Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 17:30

Borussia Mönchengladbach

#13 · 35 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Borussia Dortmund

#2 · 70 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Borussia Dortmund, result Borussia Mönchengladbach vince

H. Tabakovic (ast. R. Reitz) 88'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Borussia Dortmund a 55% win probability (draw 20%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 24%). The final result was Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–0 Borussia Dortmund. In 1 previous meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Borussia Dortmund.

Match statistics

9

Total shots

6

4

Shots on target

1

2.10

Actual xG

0.48

1

Saves

3

51%

Possession

49%

1

Corners

1

17

Tackles

12

3

🟨 Yellow cards

1

Match Events

K. Stoger

54'

56'

N. Schlotterbeck

61'

D. Svensson / M. Beier ↕

↕ W. Mohya / H. Bolin

66'

↕ F. C. Chiarodia / K. Diks

70'

↕ K. Stoger / G. Reyna

70'

76'

S. Ozcan / J. Bellingham ↕

76'

F. Silva / S. Guirassy ↕

84'

Y. Couto / J. Ryerson ↕

84'

C. Chukwuemeka / J. Brandt ↕

N. Elvedi

87'

⚽H. Tabakovic · ast. R. Reitz

88'

H. Tabakovic

90'+1

↕ H. Tabakovic / S. Machino

90'+1

↕ R. Reitz / R. Hack

90'+1

Pre-match prediction

24.29%

Borussia ←

20.21%

X

55.51%

Borussia

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Borussia Mönchengladbach) 24.29% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Borussia

1.29

2.10

+0.81

Borussia

2.13

0.48

-1.65

Borussia Mönchengladbach dominated by xG (2.10 vs 0.48). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Bayern München	33	86
2	Borussia Dortmund	33	70
3	RB Leipzig	33	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	33	61
5	1899 Hoffenheim	33	61
6	Bayer Leverkusen	33	58
7	SC Freiburg	33	44
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	43
9	FC Augsburg	33	43
10	FSV Mainz 05	33	37
11	Hamburger SV	33	37
12	Union Berlin	33	36
13	Borussia Mönchengladbach	33	35
14	1. FC Köln	33	32
15	Werder Bremen	33	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	33	26
17	1. FC Heidenheim	33	26
18	FC St. Pauli	33	26

Lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-4-1

33

M. Nicolas G 6.60

29

Joseph Scally D 7.20

2

F. C. Chiarodia 70' D 6.90

30 N. Elvedi D 6.60

16

P. Sander D 7.30

9 F. Honorat D 7.90

36

W. Mohya 65' M 6.30

7 K. Stöger 70' M 7.30

6

Yannik Engelhardt M 6.70

27

R. Reitz 1 👟 89' M 7.90

15 H. Tabaković 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.90

Bench

13

G. Reyna 20' M 6.70

38

H. Bolin 25' M 6.90

4

K. Diks 20' D 6.60

26

L. Ullrich D

25

R. Hack 1' M

18

S. Machino 1' F

Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1

1

G. Kobel G 7.20

4

Nico Schlotterbeck D 7.30

3

D 6.20

49

L. Reggiani D 7.30

14

Maximilian Beier 61' M 6.60

7

J. Bellingham 76' M 7.20

20 M. Sabitzer M 7.00

26 J. Ryerson 84' M 6.60

40

S. Inacio F 6.60

10

J. Brandt 84' F 6.20

9

Serhou Guirassy 76' F 6.30

Bench

17

Carney Chukwuemeka 12' M 6.30

24

D. Svensson 29' D 6.20

21

Fábio Silva 14' F 6.20

39

F. Mane D

Best on the pitch

F. Honorat

D · Borussia

7.90

· 31 pass

R. Reitz

M · Borussia

7.90

1 👟

1 shots · 45 pass

L. Reggiani

D · Borussia

7.30

· 60 pass

P. Sander

D · Borussia

7.30

· 67 pass

Nico Schlotterbeck

D · Borussia

7.30

· 68 pass

K. Stöger

M · Borussia

7.30

1 shots · 62 pass

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Nicolas	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	47	32%	—	—	—
Joseph Scally	D	90	7.20	—	—	1	39	30%	1	—	—
F. C. Chiarodia	D	70	6.90	—	—	—	48	42%	1	—	—
N. Elvedi	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	53	47%	2	1	—
P. Sander	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	67	58%	1	—	—
F. Honorat	D	90	7.90	—	—	—	31	23%	2	—	—
W. Mohya	M	65	6.30	—	—	—	17	15%	1	—	—
K. Stöger	M	70	7.30	—	—	1	62	58%	2	1	—
Yannik Engelhardt	M	90	6.70	—	—	3	45	41%	1	—	—
R. Reitz	M	89	7.90	—	1	1	45	37%	4	—	—
H. Tabaković	F	89	6.90	1	—	3	17	10%	1	1	—
G. Reyna	M	20	6.70	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
H. Bolin	M	25	6.90	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
K. Diks	D	20	6.60	—	—	—	12	10%	—	—	—
R. Hack	M	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	—	—
S. Machino	F	1	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—

Borussia Dortmund — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
G. Kobel	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	33	20%	—	—	—
Nico Schlotterbeck	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	68	59%	3	1	—
	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	47	42%	—	—	—
L. Reggiani	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	60	52%	3	—	—
Maximilian Beier	M	61	6.60	—	—	—	26	20%	—	—	—
J. Bellingham	M	76	7.20	—	—	—	54	51%	—	—	—
M. Sabitzer	M	90	7.00	—	—	1	50	43%	2	—	—
J. Ryerson	M	84	6.60	—	—	—	29	26%	2	—	—
S. Inacio	F	90	6.60	—	—	2	29	23%	2	—	—
J. Brandt	F	84	6.20	—	—	1	40	35%	—	—	—
Serhou Guirassy	F	76	6.30	—	—	—	16	13%	—	—	—
Carney Chukwuemeka	M	12	6.30	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
D. Svensson	D	29	6.20	—	—	—	10	10%	—	—	—
Fábio Silva	F	14	6.20	—	—	1	9	7%	—	—	—