✓Model correct — prediction Borussia Dortmund
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 68% win probability (draw 18%, Hamburger SV 12%). The final result was Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV. In 2 previous meetings, Borussia Dortmund have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Hamburger SV.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
4
6.20
Actual xG
1.47
68%
Possession
32%
11
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
68.78%
Borussia ←
18.45%
X
12.77%
Hamburger
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Dortmund)
68.78%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.29
6.20
+3.91
0.92
1.47
+0.55
Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (6.20 vs 1.47).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
The final score was Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV.
What did the model predict before Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Borussia Dortmund win, 18% to a draw, and 12% to an Hamburger SV win.