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Borussia Dortmund - AEK Athens FC

Champions League January 27, 2027 21:00
Borussia Dortmund
#13 · 6 pts
vs
AEK Athens FC
#29 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.18%
Win
Borussia Dortmund
33.95%
Draw
31.87%
Win
AEK Athens FC
0.8
Expected xG
0.75

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.37%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 34%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 66%
12 66%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Borussia Dortmund a 34% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 31% for AEK Athens FC. Expected goals are 0.8 for Borussia Dortmund and 0.8 for AEK Athens FC (total 1.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.37% probability.

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund
6W 2D 5L
AEK Athens FC
2W 1D 2L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.4
1.9
Conceded
1.6
5.1
Shots OT
3.6
5.3
Corners
4.0
53%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
92%
O 1.5
60%
69%
O 2.5
60%
62%
BTTS
40%
15%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Borussia Dortmund
4W 1D 1L · at home
AEK Athens FC
0W 1D 2L · away
2.5
gls/g
0.7
1.2
Conceded
2.7
67%
Win %
0%
83%
Win or Draw
33%
100%
O 1.5
67%
67%
O 2.5
67%
67%
O 3.5
67%
50%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
33%
17%
Failed to Score
33%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Borussia Dortmund AEK Athens FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 21.1% 15.9% 6.0% 1.5% 0.3% —
1 16.9% 12.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% —
2 6.8% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% —
3 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% — —
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
5 0.1% — — — — —

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
W Sabah FA 1–2
L Bodo/Glimt 1–0
W Villarreal 3–2
L Atalanta 4–1
W Atalanta 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
L Manchester City 5–1
L Shakhtar Donetsk 3–1
W Lask Linz 1–0
W Levski Sofia 4–0
D Levski Sofia 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Attack
49
Defence
72
Form
57
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
Attack
52
Defence
67
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 3 9
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3 9
3 Liverpool Liverpool 3 9
4 Real Madrid Real Madrid 3 9
5 Real Betis Real Betis 3 9
6 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 3 7
7 Arsenal Arsenal 3 7
8 Barcelona Barcelona 3 6
9 Como Como 3 6
10 Manchester City Manchester City 3 6
11 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 3 6
12 Sporting CP Sporting CP 3 6
13 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3 6
14 Bayern München Bayern München 3 5
15 AS Roma AS Roma 3 4
16 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3 4
17 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 3 4
18 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3 4
19 Villarreal Villarreal 3 3
20 Inter Inter 3 3
21 Manchester United Manchester United 3 3
22 Napoli Napoli 3 3
23 Galatasaray Galatasaray 3 3
24 Lask Linz Lask Linz 3 3
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 3 3
26 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3 3
27 Lens Lens 3 3
28 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3 3
29 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 3 3
30 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 3 3
31 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3 2
32 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 3 1
33 Viking Viking 3 1
34 FC Porto FC Porto 3 0
35 Lille Lille 3 0
36 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs AEK Athens FC?
The model gives Borussia Dortmund a 34% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 31% for an AEK Athens FC win.
How many goals are expected in Borussia Dortmund vs AEK Athens FC?
Expected goals: Borussia Dortmund 0.8, AEK Athens FC 0.8 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Borussia Dortmund vs AEK Athens FC?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.37%.