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Model wrong — prediction Bolton, result Draw
J. Kenny 39'
B. Osborn 79' (og)
45'+3 (ast. B. Osborn) A. Sidibeh
51' T. Edun
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolton a 54% win probability (draw 19%, Stockport County 26%). The final result was Bolton 2–2 Stockport County. In 2 previous meetings, Bolton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Stockport County.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
11
Corners
4
15
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Kenny
39'
45'+3
ast. B. Osborn · A. Sidibeh
46'
T. Edun / L. Bate
51'
T. Edun
R. Apter / T. Gale
64'
67'
R. Dixon / J. Dacres-Cogley
I. Cissoko / A. Cozier-Duberry
72'
J. Kenny / M. Burstow
72'
K. Dempsey / R. Rodrigues
72'
B. Osborn (og)
79'
80'
A. Sidibeh
82'
J. Stokes / A. Sidibeh
83'
L. Barry / J. Diamond
89'
L. Barry
90'+4
L. Barry
90'+4
L. Barry
Pre-match prediction
54.16%
Bolton
19.79%
X ←
26.05%
Stockport
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bolton
2.32
Stockport
1.54
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Stockport County Stockport County 0 0
2 Reading Reading 0 0
3 Wigan Wigan 0 0
4 Barnsley Barnsley 0 0
5 Blackpool Blackpool 0 0
6 Leicester Leicester 0 0
7 Plymouth Plymouth 0 0
8 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0 0
9 Doncaster Doncaster 0 0
10 Huddersfield Huddersfield 0 0
11 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0 0
12 Luton Luton 0 0
13 Wycombe Wycombe 0 0
14 Bradford Bradford 0 0
15 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0 0
16 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 0 0
17 Notts County Notts County 0 0
18 Peterborough Peterborough 0 0
19 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0 0
20 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0 0
21 Oxford United Oxford United 0 0
22 Stevenage Stevenage 0 0
23 Bromley Bromley 0 0
24 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 0 0
Lineups
Bolton Bolton 4-2-3-1
1
89' G 6.20
25 Max Conway Max Conway 89' D 6.70
3 Chris Forino Chris Forino 89' D 7.20
18 Eoin Toal Eoin Toal 89' D 6.30
14 J. Osei-Tutu J. Osei-Tutu 89' D 6.00
22 Kyle Dempsey Kyle Dempsey 72' M 6.90
8 J. Sheehan J. Sheehan 89' M 7.30
20 Ibrahim Cissoko Ibrahim Cissoko 72' M 7.00
10 Sam Dalby Sam Dalby 89' M 6.20
15
R. Apter 64' M 6.70
9
J. Kenny 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.50
Bench
19 A. Cozier-Duberry A. Cozier-Duberry 17' M 6.60
29 Cyrus Christie Cyrus Christie D
48 Mason Paul James Burstow Mason Paul James Burstow 17' F 6.50
27 Rúben Rodrigues Rúben Rodrigues 17' F 6.70
11 Thierry Gale Thierry Gale 25' F 6.70
34
89' G 6.50
23 Ben Osborn Ben Osborn 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' D 7.20
15 E. Pye E. Pye 89' D 6.60
5
89' D 6.70
2 J. Dacres-Cogley J. Dacres-Cogley 67' D 6.20
26 O. Norwood O. Norwood 89' M 7.20
4
L. Bate 45' M 6.30
27 Odin Bailey Odin Bailey 89' M 6.30
7 J. Diamond J. Diamond 83' M 6.70
29 Adama Sidibeh Adama Sidibeh 1 ⚽ 82' F 6.60
19 K. Wootton K. Wootton 89' F 6.30
Bench
28 Josh Stokes Josh Stokes 7' M
20 Louie Barry Louie Barry 6' F
11 Malik Mothersille Malik Mothersille F
14 Tayo Edun Tayo Edun 1 ⚽ 44' D 7.00
Best on the pitch
J. Kenny
F · Bolton
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 8 pass
J. Sheehan
J. Sheehan
M · Bolton
7.30
· 48 pass
Chris Forino
Chris Forino
D · Bolton
7.20
1 shots · 72 pass
Ben Osborn
Ben Osborn
D · Stockport
7.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
· 65 pass
O. Norwood
O. Norwood
M · Stockport
7.20
3 shots · 80 pass
Tayo Edun
Tayo Edun
D · Stockport
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Bolton Bolton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 89 6.20 27 20%
Max Conway D 89 6.70 46 36% 1
Chris Forino D 89 7.20 1 72 69%
Eoin Toal D 89 6.30 61 54% 1
J. Osei-Tutu D 89 6.00 28 18% 1
Kyle Dempsey M 72 6.90 31 25% 4
J. Sheehan M 89 7.30 48 38% 1
Ibrahim Cissoko M 72 7.00 2 16 14% 1
Sam Dalby M 89 6.20 1 19 11% 1
R. Apter M 64 6.70 9 7% 2
J. Kenny F 72 7.50 1 3 8 2% 1
A. Cozier-Duberry M 17 6.60 8 7% 1
Mason Paul James Burstow F 17 6.50 1 5 2%
Rúben Rodrigues F 17 6.70 17 12% 1
Thierry Gale F 25 6.70 3 3%
Stockport County Stockport County — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 89 6.50 39 27%
Ben Osborn D 89 7.20 1 1 65 52% 1
E. Pye D 89 6.60 59 53%
D 89 6.70 42 32% 2
J. Dacres-Cogley D 67 6.20 18 14%
O. Norwood M 89 7.20 3 80 71% 3
L. Bate M 45 6.30 29 21%
Odin Bailey M 89 6.30 1 27 23%
J. Diamond M 83 6.70 10 8% 1
Adama Sidibeh F 82 6.60 1 2 18 10% 1 1
K. Wootton F 89 6.30 2 17 12%
Josh Stokes M 7
Louie Barry F 6 2 2%
Tayo Edun D 44 7.00 1 1 17 15% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolton vs Stockport County?
The final score was Bolton 2–2 Stockport County.
What did the model predict before Bolton vs Stockport County?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Bolton win, 19% to a draw, and 26% to an Stockport County win.