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#18 · 14 pts
2 – 3
Final score
#3 · 22 pts
Ethan Erhahon 18'
Ruben Rodrigues 27' (pen.)
13' Jarrod Bowen
31' (ast. Arne Engels) Konstantinos Mavropanos
77' (ast. Joël Veltman) Jarrod Bowen
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Ham a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Bolton 29%). The final result was Bolton 2–3 West Ham.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
7
4
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
4
19
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
Ollie Scarles
13'
Jarrod Bowen⚽
⚽Ethan Erhahon
18'
⚽Ruben Rodrigues (pen.)
27'
31'
ast. Arne Engels · Konstantinos Mavropanos⚽
57'
Joël Veltman / Kyle Walker-Peters ↕
58'
Manor Solomon / Edvin Austbö ↕
62'
Konstantinos Mavropanos
66'
Joel Piroe / Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus ↕
↕ Samuel Iling / Thierry Gale
67'
67'
Lewis Orford / Divine Mukasa ↕
↕ Kyliane Dong / Jayden Nelson
73'
77'
ast. Joël Veltman · Jarrod Bowen⚽
84'
Felipe Morato / Ollie Scarles ↕
↕ Sam Dalby / Ryan Hardie
84'
↕ Ethan Erhahon / John Mcatee
84'
Pre-match prediction
29.45%
Bolton
30.94%
X
39.61%
West ←
we assigned to the actual result (West Ham) 39.61% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bolton
1.11
—
—
West
1.58
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Bolton Bolton 4-2-3-1
31 G. Bazunu G. Bazunu G 6.63
25 M. Conway M. Conway D 6.60
3 C. Forino-Joseph C. Forino-Joseph D 6.92
18 E. Toal E. Toal D 6.36
22 Gaizka Larrazabal Gaizka Larrazabal D 6.00
21 E. Erhahon E. Erhahon 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.73
8 J. Sheehan J. Sheehan M 6.15
7 K. Dong K. Dong 73' M 5.67
20 Ruben Rodrigues Ruben Rodrigues 1 ⚽ M 6.40
16 S. Iling-Junior S. Iling-Junior 67' M 5.88
10 S. Dalby S. Dalby 84' F 6.28
Bench
17 A. Ito A. Ito M 0.00
6 B. Davies B. Davies D 0.00
1 J. Bonham J. Bonham G 0.00
45 J. McAtee J. McAtee 6' F 6.30
26 J. Nelson J. Nelson 17' F 6.50
39 R. Hardie R. Hardie 6' F 6.10
9 T. Bair T. Bair F 0.00
11 T. Gale T. Gale 23' F 6.72
4 X. Simons X. Simons M 0.00
West Ham West Ham 4-4-1-1
1 M. Hermansen M. Hermansen G 6.00
30 O. Scarles O. Scarles 84' D 6.25
3 M. Kilman M. Kilman D 6.64
15 K. Mavropanos K. Mavropanos 1 ⚽ D 7.04
2 K. Walker-Peters K. Walker-Peters 57' D 6.55
35 E. Austbö E. Austbö 58' M 6.18
7 A. Engels A. Engels 1 👟 M 7.69
14 D. Mukasa D. Mukasa 67' M 6.45
20 J. Bowen J. Bowen 2 ⚽ M 7.80
17 M. Kanté M. Kanté M 6.34
19 Pablo Pablo 66' F 6.28
Bench
18 A. Boiro A. Boiro D 0.00
49 F. Herrick F. Herrick G 0.00
66 J. Ajala J. Ajala F 0.00
9 J. Piroe J. Piroe 24' F 6.40
34 J. Veltman J. Veltman 1 👟 33' D 6.66
21 K. Lamadrid K. Lamadrid M 0.00
61 L. Orford L. Orford 23' M 5.93
5 Morato Morato 6' D 6.14
10 M. Solomon M. Solomon 32' F 7.20
Best on the pitch
J. Bowen
J. Bowen
M · West
7.80
2 ⚽
3 shots · 31 pass
E. Erhahon
E. Erhahon
M · Bolton
7.73
1 ⚽
1 shots · 41 pass
A. Engels
A. Engels
M · West
7.69
1 👟
· 34 pass
M. Solomon
M. Solomon
F · West
7.20
1 shots · 12 pass
K. Mavropanos
K. Mavropanos
D · West
7.04
1 ⚽
2 shots · 53 pass
C. Forino-Joseph
C. Forino-Joseph
D · Bolton
6.92
1 shots · 66 pass
Bolton Bolton — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Bazunu G 90 6.63 — — 0 32 26% 0 — —
M. Conway D 90 6.60 — — 0 58 45% 4 — —
C. Forino-Joseph D 90 6.92 — — 1 66 57% 4 — —
E. Toal D 90 6.36 — — 2 54 47% 4 — —
Gaizka Larrazabal D 90 6.00 — — 0 33 27% 1 — —
E. Erhahon M 84 7.73 1 — 1 41 38% 2 — —
J. Sheehan M 90 6.15 — — 1 46 39% 1 — —
K. Dong M 73 5.67 — — 1 13 9% 1 — —
Ruben Rodrigues M 90 6.40 1 — 2 42 31% 1 — —
S. Iling-Junior M 67 5.88 — — 2 11 10% 0 — —
S. Dalby F 84 6.28 — — 1 16 11% 1 — —
J. McAtee F 6 6.30 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
J. Nelson F 17 6.50 — — 2 6 5% 0 — —
R. Hardie F 6 6.10 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
T. Gale F 23 6.72 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
West Ham West Ham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Hermansen G 90 6.00 — — 0 50 35% 0 — —
O. Scarles D 84 6.25 — — 0 42 32% 5 1 —
M. Kilman D 90 6.64 — — 0 60 56% 2 — —
K. Mavropanos D 90 7.04 1 — 2 53 44% 1 1 —
K. Walker-Peters D 57 6.55 — — 0 23 21% 0 — —
E. Austbö M 58 6.18 — — 1 17 11% 2 — —
A. Engels M 90 7.69 — 1 0 34 31% 3 — —
D. Mukasa M 67 6.45 — — 0 22 20% 1 — —
J. Bowen M 90 7.80 2 — 3 31 19% 0 — —
M. Kanté M 90 6.34 — — 2 25 22% 0 — —
Pablo F 66 6.28 — — 1 13 12% 2 — —
J. Piroe F 24 6.40 — — 1 8 6% 0 — —
J. Veltman D 33 6.66 — 1 0 11 7% 0 — —
L. Orford M 23 5.93 — — 0 5 1% 0 — —
Morato D 6 6.14 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
M. Solomon F 32 7.20 — — 1 12 10% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolton vs West Ham?
The final score was Bolton 2–3 West Ham.
What did the model predict before Bolton vs West Ham?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Bolton win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an West Ham win.