Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 08, 2026 20:30 Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

#2 · 73 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Eintracht Frankfurt

#8 · 44 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy (ast. J. Ryerson) 42'

N. Schlotterbeck (ast. M. Beier) 45'+1

S. Inacio (ast. M. Beier) 72'

2' (ast. M. Dahoud) C. Y. Uzun

87' J. Burkardt

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 66% win probability (draw 17%, Eintracht Frankfurt 16%). The final result was Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt. In 2 previous meetings, Borussia Dortmund have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Match statistics

13

Total shots

7

8

Shots on target

4

1.74

Actual xG

1.12

2

Saves

5

56%

Possession

44%

6

Corners

2

21

Tackles

20

3

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

2'

ast. M. Dahoud · C. Y. Uzun⚽

L. Reggiani

21'

⚽S. Guirassy · ast. J. Ryerson

42'

⚽N. Schlotterbeck · ast. M. Beier

45'+1

57'

M. Gotze / M. Dahoud ↕

57'

J. Bahoya / F. Chaibi ↕

⚽S. Inacio · ast. M. Beier

72'

↕ J. Bellingham / F. Nmecha

74'

↕ J. Brandt / K. Adeyemi

74'

77'

A. Amaimouni / C. Y. Uzun ↕

77'

A. Knauff / A. Kalimuendo ↕

↕ M. Sabitzer / S. Ozcan

78'

↕ S. Guirassy / F. Silva

78'

82'

J. Burkardt / R. Doan ↕

87'

J. Burkardt⚽

↕ L. Reggiani / N. Sule

88'

S. Inacio

90'+1

G. Kobel

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

66.18%

Borussia ←

17.74%

X

16.08%

Eintracht

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Dortmund) 66.18% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Borussia

2.42

1.74

-0.68

Eintracht

1.10

1.12

+0.02

Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.12). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Köln	34	32
15	Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli	34	26

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1

1 Gregor Kobel G 6.60

4 N. Schlotterbeck 1 ⚽ D 8.50

3

D 7.30

49 Luca Reggiani 88' D 6.30

14 M. Beier 2 👟 M 7.90

7 J. Bellingham 74' M 6.60

20 Marcel Sabitzer 78' M 7.30

26 J. Ryerson 1 👟 M 6.50

40 Samuele Inacio 1 ⚽ F 7.90

10 Julian Brandt 74' F 7.00

9 S. Guirassy 1 ⚽ 78' F 6.90

Bench

17 Carney Chukwuemeka M

24 D. Svensson D

21 Fábio Silva 12' F 6.30

27 Karim Adeyemi 16' F 6.20

25 Niklas Süle 2' D

Eintracht Frankfurt 4-2-3-1

23

G 6.90

21 N. Brown D 6.30

3 A. Theate D 6.00

4

D 6.70

5 Aurèle Amenda D 6.20

18 Mahmoud Dahoud 1 👟 57' M 6.70

15 E. Skhiri M 6.50

8 F. Chaïbi 57' M 6.20

42 C. Uzun 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.70

20 R. Dōan 82' M 6.20

25 Arnaud Kalimuendo 77' F 6.20

Bench

7 Ansgar Knauff 13' F 6.70

29 Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab 13' F 6.90

16 Hugo Larsson M

9 J. Burkardt 1 ⚽ 8' F 7.20

19 Jean-Mattéo Bahoya 33' F 6.90

6

O. Hojlund M

Best on the pitch

N. Schlotterbeck

D · Borussia

8.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 77 pass

M. Beier

M · Borussia

7.90

2 👟

1 shots · 40 pass

Samuele Inacio

F · Borussia

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 29 pass

C. Uzun

M · Eintracht

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 37 pass

D · Borussia

7.30

· 90 pass

Marcel Sabitzer

M · Borussia

7.30

1 shots · 33 pass

Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Gregor Kobel	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	32	29%	—	1	—
N. Schlotterbeck	D	90	8.50	1	—	1	77	71%	1	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	90	85%	3	—	—
Luca Reggiani	D	88	6.30	—	—	1	81	72%	2	1	—
M. Beier	M	90	7.90	—	2	1	40	30%	4	—	—
J. Bellingham	M	74	6.60	—	—	1	51	46%	1	—	—
Marcel Sabitzer	M	78	7.30	—	—	1	33	31%	4	—	—
J. Ryerson	M	90	6.50	—	1	2	29	18%	2	—	—
Samuele Inacio	F	90	7.90	1	—	2	29	26%	4	1	—
Julian Brandt	F	74	7.00	—	—	3	35	30%	—	—	—
S. Guirassy	F	78	6.90	1	—	1	14	11%	—	—	—
Fábio Silva	F	12	6.30	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—
Karim Adeyemi	F	16	6.20	—	—	—	6	3%	—	—	—
Niklas Süle	D	2	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—

Eintracht Frankfurt — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	44	34%	—	—	—
N. Brown	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	34%	6	—	—
A. Theate	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	61	56%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	39	35%	4	—	—
Aurèle Amenda	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	58	47%	1	—	—
Mahmoud Dahoud	M	57	6.70	—	1	—	19	18%	1	—	—
E. Skhiri	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	61	55%	1	—	—
F. Chaïbi	M	57	6.20	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
C. Uzun	M	77	7.70	1	—	2	37	29%	1	—	—
R. Dōan	M	82	6.20	—	—	1	14	13%	1	—	—
Arnaud Kalimuendo	F	77	6.20	—	—	—	14	12%	2	—	—
Ansgar Knauff	F	13	6.70	—	—	1	1	1%	—	—	—
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab	F	13	6.90	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Burkardt	F	8	7.20	1	—	1	2	2%	1	—	—
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya	F	33	6.90	—	—	2	13	10%	—	—	—