Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 15:30 Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

#18 · 3 pts

2 – 2

Final score

1. FC Heidenheim

✗Model wrong — prediction Borussia Mönchengladbach, result Draw

W. Mohya (ast. J. Castrop) 16'

F. Honorat (ast. S. Machino) 74'

26' (ast. N. Dorsch) P. Mainka

63' M. Busch

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Mönchengladbach a 58% win probability (draw 22%, 1. FC Heidenheim 18%). The final result was Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim. In 1 previous meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Heidenheim.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

11

7

Shots on target

7

0.73

Actual xG

0.94

4

Saves

5

52%

Possession

48%

2

Corners

3

13

Tackles

18

4

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

⚽W. Mohya · ast. J. Castrop

16'

26'

ast. N. Dorsch · P. Mainka⚽

Jens Castrop

42'

Yannik Engelhardt

44'

49'

L. Stergiou / H. Behrens ↕

62'

M. Kaufmann / B. Zivzivadze ↕

62'

A. Ibrahimovic / M. Honsak ↕

↕ Y. Engelhardt / K. Stoger

63'

↕ W. Mohya / F. Neuhaus

63'

63'

M. Busch⚽

67'

B. Gimber / ↕

↕ R. Reitz / H. Bolin

70'

↕ J. Scally / H. Tabakovic

70'

⚽F. Honorat · ast. S. Machino

74'

Nico Elvedi

80'

↕ S. Machino / G. Reyna

85'

Kevin Diks

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

58.28%

Borussia

22.76%

X ←

18.96%

1.

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.76% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Borussia

1.85

0.73

-1.12

1.

0.96

0.94

-0.02

xG dominance was balanced (0.73 – 0.94). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	7	17
2	Borussia Dortmund	7	17
3	SC Freiburg	7	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	13
5	RB Leipzig	7	12
6	Werder Bremen	7	12
7	FSV Mainz 05	7	10
8	SV Elversberg	7	10
9	FC Augsburg	7	9
10	1899 Hoffenheim	7	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	9
12	1. FC Köln	7	8
13	SC Paderborn 07	7	8
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	8
15	VfB Stuttgart	7	6
16	FC Schalke 04	7	6
17	Union Berlin	7	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	7	3

Lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4-2-1

33 M. Nicolas G 8.20

4 K. Diks D 6.90

30 N. Elvedi D 7.00

16 P. Sander D 6.90

17 J. Castrop 1 👟 M 6.90

6 Y. Engelhardt 63' M 6.50

27 R. Reitz 70' M 7.50

29 J. Scally 70' M 6.30

36

W. Mohya 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.30

9 F. Honorat 1 ⚽ F 7.70

18 S. Machino 1 👟 85' F 6.30

Bench

2 F. Chiarodia D

13 G. Reyna 10' M 7.20

38 H. Bolin 20' M 6.30

15 H. Tabaković 20' F 6.20

7 K. Stöger 27' M 7.50

26 L. Ullrich D

1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-2

41 D. Ramaj G 6.70

26 Hennes Behrens 49' D 6.90

19

D 6.90

6 P. Mainka 1 ⚽ D 7.90

2 M. Busch 1 ⚽ D 7.30

17 M. Honsak 62' M 6.30

30 N. Dorsch 1 👟 M 7.30

16 J. Niehues M 6.70

8 E. Dinkçi M 6.70

11 B. Zivzivadze 62' F 6.30

18 M. Pieringer F 7.20

Bench

22 A. Ibrahimović 28' M 6.70

9 S. Schimmer F

Best on the pitch

M. Nicolas

G · Borussia

8.20

· 39 pass

P. Mainka

D · 1.

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 58 pass

F. Honorat

F · Borussia

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 31 pass

K. Stöger

M · Borussia

7.50

1 shots · 31 pass

R. Reitz

M · Borussia

7.50

1 shots · 47 pass

N. Dorsch

M · 1.

7.30

1 👟

· 66 pass

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Nicolas	G	90	8.20	—	—	—	39	34%	—	—	—
K. Diks	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	60	56%	—	1	—
N. Elvedi	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	60	55%	2	1	—
P. Sander	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	56	45%	1	—	—
J. Castrop	M	90	6.90	—	1	1	30	22%	2	1	—
Y. Engelhardt	M	63	6.50	—	—	—	37	26%	1	1	—
R. Reitz	M	70	7.50	—	—	1	47	42%	2	—	—
J. Scally	M	70	6.30	—	—	—	22	17%	2	—	—
W. Mohya	F	63	7.30	1	—	2	20	16%	—	—	—
F. Honorat	F	90	7.70	1	—	2	31	22%	1	—	—
S. Machino	F	85	6.30	—	1	—	31	24%	—	—	—
G. Reyna	M	10	7.20	—	—	—	15	15%	—	—	—
H. Bolin	M	20	6.30	—	—	1	11	8%	—	—	—
H. Tabaković	F	20	6.20	—	—	2	9	5%	—	—	—
K. Stöger	M	27	7.50	—	—	1	31	26%	2	—	—

1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Ramaj	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	60	32%	—	—	—
Hennes Behrens	D	49	6.90	—	—	—	15	12%	3	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	59	51%	—	—	—
P. Mainka	D	90	7.90	1	—	3	58	54%	—	—	—
M. Busch	D	90	7.30	1	—	1	45	42%	2	—	—
M. Honsak	M	62	6.30	—	—	1	21	15%	2	—	—
N. Dorsch	M	90	7.30	—	1	—	66	58%	4	—	—
J. Niehues	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	41	38%	3	—	—
E. Dinkçi	M	90	6.70	—	—	3	28	20%	3	—	—
B. Zivzivadze	F	62	6.30	—	—	1	13	9%	1	—	—
M. Pieringer	F	90	7.20	—	—	1	20	16%	—	—	—
A. Ibrahimović	M	28	6.70	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—