Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 17:30 Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

#12 · 0 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Borussia Dortmund

#2 · 0 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Borussia Dortmund, result Borussia Mönchengladbach wins

H. Tabakovic (ast. R. Reitz) 88'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 55% win probability (draw 20%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 24%). The final result was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund. In 1 previous meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Borussia Dortmund.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

6

4

Shots on target

1

2.10

Actual xG

0.48

1

Saves

3

51%

Possession

49%

1

Corners

1

17

Tackles

12

3

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

K. Stoger

54'

56'

N. Schlotterbeck

61'

D. Svensson / M. Beier ↕

↕ W. Mohya / H. Bolin

66'

↕ F. C. Chiarodia / K. Diks

70'

↕ K. Stoger / G. Reyna

70'

76'

S. Ozcan / J. Bellingham ↕

76'

F. Silva / S. Guirassy ↕

84'

Y. Couto / J. Ryerson ↕

84'

C. Chukwuemeka / J. Brandt ↕

N. Elvedi

87'

⚽H. Tabakovic · ast. R. Reitz

88'

H. Tabakovic

90'+1

↕ H. Tabakovic / S. Machino

90'+1

↕ R. Reitz / R. Hack

90'+1

Pre-match prediction

24.29%

Borussia ←

20.21%

X

55.51%

Borussia

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Mönchengladbach) 24.29% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Borussia

1.29

2.10

+0.81

Borussia

2.13

0.48

-1.65

Borussia Mönchengladbach dominated by xG (2.10 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	0	0
2	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
3	RB Leipzig	0	0
4	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
5	1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
6	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
9	FC Augsburg	0	0
10	FSV Mainz 05	0	0
11	Union Berlin	0	0
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
13	Hamburger SV	0	0
14	1. FC Köln	0	0
15	Werder Bremen	0	0
16	FC Schalke 04	0	0
17	SV Elversberg	0	0
18	SC Paderborn 07	0	0

Lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-4-1

33 Moritz Nicolas G 6.60

29 Joe Scally D 7.20

2 Fabio Chiarodia 70' D 6.90

30 Nico Elvedi D 6.60

16 Philipp Sander D 7.30

9 F. Honorat D 7.90

36 Wael Mohya 65' M 6.30

7 K. Stöger 70' M 7.30

6 Yannick Engelhardt M 6.70

27 R. Reitz 1 👟 89' M 7.90

15 Haris Tabaković 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.90

Bench

13 Giovanni Reyna 20' M 6.70

38 Hugo Bolin 25' M 6.90

4

Kevin Diks 20' D 6.60

26 Lukas Ullrich D

25 Robin Hack 1' M

18 Shuto Machino 1' F

Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1

1 Gregor Kobel G 7.20

4 N. Schlotterbeck D 7.30

3

D 6.20

49 Luca Reggiani D 7.30

14 Maximilian Beier 61' M 6.60

7 J. Bellingham 76' M 7.20

20 M. Sabitzer M 7.00

26 J. Ryerson 84' M 6.60

40 Samuele Inacio F 6.60

10 Julian Brandt 84' F 6.20

9 S. Guirassy 76' F 6.30

Bench

17 Carney Chukwuemeka 12' M 6.30

24 D. Svensson 29' D 6.20

21 Fábio Silva 14' F 6.20

39 Filippo Mané D

Best on the pitch

F. Honorat

D · Borussia

7.90

· 31 pass

R. Reitz

M · Borussia

7.90

1 👟

1 shots · 45 pass

Luca Reggiani

D · Borussia

7.30

· 60 pass

Philipp Sander

D · Borussia

7.30

· 67 pass

N. Schlotterbeck

D · Borussia

7.30

· 68 pass

K. Stöger

M · Borussia

7.30

1 shots · 62 pass

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Moritz Nicolas	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	47	32%	—	—	—
Joe Scally	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	39	30%	1	—	—
Fabio Chiarodia	D	70	6.90	—	—	—	48	42%	1	—	—
Nico Elvedi	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	53	47%	2	1	—
Philipp Sander	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	67	58%	1	—	—
F. Honorat	D	90	7.90	—	—	—	31	23%	2	—	—
Wael Mohya	M	65	6.30	—	—	—	17	15%	1	—	—
K. Stöger	M	70	7.30	—	—	1	62	58%	2	1	—
Yannick Engelhardt	M	90	6.70	—	—	3	45	41%	1	—	—
R. Reitz	M	89	7.90	—	1	1	45	37%	4	—	—
Haris Tabaković	F	89	6.90	1	—	3	17	10%	1	1	—
Giovanni Reyna	M	20	6.70	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
Hugo Bolin	M	25	6.90	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
Kevin Diks	D	20	6.60	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
Robin Hack	M	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	—	—
Shuto Machino	F	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—

Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Gregor Kobel	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	33	20%	—	—	—
N. Schlotterbeck	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	68	59%	3	1	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	47	42%	—	—	—
Luca Reggiani	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	60	52%	3	—	—
Maximilian Beier	M	61	6.60	—	—	—	26	20%	—	—	—
J. Bellingham	M	76	7.20	—	—	—	54	51%	—	—	—
M. Sabitzer	M	90	7.00	—	—	1	50	43%	2	—	—
J. Ryerson	M	84	6.60	—	—	—	29	26%	2	—	—
Samuele Inacio	F	90	6.60	—	—	2	29	23%	2	—	—
Julian Brandt	F	84	6.20	—	—	1	40	35%	—	—	—
S. Guirassy	F	76	6.30	—	—	—	16	13%	—	—	—
Carney Chukwuemeka	M	12	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
D. Svensson	D	29	6.20	—	—	—	10	10%	—	—	—
Fábio Silva	F	14	6.20	—	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—