R. Rodrigues
3'
K. Wootton
64'
(og)
S. Dalby
(ast. J. McAtee)
81'
R. Rodrigues
90'+4
(pen.)
29'
(ast. O. Bailey)
A. Sidibeh
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolton a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Stockport County 32%). The final result was Bolton 4–1 Stockport County. In 2 previous meetings, Bolton have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Stockport County.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
5
9
Shots on target
4
2.46
Actual xG
0.89
3
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
2
18
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽R. Rodrigues
3'
11'
29'
ast. O. Bailey ·
A. Sidibeh⚽
60'
K. Wootton
X. Simons
/ S. Dalby
62'
⚽K. Wootton
(og)
64'
65'
J. Diamond
/
L. Barry
65'
B. Andresson
/
J. Stokes
65'
T. Olaofe
/
A. Sidibeh
M. Burstow
/ J. McAtee
72'
T. Gale
/ I. Cissoko
72'
M. Conway
/ C. Christie
76'
80'
O. Bailey
81'
M. Mothersille
/
B. Osborn
⚽S. Dalby
· ast. J. McAtee
81'
90'+2
J. Dacres-Cogley
⚽R. Rodrigues
(pen.)
90'+4
90'+5
C. Connolly
/
T. Edun
Pre-match prediction
43.86%
Bolton ←
23.29%
X
32.85%
Stockport
we assigned to the actual result (Bolton)
43.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.86
2.46
+0.6
1.64
0.89
-0.75
Bolton dominated by xG (2.46 vs 0.89).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Jack Bonham
G
Jack Bonham
G
25
Max Conway
76'
D
Max Conway
76'
D
6
George Johnston
D
George Johnston
D
3
Chris Forino
D
Chris Forino
D
14
Jordi Osei-Tutu
D
Jordi Osei-Tutu
D
8
Josh Sheehan
M
Josh Sheehan
M
4
Xavier Simons
62'
M
Xavier Simons
62'
M
11
Thierry Gale
72'
M
Thierry Gale
72'
M
27
Rúben Rodrigues
2 ⚽
M
Rúben Rodrigues
2 ⚽
M
19
A. Cozier-Duberry
M
A. Cozier-Duberry
M
48
Mason Paul James Burstow
72'
F
Mason Paul James Burstow
72'
F
Bench
29
Cyrus Christie
14'
D
Cyrus Christie
14'
D
23
David Harrington
G
David Harrington
G
21
Ethan Erhahon
M
Ethan Erhahon
M
20
Ibrahim Cissoko
18'
F
Ibrahim Cissoko
18'
F
45
John McAtee
1 👟
18'
F
John McAtee
1 👟
18'
F
22
Kyle Dempsey
M
Kyle Dempsey
M
10
Sam Dalby
1 ⚽
28'
F
Sam Dalby
1 ⚽
28'
F
34
Corey Addai
G
Corey Addai
G
14
Tayo Edun
89'
D
Tayo Edun
89'
D
15
E. Pye
D
E. Pye
D
19
K. Wootton
1 ⚽
D
K. Wootton
1 ⚽
D
2
Josh Dacres-Cogley
D
Josh Dacres-Cogley
D
23
Ben Osborn
81'
M
Ben Osborn
81'
M
26
O. Norwood
M
O. Norwood
M
27
Odin Bailey
1 👟
M
Odin Bailey
1 👟
M
20
Louie Barry
65'
F
Louie Barry
65'
F
29
Adama Sidibeh
1 ⚽
65'
F
Adama Sidibeh
1 ⚽
65'
F
28
Josh Stokes
65'
F
Josh Stokes
65'
F
Bench
1
Ben Hinchliffe
G
Ben Hinchliffe
G
22
Benoný Breki Andrésson
25'
F
Benoný Breki Andrésson
25'
F
16
Callum Connolly
1'
M
Callum Connolly
1'
M
9
Isaac Olaofe
25'
F
Isaac Olaofe
25'
F
7
J. Diamond
25'
F
J. Diamond
25'
F
18
Lewis Fiorini
M
Lewis Fiorini
M
11
Malik Mothersille
9'
F
Malik Mothersille
9'
F
Best on the pitch
Rúben Rodrigues
M · Bolton
8.70
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 23 pass
Sam Dalby
F · Bolton
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
George Johnston
D · Bolton
7.60
· 71 pass
Cyrus Christie
D · Bolton
7.30
· 6 pass
Ibrahim Cissoko
F · Bolton
7.20
1 shots
· 5 pass
Jack Bonham
G · Bolton
7.00
· 32 pass
Bolton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bonham | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Max Conway | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| George Johnston | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 71 | 60% | — | — | — |
| Chris Forino | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Jordi Osei-Tutu | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Josh Sheehan | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Xavier Simons | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Thierry Gale | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Rúben Rodrigues | M | 90 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 3 | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Mason Paul James Burstow | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Cyrus Christie | D | 14 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ibrahim Cissoko | F | 18 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| John McAtee | F | 18 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Sam Dalby | F | 28 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Stockport County — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Addai | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Tayo Edun | D | 89 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Pye | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | — | — | — |
| K. Wootton | D | 90 | 5.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Josh Dacres-Cogley | D | 90 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 12% | — | — | 1 |
| Ben Osborn | M | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Norwood | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Odin Bailey | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Louie Barry | F | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Adama Sidibeh | F | 65 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Josh Stokes | F | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Benoný Breki Andrésson | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Callum Connolly | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaac Olaofe | F | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| J. Diamond | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Malik Mothersille | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolton vs Stockport County?
The final score was Bolton 4–1 Stockport County.
What did the model predict before Bolton vs Stockport County?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Bolton win, 23% to a draw, and 32% to an Stockport County win.