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Borussia Dortmund - AS Roma

Friendlies Clubs August 15, 2026 17:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.39%
Win
Borussia Dortmund
32.04%
Draw
32.56%
Win
AS Roma
3.88
Expected xG
2.27

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.68%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 32%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 65%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Borussia Dortmund a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for AS Roma. Expected goals are 3.9 for Borussia Dortmund and 2.3 for AS Roma (total 6.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.68% probability.

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund
1W 0D 2L
AS Roma
0W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
3.0
1.3
Conceded
3.0
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
67%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Borussia Dortmund AS Roma →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.8% 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
2 1.6% 3.6% 4.1% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8%
3 2.1% 4.7% 5.3% 4.1% 2.3% 1.0%
4 2.0% 4.6% 5.2% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0%
5 1.6% 3.5% 4.0% 3.1% 1.7% 0.8%

Recent form

L Cerezo Osaka 1–0
L Fortuna Düsseldorf 2–1
W Rot-weiss Oberhausen 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
D Cannes 3–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 36%

Playing profile

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
Attack
49
Defence
62
Form
60
AS Roma AS Roma
Attack
75
Defence
25
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs AS Roma?
The model gives Borussia Dortmund a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an AS Roma win.
How many goals are expected in Borussia Dortmund vs AS Roma?
Expected goals: Borussia Dortmund 3.9, AS Roma 2.3 (total 6.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Borussia Dortmund vs AS Roma?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.68%.