Bolton 2–1 Preston — pre-match prediction — Championship — August 15, 2026

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Championship · Regular Season - 1 August 15, 2026 13:30 Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton

Bolton

#18 · 14 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Preston

#24 · 5 pts

S. Dalby 14'

T. Gale (ast. J. McAtee) 25'

86' (ast. A. Vukcevic) J. Erabi

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolton a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Preston 32%). The final result was Bolton 2–1 Preston.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.10

Actual xG

0.81

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

13'

A. McCann

⚽S. Dalby

14'

⚽T. Gale · ast. J. McAtee

25'

27'

J. Thompson

42'

P. Valentin

J. Sheehan

48'

64'

L. Leroy / J. Thompson ↕

64'

J. Erabi / C. Lang ↕

64'

O. Offiah / P. Valentin ↕

↕ J. McAtee / R. Hardie

75'

↕ G. Larrazabal / S. Iling Junior

75'

79'

A. Vukcevic / A. Hughes ↕

79'

T. Small / D. Burgzorg ↕

↕ M. Conway / E. Toal

82'

↕ T. Gale / K. Dong

85'

↕ L. Stephenson / L. Brunt

85'

86'

ast. A. Vukcevic · J. Erabi⚽

C. Forino-Joseph

88'

Pre-match prediction

34.1%

Bolton ←

32.95%

Preston

we assigned to the actual result (Bolton) 34.1% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Bolton

3.40

1.10

-2.3

Preston

0.75

0.81

+0.06

xG dominance was balanced (1.10 – 0.81). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	25
2	Swansea	12	23
3	West Ham	12	22
4	Wolves	12	21
5	West Brom	12	21
6	Southampton	12	20
7	Birmingham	12	20
8	QPR	12	20
9	Stoke City	12	20
10	Blackburn	12	18
11	Portsmouth	12	18
12	Sheffield Utd	12	16
13	Millwall	12	15
14	Bristol City	12	15
15	Lincoln	12	15
16	Cardiff	12	14
17	Wrexham	12	14
18	Bolton	12	14
19	Charlton	12	14
20	Norwich	12	12
21	Watford	12	11
22	Burnley	12	8
23	Derby	12	7
24	Preston	12	5

Lineups

Bolton 4-2-3-1

J. Bonham G 7.30

M. Conway 82' D 7.20

A. Famewo D 6.60

C. Forino-Joseph D 7.20

Luca Stephenson 85' D 6.30

E. Erhahon M 7.20

J. Sheehan M 7.30

T. Gale 1 ⚽ 85' M 8.20

J. McAtee 1 👟 75' M 6.30

Gaizka Larrazabal 75' M 6.50

S. Dalby 1 ⚽ F 7.50

Bench

B. Davies D

Cyrus Christie D

David Harrington G

D. Watson M

E. Toal 13' D 6.20

K. Dong 10' F 6.30

L. Brunt 10' D 6.50

R. Hardie 20' F 6.50

S. Iling-Junior 20' F 6.20

Preston 4-2-3-1

D. Iversen G 6.50

A. Hughes 79' D 6.60

L. Lindsay D 7.20

J. Storey D 6.20

Pol Valentín 64' D 5.30

J. Thompson 63' M 6.60

Ali McCann M 6.90

D. Burgzorg 79' M 6.30

C. Lang 64' M 6.50

A. Devine M 6.20

M. Osmajić F 6.50

Bench

A. Moran M

A. Vukčević 1 👟 16' D 7.20

Ed Nolan D

G. Gryba F

J. Erabi 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.30

L. Leroy 32' M 6.90

L. Nicholls G

O. Offiah 31' D 7.20

T. Small 16' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

T. Gale

M · Bolton

8.20

1 ⚽

3 shots · 23 pass

S. Dalby

F · Bolton

7.50

1 ⚽

2 shots · 18 pass

J. Bonham

G · Bolton

7.30

· 43 pass

J. Sheehan

M · Bolton

7.30

4 shots · 59 pass

J. Erabi

F · Preston

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

M. Conway

D · Bolton

7.20

· 44 pass

Bolton — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Bonham	G	95	7.30	—	—	—	43	24%	—	—	—
M. Conway	D	82	7.20	—	—	—	44	37%	1	—	—
A. Famewo	D	95	6.60	—	—	—	42	40%	1	—	—
C. Forino-Joseph	D	95	7.20	—	—	1	38	34%	4	1	—
Luca Stephenson	D	85	6.30	—	—	1	32	25%	—	—	—
E. Erhahon	M	95	7.20	—	—	—	47	40%	1	—	—
J. Sheehan	M	95	7.30	—	—	4	59	43%	2	1	—
T. Gale	M	85	8.20	1	—	3	23	16%	1	—	—
J. McAtee	M	75	6.30	—	1	3	17	12%	1	—	—
Gaizka Larrazabal	M	75	6.50	—	—	1	23	17%	1	—	—
S. Dalby	F	95	7.50	1	—	2	18	11%	1	—	—
E. Toal	D	13	6.20	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
K. Dong	F	10	6.30	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
L. Brunt	D	10	6.50	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
R. Hardie	F	20	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	1	—	—
S. Iling-Junior	F	20	6.20	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—

Preston — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Iversen	G	95	6.50	—	—	—	41	19%	—	—	—
A. Hughes	D	79	6.60	—	—	—	22	13%	2	—	—
L. Lindsay	D	95	7.20	—	—	2	39	27%	—	—	—
J. Storey	D	95	6.20	—	—	—	46	36%	1	—	—
Pol Valentín	D	64	5.30	—	—	—	13	7%	2	1	—
J. Thompson	M	63	6.60	—	—	—	33	26%	1	1	—
Ali McCann	M	95	6.90	—	—	—	41	37%	4	1	—
D. Burgzorg	M	79	6.30	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—
C. Lang	M	64	6.50	—	—	1	11	5%	2	—	—
A. Devine	M	95	6.20	—	—	1	28	21%	1	—	—
M. Osmajić	F	95	6.50	—	—	1	9	5%	—	—	—
A. Vukčević	D	16	7.20	—	1	—	6	3%	—	—	—
J. Erabi	F	31	7.30	1	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—
L. Leroy	M	32	6.90	—	—	—	13	9%	1	—	—
O. Offiah	D	31	7.20	—	—	—	11	10%	2	—	—
T. Small	D	16	6.60	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Bolton vs Preston?

The final score was Bolton 2–1 Preston.

What did the model predict before Bolton vs Preston?

The model assigned 34% probability to a Bolton win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Preston win.