlesbrough	5	10
7	Bristol City	5	10
8	Birmingham	7	10
9	Millwall	5	9
10	Norwich	6	9
11	Sheffield Utd	6	9
12	Wolves	5	8
13	Watford	6	8
14	Southampton	6	7
15	Stoke City	6	7
16	Wrexham	7	7
17	Bolton	7	7
18	Portsmouth	5	6
19	Blackburn	6	5
20	Lincoln	5	5
21	Cardiff	7	4
22	Derby	7	4
23	Burnley	6	3
24	Preston	6	3

Lineups

Bolton 4-2-3-1

J. Bonham G 7.30

M. Conway 82' D 7.20

A. Famewo D 6.60

C. Forino-Joseph D 7.20

Luca Stephenson 85' D 6.30

E. Erhahon M 7.20

J. Sheehan M 7.30

T. Gale 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.20

J. McAtee 1 👟 75' M 6.30

Gaizka Larrazabal 75' M 6.50

S. Dalby 1 ⚽ F 7.50

Bench

B. Davies D

Cyrus Christie D

David Harrington G

D. Watson M

E. Toal 13' D 6.20

K. Dong 10' F 6.30

L. Brunt 10' D 6.50

R. Hardie 20' F 6.50

S. Iling-Junior 20' F 6.20

Preston 4-2-3-1

D. Iversen G 6.50

A. Hughes 79' D 6.60

L. Lindsay D 7.20

J. Storey D 6.20

Pol Valentín 64' D 5.30

J. Thompson 63' M 6.60

Ali McCann M 6.90

D. Burgzorg 79' M 6.30

C. Lang 64' M 6.50

A. Devine M 6.20

Milutin Osmajić F 6.50

Bench

A. Moran M

A. Vukčević 1 👟 16' D 7.20

Ed Nolan D

G. Gryba F

J. Erabi 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.30

L. Leroy 32' M 6.90

L. Nicholls G

O. Offiah 31' D 7.20

T. Small 16' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

T. Gale

M · Bolton

8.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 23 pass

S. Dalby

F · Bolton

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 18 pass

J. Bonham

G · Bolton

7.30

· 43 pass

J. Sheehan

M · Bolton

7.30

4 shots · 59 pass

J. Erabi

F · Preston

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

M. Conway

D · Bolton

7.20

· 44 pass

Bolton — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Bonham	G	95	7.30	—	—	—	43	24%	—	—	—
M. Conway	D	82	7.20	—	—	—	44	37%	1	—	—
A. Famewo	D	95	6.60	—	—	—	42	40%	1	—	—
C. Forino-Joseph	D	95	7.20	—	—	1	38	34%	4	1	—
Luca Stephenson	D	85	6.30	—	—	1	32	25%	—	—	—
E. Erhahon	M	95	7.20	—	—	—	47	40%	1	—	—
J. Sheehan	M	95	7.30	—	—	4	59	43%	2	1	—
T. Gale	M	85	8.20	1	—	3	23	16%	1	—	—
J. McAtee	M	75	6.30	—	1	3	17	12%	1	—	—
Gaizka Larrazabal	M	75	6.50	—	—	1	23	17%	1	—	—
S. Dalby	F	95	7.50	1	—	2	18	11%	1	—	—
E. Toal	D	13	6.20	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
K. Dong	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
L. Brunt	D	10	6.50	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
R. Hardie	F	20	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	1	—	—
S. Iling-Junior	F	20	6.20	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—

Preston — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Iversen	G	95	6.50	—	—	—	41	19%	—	—	—
A. Hughes	D	79	6.60	—	—	—	22	13%	2	—	—
L. Lindsay	D	95	7.20	—	—	2	39	27%	—	—	—
J. Storey	D	95	6.20	—	—	—	46	36%	1	—	—
Pol Valentín	D	64	5.30	—	—	—	13	7%	2	1	—
J. Thompson	M	63	6.60	—	—	—	33	26%	1	1	—
Ali McCann	M	95	6.90	—	—	—	41	37%	4	1	—
D. Burgzorg	M	79	6.30	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
C. Lang	M	64	6.50	—	—	1	11	5%	2	—	—
A. Devine	M	95	6.20	—	—	1	28	21%	1	—	—
Milutin Osmajić	F	95	6.50	—	—	1	9	5%	—	—	—
A. Vukčević	D	16	7.20	—	1	—	6	3%	—	—	—
J. Erabi	F	31	7.30	1	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—
L. Leroy	M	32	6.90	—	—	—	13	9%	1	—	—
O. Offiah	D	31	7.20	—	—	—	11	10%	2	—	—
T. Small	D	16	6.60	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Bolton vs Preston?

The final score was Bolton 2–1 Preston.

What did the model predict before Bolton vs Preston?

The model assigned 34% probability to a Bolton win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Preston win.