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Model wrong — prediction Bolton, result Draw
J. Kenny 39'
B. Osborn 79' (og)
45'+3 (ast. B. Osborn) A. Sidibeh
51' T. Edun
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolton a 54% win probability (draw 19%, Stockport County 26%). The final result was Bolton 2–2 Stockport County. In 2 previous meetings, Bolton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Stockport County.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
11
Corners
4
15
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Kenny
39'
45'+3
ast. B. Osborn · A. Sidibeh
46'
T. Edun / L. Bate
51'
T. Edun
R. Apter / T. Gale
64'
67'
R. Dixon / J. Dacres-Cogley
I. Cissoko / A. Cozier-Duberry
72'
J. Kenny / M. Burstow
72'
K. Dempsey / R. Rodrigues
72'
B. Osborn (og)
79'
80'
A. Sidibeh
82'
J. Stokes / A. Sidibeh
83'
L. Barry / J. Diamond
89'
L. Barry
90'+4
L. Barry
90'+4
L. Barry
Pre-match prediction
54.16%
Bolton
19.79%
X ←
26.05%
Stockport
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.79% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bolton
2.32
Stockport
1.54
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 6 13
2 Huddersfield Huddersfield 6 12
3 Bradford Bradford 6 12
4 Cambridge United Cambridge United 6 11
5 Oxford United Oxford United 5 10
6 Plymouth Plymouth 6 10
7 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 6 10
8 Stockport County Stockport County 6 9
9 Stevenage Stevenage 6 9
10 Blackpool Blackpool 6 8
11 Burton Albion Burton Albion 6 8
12 Luton Luton 6 8
13 Leicester Leicester 6 8
14 Reading Reading 5 7
15 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 6 7
16 Notts County Notts County 6 7
17 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 6 7
18 Barnsley Barnsley 6 7
19 Wycombe Wycombe 6 6
20 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 6 5
21 Peterborough Peterborough 6 5
22 Bromley Bromley 6 5
23 Wigan Wigan 6 4
24 Doncaster Doncaster 6 3
Lineups
Bolton Bolton 4-2-3-1
1
89' G 6.20
25 M. Conway M. Conway 89' D 6.70
3 C. Forino-Joseph C. Forino-Joseph 89' D 7.20
18 E. Toal E. Toal 89' D 6.30
14 J. Osei-Tutu J. Osei-Tutu 89' D 6.00
22 Kyle Dempsey Kyle Dempsey 72' M 6.90
8 J. Sheehan J. Sheehan 89' M 7.30
20 I. Cissoko I. Cissoko 72' M 7.00
10 S. Dalby S. Dalby 89' M 6.20
15 R. Apter R. Apter 64' M 6.70
9 J. Kenny J. Kenny 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.50
Bench
19 A. Cozier-Duberry A. Cozier-Duberry 17' M 6.60
29 Cyrus Christie Cyrus Christie D
48 Mason Paul James Burstow Mason Paul James Burstow 17' F 6.50
27 Ruben Rodrigues Ruben Rodrigues 17' F 6.70
11 T. Gale T. Gale 25' F 6.70
34
89' G 6.50
23 B. Osborn B. Osborn 1 ⚽ 1 👟 89' D 7.20
15 E. Pye E. Pye 89' D 6.60
5
89' D 6.70
2 J. Dacres-Cogley J. Dacres-Cogley 67' D 6.20
26 O. Norwood O. Norwood 89' M 7.20
4 L. Bate L. Bate 45' M 6.30
27 O. Bailey O. Bailey 89' M 6.30
7 J. Diamond J. Diamond 83' M 6.70
29 Adama Sidibeh Adama Sidibeh 1 ⚽ 82' F 6.60
19 K. Wootton K. Wootton 89' F 6.30
Bench
28 Josh Stokes Josh Stokes 7' M
20 L. Barry L. Barry 6' F
11 M. Mothersille M. Mothersille F
14 Tayo Edun Tayo Edun 1 ⚽ 44' D 7.00
Best on the pitch
J. Kenny
J. Kenny
F · Bolton
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots · 8 pass
J. Sheehan
J. Sheehan
M · Bolton
7.30
· 48 pass
C. Forino-Joseph
C. Forino-Joseph
D · Bolton
7.20
1 shots · 72 pass
B. Osborn
B. Osborn
D · Stockport
7.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
· 65 pass
O. Norwood
O. Norwood
M · Stockport
7.20
3 shots · 80 pass
Tayo Edun
Tayo Edun
D · Stockport
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 17 pass
Bolton Bolton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 89 6.20 27 20%
M. Conway D 89 6.70 46 36% 1
C. Forino-Joseph D 89 7.20 1 72 69%
E. Toal D 89 6.30 61 54% 1
J. Osei-Tutu D 89 6.00 28 18% 1
Kyle Dempsey M 72 6.90 31 25% 4
J. Sheehan M 89 7.30 48 38% 1
I. Cissoko M 72 7.00 2 16 14% 1
S. Dalby M 89 6.20 1 19 11% 1
R. Apter M 64 6.70 9 7% 2
J. Kenny F 72 7.50 1 3 8 2% 1
A. Cozier-Duberry M 17 6.60 8 7% 1
Mason Paul James Burstow F 17 6.50 1 5 2%
Ruben Rodrigues F 17 6.70 17 12% 1
T. Gale F 25 6.70 3 3%
Stockport County Stockport County — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 89 6.50 39 27%
B. Osborn D 89 7.20 1 1 65 52% 1
E. Pye D 89 6.60 59 53%
D 89 6.70 42 32% 2
J. Dacres-Cogley D 67 6.20 18 14%
O. Norwood M 89 7.20 3 80 71% 3
L. Bate M 45 6.30 29 21%
O. Bailey M 89 6.30 1 27 23%
J. Diamond M 83 6.70 10 8% 1
Adama Sidibeh F 82 6.60 1 2 18 10% 1 1
K. Wootton F 89 6.30 2 17 12%
Josh Stokes M 7
L. Barry F 6 2 2%
Tayo Edun D 44 7.00 1 1 17 15% 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolton vs Stockport County?
The final score was Bolton 2–2 Stockport County.
What did the model predict before Bolton vs Stockport County?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Bolton win, 19% to a draw, and 26% to an Stockport County win.