Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28 April 04, 2026 17:30

Borussia Mönchengladbach

#13 · 35 pts

2 – 2

Final score

1. FC Heidenheim

#17 · 26 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Borussia Mönchengladbach, result Pareggio

W. Mohya (ast. J. Castrop) 16'

F. Honorat (ast. S. Machino) 74'

26' (ast. N. Dorsch) P. Mainka

63' M. Busch

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Mönchengladbach a 58% win probability (draw 22%, 1. FC Heidenheim 18%). The final result was Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim. In 1 previous meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for 1. FC Heidenheim.

Match statistics

11

Total shots

11

7

Shots on target

7

0.73

Actual xG

0.94

4

Saves

5

52%

Possession

48%

2

Corners

3

13

Tackles

18

4

🟨 Yellow cards

0

Match Events

⚽W. Mohya · ast. J. Castrop

16'

26'

ast. N. Dorsch · P. Mainka⚽

Jens Castrop

42'

Yannik Engelhardt

44'

49'

L. Stergiou / H. Behrens ↕

62'

M. Kaufmann / B. Zivzivadze ↕

62'

A. Ibrahimovic / M. Honsak ↕

↕ Y. Engelhardt / K. Stoger

63'

↕ W. Mohya / F. Neuhaus

63'

63'

M. Busch⚽

67'

B. Gimber / ↕

↕ R. Reitz / H. Bolin

70'

↕ J. Scally / H. Tabakovic

70'

⚽F. Honorat · ast. S. Machino

74'

Nico Elvedi

80'

↕ S. Machino / G. Reyna

85'

Kevin Diks

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

58.28%

Borussia

22.76%

X ←

18.96%

1.

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 22.76% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Borussia

1.85

0.73

-1.12

1.

0.96

0.94

-0.02

xG dominance was balanced (0.73 – 0.94). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	33	86
2	Borussia Dortmund	33	70
3	RB Leipzig	33	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	33	61
5	1899 Hoffenheim	33	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	33	58
7	SC Freiburg	33	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	43
9	FC Augsburg	33	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	33	37
11	Hamburger SV	33	37
12	Union Berlin	33	36
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach	33	35
14	1. FC Köln	33	32
15	Werder Bremen	33	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	33	26
17	1. FC Heidenheim	33	26
18	FC St. Pauli	33	26

Lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4-2-1

33

M. Nicolas G 8.20

4

K. Diks D 6.90

30 N. Elvedi D 7.00

16

P. Sander D 6.90

17

J. Castrop 1 👟 M 6.90

6

Yannik Engelhardt 63' M 6.50

27

R. Reitz 70' M 7.50

29

Joseph Scally 70' M 6.30

36

W. Mohya 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.30

9 F. Honorat 1 ⚽ F 7.70

18

S. Machino 1 👟 85' F 6.30

Bench

2

F. C. Chiarodia D

13

G. Reyna 10' M 7.20

38

H. Bolin 20' M 6.30

15 H. Tabaković 20' F 6.20

7 K. Stöger 27' M 7.50

26

L. Ullrich D

1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-2

41 Diant Ramaj G 6.70

26 Hennes Behrens 49' D 6.90

19

D 6.90

6 Patrick Mainka 1 ⚽ D 7.90

2

M. Busch 1 ⚽ D 7.30

17 Mathias Honsak 62' M 6.30

30 Niklas Dorsch 1 👟 M 7.30

16 Julian Niehues M 6.70

8 Eren Dinkçi M 6.70

11 Budu Zivzivadze 62' F 6.30

18 Marvin Pieringer F 7.20

Bench

22 A. Ibrahimović 28' M 6.70

9 Stefan Schimmer F

Best on the pitch

M. Nicolas

G · Borussia

8.20

· 39 pass

Patrick Mainka

D · 1.

7.90

1 ⚽

3 shots · 58 pass

F. Honorat

F · Borussia

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 31 pass

K. Stöger

M · Borussia

7.50

1 shots · 31 pass

R. Reitz

M · Borussia

7.50

1 shots · 47 pass

Niklas Dorsch

M · 1.

7.30

1 👟

· 66 pass

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Nicolas	G	90	8.20	—	—	—	39	34%	—	—	—
K. Diks	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	60	56%	—	1	—
N. Elvedi	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	60	55%	2	1	—
P. Sander	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	56	45%	1	—	—
J. Castrop	M	90	6.90	—	1	1	30	22%	2	1	—
Yannik Engelhardt	M	63	6.50	—	—	—	37	26%	1	1	—
R. Reitz	M	70	7.50	—	—	1	47	42%	2	—	—
Joseph Scally	M	70	6.30	—	—	—	22	17%	2	—	—
W. Mohya	F	63	7.30	1	—	2	20	16%	—	—	—
F. Honorat	F	90	7.70	1	—	2	31	22%	1	—	—
S. Machino	F	85	6.30	—	1	—	31	24%	—	—	—
G. Reyna	M	10	7.20	—	—	—	15	15%	—	—	—
H. Bolin	M	20	6.30	—	—	1	11	8%	—	—	—
H. Tabaković	F	20	6.20	—	—	2	9	5%	—	—	—
K. Stöger	M	27	7.50	—	—	1	31	26%	2	—	—

1. FC Heidenheim — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Diant Ramaj	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	60	32%	—	—	—
Hennes Behrens	D	49	6.90	—	—	—	15	12%	3	—	—
	D	90	6.90	—	—	—	59	51%	—	—	—
Patrick Mainka	D	90	7.90	1	—	3	58	54%	—	—	—
M. Busch	D	90	7.30	1	—	1	45	42%	2	—	—
Mathias Honsak	M	62	6.30	—	—	1	21	15%	2	—	—
Niklas Dorsch	M	90	7.30	—	1	—	66	58%	4	—	—
Julian Niehues	M	90	6.70	—	—	1	41	38%	3	—	—
Eren Dinkçi	M	90	6.70	—	—	3	28	20%	3	—	—
Budu Zivzivadze	F	62	6.30	—	—	1	13	9%	1	—	—
Marvin Pieringer	F	90	7.20	—	—	1	20	16%	—	—	—
A. Ibrahimović	M	28	6.70	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—