Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05 — pre-match prediction — Bundesliga — September 19, 2026

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Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4 September 19, 2026 15:30 Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach

Borussia Mönchengladbach

#18 · 0 pts

3 – 4

Final score

FSV Mainz 05

#6 · 7 pts

Florian Neuhaus (ast. Lukas Ullrich) 11'

Isac Lidberg (ast. Lukas Ullrich) 59'

Shuto Machino 90'+5 (pen.)

18' (ast. Sheraldo Becker) Phillip Tietz

45'+1 (ast. Anthony Caci) Sheraldo Becker

78' (ast. Kaishu Sano) Eric Martel

89' Danny da Costa

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FSV Mainz 05 a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 32%). The final result was Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05. In 2 previous meetings, Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for FSV Mainz 05.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

47%

Possession

53%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Florian Neuhaus · ast. Lukas Ullrich

11'

18'

ast. Sheraldo Becker · Phillip Tietz⚽

Lukas Ullrich

19'

45'+1

ast. Anthony Caci · Sheraldo Becker⚽

55'

Stefan Posch

Philipp Sander

55'

⚽Kevin Diks (missed pen.)

57'

⚽Isac Lidberg · ast. Lukas Ullrich

59'

Florian Neuhaus

62'

↕ Florian Neuhaus / Wael Mohya

64'

65'

Danny da Costa / Anthony Caci ↕

65'

Eric Martel / Lee Jae-Sung ↕

73'

Phillipp Mwene

76'

Ransford Konigsdorffer / Sheraldo Becker ↕

↕ Franck Honorat / Kevin Stöger

76'

↕ Joe Scally / Daiki Hashioka

76'

78'

ast. Kaishu Sano · Eric Martel⚽

↕ Ko Itakura / Shuto Machino

84'

↕ Hugo Bolin / Robin Hack

84'

Wael Mohya

87'

Kevin Stöger

87'

89'

Danny da Costa⚽

90'+1

Lennard Maloney / Nadiem Amiri ↕

90'+3

Kacper Potulski

Shuto Machino

90'+3

90'+4

Alexander Schwolow

⚽Shuto Machino (pen.)

90'+5

90'+7

Ransford Konigsdorffer

Pre-match prediction

32.69%

Borussia

30.16%

37.15%

FSV ←

we assigned to the actual result (FSV Mainz 05) 37.15% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Borussia

1.53

—

FSV

2.06

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Lineups

Borussia Mönchengladbach 3-4-2-1

M. Nicolas G 5.74

K. Diks D 6.14

J. Leszczyński D 6.47

Ko Itakura 84' D 5.84

L. Ullrich 2 👟 M 7.22

P. Sander M 5.96

H. Bolin 84' M 6.16

J. Scally 76' M 6.23

F. Neuhaus 1 ⚽ 64' M 7.51

F. Honorat 76' M 5.35

I. Lidberg 1 ⚽ F 7.08

Bench

D. Batz G 0.00

D. Hashioka 14' D 5.64

D. Herold D 0.00

F. Chiarodia D 0.00

K. Stöger 14' M 5.90

M. Nguefack M 0.00

R. Hack 6' M 5.77

S. Machino 1 ⚽ 6' F 7.51

W. Mohya 26' M 5.67

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2

A. Schwolow G 6.20

K. Potulski D 6.05

F. Gruber D 5.88

S. Posch D 6.06

P. Mwene M 6.32

Jae-sung Lee 65' M 6.44

Kaishu Sano 1 👟 M 6.96

N. Amiri 89' M 6.47

A. Caci 1 👟 65' M 6.57

S. Becker 1 ⚽ 1 👟 76' F 9.00

P. Tietz 1 ⚽ F 7.85

Bench

B. Hollerbach F 0.00

D. da Costa 1 ⚽ 25' D 7.06

E. Martel 1 ⚽ 25' M 7.11

L. Maloney 1' M 0.00

M. Kinzig G 0.00

O. Ruoppi M 0.00

R. Königsdörffer 14' F 6.26

R. Nakuzola D 0.00

S. Bell D 0.00

Best on the pitch

S. Becker

F · FSV

9.00

1 ⚽ 1 👟

5 shots · 20 pass

P. Tietz

F · FSV

7.85

1 ⚽

3 shots · 21 pass

S. Machino

F · Borussia

7.51

1 ⚽

4 shots · 1 pass

F. Neuhaus

M · Borussia

7.51

1 ⚽

2 shots · 13 pass

L. Ullrich

M · Borussia

7.22

2 👟

2 shots · 29 pass

E. Martel

M · FSV

7.11

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

Borussia Mönchengladbach — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Nicolas	G	90	5.74	—	—	0	24	14%	0	—	—
K. Diks	D	90	6.14	—	—	1	58	48%	2	—	—
J. Leszczyński	D	90	6.47	—	—	2	73	67%	1	—	—
Ko Itakura	D	84	5.84	—	—	1	40	33%	0	—	—
L. Ullrich	M	90	7.22	—	2	2	29	21%	2	1	—
P. Sander	M	90	5.96	—	—	2	60	44%	4	1	—
H. Bolin	M	84	6.16	—	—	2	18	11%	2	—	—
J. Scally	M	76	6.23	—	—	1	26	23%	1	—	—
F. Neuhaus	M	64	7.51	1	—	2	13	9%	2	1	—
F. Honorat	M	76	5.35	—	—	0	17	13%	1	—	—
I. Lidberg	F	90	7.08	1	—	3	23	16%	0	—	—
D. Hashioka	D	14	5.64	—	—	0	7	6%	0	—	—
K. Stöger	M	14	5.90	—	—	0	15	12%	0	1	—
R. Hack	M	6	5.77	—	—	0	4	2%	0	—	—
S. Machino	F	6	7.51	1	—	4	1	1%	0	1	—
W. Mohya	M	26	5.67	—	—	1	13	13%	1	1	—

FSV Mainz 05 — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Schwolow	G	90	6.20	—	—	0	27	18%	0	1	—
K. Potulski	D	90	6.05	—	—	2	68	63%	3	1	—
F. Gruber	D	90	5.88	—	—	0	78	64%	3	—	—
S. Posch	D	90	6.06	—	—	1	56	47%	4	1	—
P. Mwene	M	90	6.32	—	—	1	32	27%	3	1	—
Jae-sung Lee	M	65	6.44	—	—	0	26	19%	0	—	—
Kaishu Sano	M	90	6.96	—	1	1	48	42%	0	—	—
N. Amiri	M	89	6.47	—	—	0	61	52%	0	—	—
A. Caci	M	65	6.57	—	1	2	21	17%	0	—	—
S. Becker	F	76	9.00	1	1	5	20	16%	0	—	—
P. Tietz	F	90	7.85	1	—	3	21	10%	1	—	—
D. da Costa	D	25	7.06	1	—	1	13	12%	0	—	—
E. Martel	M	25	7.11	1	—	1	4	2%	2	—	—
L. Maloney	M	1	0.00	—	—	0	1	0%	0	—	—
R. Königsdörffer	F	14	6.26	—	—	0	5	1%	1	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?

The final score was Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 FSV Mainz 05.

What did the model predict before Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05?

The model assigned 32% probability to a Borussia Mönchengladbach win, 30% to a draw, and 37% to an FSV Mainz 05 win.