R. Rodrigues
3'
K. Wootton
64'
(og)
S. Dalby
(ast. J. McAtee)
81'
R. Rodrigues
90'+4
(pen.)
29'
(ast. O. Bailey)
A. Sidibeh
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolton a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Stockport County 32%). The final result was Bolton 4–1 Stockport County. In 2 previous meetings, Bolton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Stockport County.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
9
Shots on target
4
2.46
Actual xG
0.89
3
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
2
18
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽R. Rodrigues
3'
11'
29'
ast. O. Bailey ·
A. Sidibeh⚽
60'
K. Wootton
X. Simons
/ S. Dalby
62'
⚽K. Wootton
(og)
64'
65'
J. Diamond
/
L. Barry
65'
B. Andresson
/
J. Stokes
65'
T. Olaofe
/
A. Sidibeh
M. Burstow
/ J. McAtee
72'
T. Gale
/ I. Cissoko
72'
M. Conway
/ C. Christie
76'
80'
O. Bailey
81'
M. Mothersille
/
B. Osborn
⚽S. Dalby
· ast. J. McAtee
81'
90'+2
J. Dacres-Cogley
⚽R. Rodrigues
(pen.)
90'+4
90'+5
C. Connolly
/
T. Edun
Pre-match prediction
43.86%
Bolton ←
23.29%
X
32.85%
Stockport
we assigned to the actual result (Bolton)
43.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.86
2.46
+0.6
1.64
0.89
-0.75
Bolton dominated by xG (2.46 vs 0.89).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Bonham
G
J. Bonham
G
25
M. Conway
76'
D
M. Conway
76'
D
6
G. Johnston
D
G. Johnston
D
3
C. Forino-Joseph
D
C. Forino-Joseph
D
14
J. Osei-Tutu
D
J. Osei-Tutu
D
8
J. Sheehan
M
J. Sheehan
M
4
X. Simons
62'
M
X. Simons
62'
M
11
T. Gale
72'
M
T. Gale
72'
M
27
Ruben Rodrigues
2 ⚽
M
Ruben Rodrigues
2 ⚽
M
19
A. Cozier-Duberry
M
A. Cozier-Duberry
M
48
Mason Paul James Burstow
72'
F
Mason Paul James Burstow
72'
F
Bench
29
Cyrus Christie
14'
D
Cyrus Christie
14'
D
23
David Harrington
G
David Harrington
G
21
E. Erhahon
M
E. Erhahon
M
20
I. Cissoko
18'
F
I. Cissoko
18'
F
45
J. McAtee
1 👟
18'
F
J. McAtee
1 👟
18'
F
22
Kyle Dempsey
M
Kyle Dempsey
M
10
S. Dalby
1 ⚽
28'
F
S. Dalby
1 ⚽
28'
F
34
C. Addai
G
C. Addai
G
14
Tayo Edun
89'
D
Tayo Edun
89'
D
15
E. Pye
D
E. Pye
D
19
K. Wootton
1 ⚽
D
K. Wootton
1 ⚽
D
2
J. Dacres-Cogley
D
J. Dacres-Cogley
D
23
B. Osborn
81'
M
B. Osborn
81'
M
26
O. Norwood
M
O. Norwood
M
27
O. Bailey
1 👟
M
O. Bailey
1 👟
M
20
L. Barry
65'
F
L. Barry
65'
F
29
Adama Sidibeh
1 ⚽
65'
F
Adama Sidibeh
1 ⚽
65'
F
28
Josh Stokes
65'
F
Josh Stokes
65'
F
Bench
22
B. Andrésson
25'
F
B. Andrésson
25'
F
1
Ben Hinchliffe
G
Ben Hinchliffe
G
16
C. Connolly
1'
M
C. Connolly
1'
M
9
I. Olaofe
25'
F
I. Olaofe
25'
F
7
J. Diamond
25'
F
J. Diamond
25'
F
18
L. Fiorini
M
L. Fiorini
M
11
M. Mothersille
9'
F
M. Mothersille
9'
F
Best on the pitch
Ruben Rodrigues
M · Bolton
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
S. Dalby
F · Bolton
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
G. Johnston
D · Bolton
7.60
· 71 pass
Cyrus Christie
D · Bolton
7.30
· 6 pass
I. Cissoko
F · Bolton
7.20
1 shots
· 5 pass
J. Bonham
G · Bolton
7.00
· 32 pass
Bolton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bonham | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Conway | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Johnston | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 71 | 60% | — | — | — |
| C. Forino-Joseph | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Osei-Tutu | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Simons | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gale | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Ruben Rodrigues | M | 90 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Cyrus Christie | D | 14 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Cissoko | F | 18 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McAtee | F | 18 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| S. Dalby | F | 28 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Stockport County — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Addai | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Tayo Edun | D | 89 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Pye | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| K. Wootton | D | 90 | 5.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Dacres-Cogley | D | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | 1 |
| B. Osborn | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Norwood | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| O. Bailey | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Barry | F | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Adama Sidibeh | F | 65 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Josh Stokes | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Andrésson | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Connolly | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Olaofe | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Diamond | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Mothersille | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolton vs Stockport County?
The final score was Bolton 4–1 Stockport County.
What did the model predict before Bolton vs Stockport County?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Bolton win, 23% to a draw, and 32% to an Stockport County win.