Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 08, 2026 20:30

Borussia Dortmund

#2 · 70 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Eintracht Frankfurt

#8 · 43 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy (ast. J. Ryerson) 42'

N. Schlotterbeck (ast. M. Beier) 45'+1

S. Inacio (ast. M. Beier) 72'

2' (ast. M. Dahoud) C. Y. Uzun

87' J. Burkardt

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 66% win probability (draw 17%, Eintracht Frankfurt 16%). The final result was Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt. In 2 previous meetings, Borussia Dortmund have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Match statistics

13

Total shots

7

8

Shots on target

4

1.74

Actual xG

1.12

2

Saves

5

56%

Possession

44%

6

Corners

2

21

Tackles

20

3

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

2'

ast. M. Dahoud · C. Y. Uzun⚽

L. Reggiani

21'

⚽S. Guirassy · ast. J. Ryerson

42'

⚽N. Schlotterbeck · ast. M. Beier

45'+1

57'

M. Gotze / M. Dahoud ↕

57'

J. Bahoya / F. Chaibi ↕

⚽S. Inacio · ast. M. Beier

72'

↕ J. Bellingham / F. Nmecha

74'

↕ J. Brandt / K. Adeyemi

74'

77'

A. Amaimouni / C. Y. Uzun ↕

77'

A. Knauff / A. Kalimuendo ↕

↕ M. Sabitzer / S. Ozcan

78'

↕ S. Guirassy / F. Silva

78'

82'

J. Burkardt / R. Doan ↕

87'

J. Burkardt⚽

↕ L. Reggiani / N. Sule

88'

S. Inacio

90'+1

G. Kobel

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

66.18%

Borussia ←

17.74%

X

16.08%

Eintracht

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Dortmund) 66.18% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Borussia

2.42

1.74

-0.68

Eintracht

1.10

1.12

+0.02

Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.12). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	33	86
2	Borussia Dortmund	33	70
3	RB Leipzig	33	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	33	61
5	1899 Hoffenheim	33	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	33	58
7	SC Freiburg	33	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	43
9	FC Augsburg	33	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	33	37
11	Hamburger SV	33	37
12	Union Berlin	33	36
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach	33	35
14	1. FC Köln	33	32
15	Werder Bremen	33	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	33	26
17	1. FC Heidenheim	33	26
18	FC St. Pauli	33	26

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1

1

G. Kobel G 6.60

4

Nico Schlotterbeck 1 ⚽ D 8.50

3

D 7.30

49

L. Reggiani 88' D 6.30

14

Maximilian Beier 2 👟 M 7.90

7

J. Bellingham 74' M 6.60

20 M. Sabitzer 78' M 7.30

26 J. Ryerson 1 👟 M 6.50

40

S. Inacio 1 ⚽ F 7.90

10

J. Brandt 74' F 7.00

9

Serhou Guirassy 1 ⚽ 78' F 6.90

Bench

17

Carney Chukwuemeka M

24

D. Svensson D

21

Fábio Silva 12' F 6.30

27

K. Adeyemi 16' F 6.20

25

N. Sule 2' D

Eintracht Frankfurt 4-2-3-1

23

G 6.90

21

N. Brown D 6.30

3

Arthur Theate D 6.00

4

D 6.70

5

A. Amenda D 6.20

18

M. Dahoud 1 👟 57' M 6.70

15

E. Skhiri M 6.50

8

F. Chaibi 57' M 6.20

42

C. Y. Uzun 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.70

20 R. Dōan 82' M 6.20

25

A. Kalimuendo 77' F 6.20

Bench

29

A. Amaimouni 13' F 6.90

7

A. Knauff 13' F 6.70

16

H. Larsson M

19

J. Bahoya 33' F 6.90

9

J. Burkardt 1 ⚽ 8' F 7.20

6

O. Hojlund M

Best on the pitch

Nico Schlotterbeck

D · Borussia

8.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 77 pass

Maximilian Beier

M · Borussia

7.90

2 👟

1 shots · 40 pass

S. Inacio

F · Borussia

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 29 pass

C. Y. Uzun

M · Eintracht

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 37 pass

D · Borussia

7.30

· 90 pass

M. Sabitzer

M · Borussia

7.30

1 shots · 33 pass

Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Kobel	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	32	29%	—	1	—
Nico Schlotterbeck	D	90	8.50	1	—	1	77	71%	1	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	90	85%	3	—	—
L. Reggiani	D	88	6.30	—	—	1	81	72%	2	1	—
Maximilian Beier	M	90	7.90	—	2	1	40	30%	4	—	—
J. Bellingham	M	74	6.60	—	—	1	51	46%	1	—	—
M. Sabitzer	M	78	7.30	—	—	1	33	31%	4	—	—
J. Ryerson	M	90	6.50	—	1	2	29	18%	2	—	—
S. Inacio	F	90	7.90	1	—	2	29	26%	4	1	—
J. Brandt	F	74	7.00	—	—	3	35	30%	—	—	—
Serhou Guirassy	F	78	6.90	1	—	1	14	11%	—	—	—
Fábio Silva	F	12	6.30	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—
K. Adeyemi	F	16	6.20	—	—	—	6	3%	—	—	—
N. Sule	D	2	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—

Eintracht Frankfurt — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	44	34%	—	—	—
N. Brown	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	34%	6	—	—
Arthur Theate	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	61	56%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	39	35%	4	—	—
A. Amenda	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	58	47%	1	—	—
M. Dahoud	M	57	6.70	—	1	—	19	18%	1	—	—
E. Skhiri	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	61	55%	1	—	—
F. Chaibi	M	57	6.20	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
C. Y. Uzun	M	77	7.70	1	—	2	37	29%	1	—	—
R. Dōan	M	82	6.20	—	—	1	14	13%	1	—	—
A. Kalimuendo	F	77	6.20	—	—	—	14	12%	2	—	—
A. Amaimouni	F	13	6.90	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
A. Knauff	F	13	6.70	—	—	1	1	1%	—	—	—
J. Bahoya	F	33	6.90	—	—	2	13	10%	—	—	—
J. Burkardt	F	8	7.20	1	—	1	2	2%	1	—	—