Borussia Dortmund - AEK Athens FC
Champions League
January 27, 2027 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.18%
Win
Borussia Dortmund
33.95%
Draw
31.87%
Win
AEK Athens FC
0.8
0.75
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(13.37%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
34%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
66%
12
66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Borussia Dortmund a 34% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 31% for AEK Athens FC. Expected goals are 0.8 for Borussia Dortmund and 0.8 for AEK Athens FC (total 1.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.37% probability.
Season Stats
5W
2D
4L
2W
1D
0L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.7
2.1
Conceded
0.0
4.8
Shots OT
4.0
4.5
Corners
5.0
53%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
33%
73%
O 2.5
33%
64%
BTTS
0%
18%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 11 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
4W
1D
1L
· at home
0W
1D
0L
· away
2.5
gls/g
0.0
1.2
Conceded
0.0
67%
Win %
0%
83%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
0%
67%
O 2.5
0%
67%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
100%
17%
Failed to Score
100%
last 6
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Borussia Dortmund
AEK Athens FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 21.1% | 15.9% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | — |
| 1 | 16.9% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Borussia Dortmund
Attack
50
Defence
71
Form
65
AEK Athens FC
Attack
66
Defence
90
Form
87
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs AEK Athens FC?
The model gives Borussia Dortmund a 34% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 31% for an AEK Athens FC win.
How many goals are expected in Borussia Dortmund vs AEK Athens FC?
Expected goals: Borussia Dortmund 0.8, AEK Athens FC 0.8 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Borussia Dortmund vs AEK Athens FC?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.37%.