Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33 May 08, 2026 20:30 SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

#1 · 12 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Eintracht Frankfurt

#10 · 5 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy (ast. J. Ryerson) 42'

N. Schlotterbeck (ast. M. Beier) 45'+1

S. Inacio (ast. M. Beier) 72'

2' (ast. M. Dahoud) C. Y. Uzun

87' J. Burkardt

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 66% win probability (draw 17%, Eintracht Frankfurt 16%). The final result was Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Eintracht Frankfurt. In 2 previous meetings, Borussia Dortmund have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Match statistics

13

Total shots

7

8

Shots on target

4

1.74

Actual xG

1.12

2

Saves

5

56%

Possession

44%

6

Corners

2

21

Tackles

20

3

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

2'

ast. M. Dahoud · C. Y. Uzun⚽

L. Reggiani

21'

⚽S. Guirassy · ast. J. Ryerson

42'

⚽N. Schlotterbeck · ast. M. Beier

45'+1

57'

M. Gotze / M. Dahoud ↕

57'

J. Bahoya / F. Chaibi ↕

⚽S. Inacio · ast. M. Beier

72'

↕ J. Bellingham / F. Nmecha

74'

↕ J. Brandt / K. Adeyemi

74'

77'

A. Amaimouni / C. Y. Uzun ↕

77'

A. Knauff / A. Kalimuendo ↕

↕ M. Sabitzer / S. Ozcan

78'

↕ S. Guirassy / F. Silva

78'

82'

J. Burkardt / R. Doan ↕

87'

J. Burkardt⚽

↕ L. Reggiani / N. Sule

88'

S. Inacio

90'+1

G. Kobel

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

66.18%

Borussia ←

17.74%

X

16.08%

Eintracht

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Dortmund) 66.18% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Borussia

2.42

1.74

-0.68

Eintracht

1.10

1.12

+0.02

Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (1.74 vs 1.12). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1

1 G. Kobel G 6.60

4 N. Schlotterbeck 1 ⚽ D 8.50

3

D 7.30

49 L. Reggiani 88' D 6.30

14 M. Beier 2 👟 M 7.90

7 J. Bellingham 74' M 6.60

20 M. Sabitzer 78' M 7.30

26 J. Ryerson 1 👟 M 6.50

40 S. Inacio 1 ⚽ F 7.90

10 J. Brandt 74' F 7.00

9 S. Guirassy 1 ⚽ 78' F 6.90

Bench

17 C. Chukwuemeka M

24 D. Svensson D

21 Fábio Silva 12' F 6.30

27 K. Adeyemi 16' F 6.20

25 Niklas Süle 2' D

Eintracht Frankfurt 4-2-3-1

23

G 6.90

21 N. Brown D 6.30

3 A. Theate D 6.00

4

D 6.70

5 A. Amenda D 6.20

18 Mahmoud Dahoud 1 👟 57' M 6.70

15 E. Skhiri M 6.50

8 F. Chaïbi 57' M 6.20

42 C. Uzun 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.70

20 Ritsu Doan 82' M 6.20

25 A. Kalimuendo 77' F 6.20

Bench

29 A. Amaimouni 13' F 6.90

7 A. Knauff 13' F 6.70

16 H. Larsson M

19 J. Bahoya 33' F 6.90

9 J. Burkardt 1 ⚽ 8' F 7.20

6 O. Højlund M

Best on the pitch

N. Schlotterbeck

D · Borussia

8.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 77 pass

M. Beier

M · Borussia

7.90

2 👟

1 shots · 40 pass

S. Inacio

F · Borussia

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 29 pass

C. Uzun

M · Eintracht

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 37 pass

D · Borussia

7.30

· 90 pass

M. Sabitzer

M · Borussia

7.30

1 shots · 33 pass

Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Kobel	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	32	29%	—	1	—
N. Schlotterbeck	D	90	8.50	1	—	1	77	71%	1	—	—
	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	90	85%	3	—	—
L. Reggiani	D	88	6.30	—	—	1	81	72%	2	1	—
M. Beier	M	90	7.90	—	2	1	40	30%	4	—	—
J. Bellingham	M	74	6.60	—	—	1	51	46%	1	—	—
M. Sabitzer	M	78	7.30	—	—	1	33	31%	4	—	—
J. Ryerson	M	90	6.50	—	1	2	29	18%	2	—	—
S. Inacio	F	90	7.90	1	—	2	29	26%	4	1	—
J. Brandt	F	74	7.00	—	—	3	35	30%	—	—	—
S. Guirassy	F	78	6.90	1	—	1	14	11%	—	—	—
Fábio Silva	F	12	6.30	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—
K. Adeyemi	F	16	6.20	—	—	—	6	3%	—	—	—
Niklas Süle	D	2	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—

Eintracht Frankfurt — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	44	34%	—	—	—
N. Brown	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	36	34%	6	—	—
A. Theate	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	61	56%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	39	35%	4	—	—
A. Amenda	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	58	47%	1	—	—
Mahmoud Dahoud	M	57	6.70	—	1	—	19	18%	1	—	—
E. Skhiri	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	61	55%	1	—	—
F. Chaïbi	M	57	6.20	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
C. Uzun	M	77	7.70	1	—	2	37	29%	1	—	—
Ritsu Doan	M	82	6.20	—	—	1	14	13%	1	—	—
A. Kalimuendo	F	77	6.20	—	—	—	14	12%	2	—	—
A. Amaimouni	F	13	6.90	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
A. Knauff	F	13	6.70	—	—	1	1	1%	—	—	—
J. Bahoya	F	33	6.90	—	—	2	13	10%	—	—	—
J. Burkardt	F	8	7.20	1	—	1	2	2%	1	—	—