← Bundesliga
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 27 March 21, 2026 19:30
Borussia Dortmund
#2 · 70 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Hamburger SV
#11 · 37 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Borussia Dortmund

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 68% win probability (draw 18%, Hamburger SV 12%). The final result was Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV. In 1 previous meetings, Borussia Dortmund have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Hamburger SV.

Match statistics
8
Shots on target
4
6.20
Actual xG
1.47
68%
Possession
32%
11
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
68.78%
Borussia ←
18.45%
X
12.77%
Hamburger
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Dortmund) 68.78% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Borussia
2.29
6.20
+3.91
Hamburger
0.92
1.47
+0.55
Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (6.20 vs 1.47). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 33 86
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 33 70
3 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 33 65
4 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 33 61
5 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 33 61
6 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 33 58
7 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 33 44
8 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 33 43
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 33 37
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 33 37
12 Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 36
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 33 35
14 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 33 32
15 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 33 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg 33 26
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 26
18 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 33 26
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
The final score was Borussia Dortmund 3–2 Hamburger SV.
What did the model predict before Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV?
The model assigned 68% probability to a Borussia Dortmund win, 18% to a draw, and 12% to an Hamburger SV win.