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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5 October 09, 2026 20:30 Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
#2 · 17 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Werder Bremen
#6 · 12 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Borussia Dortmund, result Draw
Daniel Svensson (ast. Fábio Silva) 80'
Nico Schlotterbeck (ast. Joey Veerman) 85'
88' (ast. Oskar Wójcik) Ludovit Reis
90'+2 (ast. Marco Grüll) Niclas Füllkrug
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 50% win probability (draw 25%, Werder Bremen 23%). The final result was Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen. In 3 previous meetings, Borussia Dortmund have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Werder Bremen.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
11
9
Shots on target
4
2.50
Actual xG
1.19
2
Saves
7
72%
Possession
28%
9
Corners
3
13
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
19'
Oskar Wójcik / Amos Pieper ↕
↕ Ethan Nwaneri / Fábio Silva
63'
65'
Dariusz Stalmach / Youri Regeer ↕
65'
Mitchell Weiser / Arthur Augusto De Matos Soares ↕
↕ Marcel Sabitzer / Konstantinos Karetsas
72'
↕ Jobe Bellingham / Joey Veerman
72'
⚽Daniel Svensson · ast. Fábio Silva
80'
81'
Mick Schmetgens / Eren Dinkci ↕
81'
Paul Erevbenagie / Iván San José Cantalejo ↕
⚽Nico Schlotterbeck · ast. Joey Veerman
85'
88'
ast. Oskar Wójcik · Ludovit Reis⚽
Joey Veerman
90'+2
90'+2
ast. Marco Grüll · Niclas Füllkrug⚽
Felix Nmecha
90'+4
90'+8
Daniel Thioune
90'
Dariusz Stalmach
Pre-match prediction
50.87%
Borussia
25.65%
X ←
23.48%
Werder
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.65% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Borussia
3.17
2.50
-0.67
Werder
0.95
1.19
+0.24
Borussia Dortmund dominated by xG (2.50 vs 1.19). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bayern München Bayern München 7 17
2 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 7 17
3 SC Freiburg SC Freiburg 7 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 7 13
5 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 7 12
6 Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 7 12
7 FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 7 10
8 SV Elversberg SV Elversberg 7 10
9 FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 7 9
10 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 7 9
11 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 7 9
12 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 7 8
13 SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07 7 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 7 8
15 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 7 6
16 FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04 7 6
17 Union Berlin Union Berlin 7 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach 7 3
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G. Kobel G 6.15
4 N. Schlotterbeck N. Schlotterbeck 1 ⚽ D 8.21
3 W. Anton W. Anton D 6.75
22 Kouakou Joane Gadou Kouakou Joane Gadou D 6.98
24 D. Svensson D. Svensson 1 ⚽ M 7.37
8 F. Nmecha F. Nmecha M 6.58
7 J. Bellingham J. Bellingham 72' M 6.27
20 M. Sabitzer M. Sabitzer 72' M 6.22
14 M. Beier M. Beier M 6.61
18 E. Nwaneri E. Nwaneri 63' M 6.72
9 S. Guirassy S. Guirassy F 6.34
Bench
33 A. Meyer A. Meyer G 0.00
21 Fábio Silva Fábio Silva 1 👟 27' F 6.81
25 J. Veerman J. Veerman 1 👟 18' M 6.46
36 Kauã Prates Kauã Prates D 0.00
19 K. Karetsas K. Karetsas 18' M 5.91
49 L. Reggiani L. Reggiani D 0.00
41 M. Albert M. Albert F 0.00
5 R. Bensebaïni R. Bensebaïni D 0.00
40 S. Inacio S. Inacio F 0.00
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 4-2-3-1
1 K. Hein K. Hein G 7.92
2 O. Deman O. Deman D 6.26
32 M. Friedl M. Friedl D 6.55
5 A. Pieper A. Pieper 19' D 6.12
13 Arthur Arthur 65' D 6.22
44 Y. Regeer Y. Regeer 65' M 6.13
15 L. Reis L. Reis 1 ⚽ M 7.86
17 M. Grüll M. Grüll 1 👟 M 7.18
20 Chuky San José Chuky San José 81' M 6.45
18 E. Dinkçi E. Dinkçi 81' M 6.36
10 N. Füllkrug N. Füllkrug 1 ⚽ F 7.78
Bench
30 A. Schlager A. Schlager G 0.00
26 C. Itten C. Itten F 0.00
23 Dariusz Stalmach Dariusz Stalmach 25' M 5.97
33 Mick Schmetgens Mick Schmetgens 9' D 6.18
8 M. Weiser M. Weiser 25' D 6.27
4 N. Stark N. Stark D 0.00
3 O. Wójcik O. Wójcik 1 👟 71' D 6.91
38 P. Erevbenagie P. Erevbenagie 9' F 6.68
Best on the pitch
N. Schlotterbeck
N. Schlotterbeck
D · Borussia
8.21
1 ⚽
4 shots · 135 pass
K. Hein
K. Hein
G · Werder
7.92
· 43 pass
L. Reis
L. Reis
M · Werder
7.86
1 ⚽
3 shots · 23 pass
N. Füllkrug
N. Füllkrug
F · Werder
7.78
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
D. Svensson
D. Svensson
M · Borussia
7.37
1 ⚽
1 shots · 51 pass
M. Grüll
M. Grüll
M · Werder
7.18
1 👟
1 shots · 21 pass
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Kobel G 90 6.15 — — 0 26 21% 0 — —
N. Schlotterbeck D 90 8.21 1 — 4 135 119% 2 — —
W. Anton D 90 6.75 — — 1 142 131% 2 — —
Kouakou Joane Gadou D 90 6.98 — — 1 110 106% 2 — —
D. Svensson M 90 7.37 1 — 1 51 44% 0 — —
F. Nmecha M 90 6.58 — — 0 69 66% 2 1 —
J. Bellingham M 72 6.27 — — 1 46 43% 3 — —
M. Sabitzer M 72 6.22 — — 4 33 27% 0 — —
M. Beier M 90 6.61 — — 3 62 53% 2 — —
E. Nwaneri M 63 6.72 — — 3 29 26% 0 — —
S. Guirassy F 90 6.34 — — 2 17 14% 0 — —
Fábio Silva F 27 6.81 — 1 1 2 0% 0 — —
J. Veerman M 18 6.46 — 1 0 22 19% 0 1 —
K. Karetsas M 18 5.91 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Hein G 90 7.92 — — 0 43 29% 0 — —
O. Deman D 90 6.26 — — 1 34 24% 2 — —
M. Friedl D 90 6.55 — — 0 43 38% 0 — —
A. Pieper D 19 6.12 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Arthur D 65 6.22 — — 0 15 10% 2 — —
Y. Regeer M 65 6.13 — — 0 16 12% 3 — —
L. Reis M 90 7.86 1 — 3 23 20% 2 — —
M. Grüll M 90 7.18 — 1 1 21 16% 4 — —
Chuky San José M 81 6.45 — — 0 13 7% 2 — —
E. Dinkçi M 81 6.36 — — 0 12 7% 1 — —
N. Füllkrug F 90 7.78 1 — 2 19 11% 1 — —
Dariusz Stalmach M 25 5.97 — — 0 12 8% 1 1 —
Mick Schmetgens D 9 6.18 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
M. Weiser D 25 6.27 — — 0 10 7% 1 — —
O. Wójcik D 71 6.91 — 1 2 26 23% 0 — —
P. Erevbenagie F 9 6.68 — — 1 2 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
The final score was Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen.
What did the model predict before Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Borussia Dortmund win, 25% to a draw, and 23% to an Werder Bremen win.