World Cup - Qual. Europe
· Final
March 31, 2026 20:45
H. Tabakovic
79'
15'
(ast. N. Barella)
M. Kean
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Italy a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Bosnia & Herzegovina 33%). The final result was Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Italy.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
7
11
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
10
65%
Possession
35%
10
Corners
4
18
Tackles
16
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
15'
ast. N. Barella ·
M. Kean⚽
41'
Alessandro Bastoni
44'
F. Gatti
/
M. Retegui
S. Kolasinac
/ K. Alajbegovic
46'
I. Sunjic
/ B. Tahirovic
46'
46'
M. Palestra
/
M. Politano
Benjamin Tahirović
54'
I. Basic
/ H. Tabakovic
71'
A. Memic
/ D. Burnic
71'
71'
F. Esposito
/
M. Kean
71'
B. Cristante
/
M. Locatelli
⚽H. Tabakovic
79'
81'
Gianluigi Donnarumma
85'
D. Frattesi
/
N. Barella
91'
L. Spinazzola
/
F. Dimarco
Tarik Muharemović
102'
Nikola Katić
114'
E. Demirovic
/ A. Hadziahmetovic
115'
120'+1
Davide Frattesi
Pre-match prediction
33.29%
Bosnia
32.59%
X ←
34.12%
Italy
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.59%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
—
—
1.92
—
—
Lineups
1
G
5
Sead Kolašinac
45'
D
Sead Kolašinac
45'
D
4
T. Muharemović
D
T. Muharemović
D
18
Nikola Katić
D
Nikola Katić
D
7
D
15
Amar Memić
71'
M
Amar Memić
71'
M
14
I. Šunjić
45'
M
I. Šunjić
45'
M
13
Ivan Bašić
71'
M
Ivan Bašić
71'
M
20
Esmir Bajraktarević
M
Esmir Bajraktarević
M
11
Edin Džeko
F
Edin Džeko
F
10
E. Demirović
F
E. Demirović
F
Bench
16
Amir Hadžiahmetović
5'
M
Amir Hadžiahmetović
5'
M
8
Armin Gigović
M
Armin Gigović
M
6
Benjamin Tahirović
75'
M
Benjamin Tahirović
75'
M
17
D. Burnić
49'
M
D. Burnić
49'
M
23
H. Tabaković
1 ⚽
49'
F
H. Tabaković
1 ⚽
49'
F
19
Kerim Alajbegović
75'
F
Kerim Alajbegović
75'
F
3
Nidal Čelik
D
2
Nihad Mujakić
D
Nihad Mujakić
D
9
Samed Baždar
F
Samed Baždar
F
21
Stjepan Radeljić
D
Stjepan Radeljić
D
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G
13
Riccardo Calafiori
D
Riccardo Calafiori
D
21
A. Bastoni
41'
D
A. Bastoni
41'
D
23
G. Mancini
D
G. Mancini
D
3
F. Dimarco
M
F. Dimarco
M
8
S. Tonali
M
S. Tonali
M
5
M. Locatelli
71'
M
M. Locatelli
71'
M
18
N. Barella
1 👟
85'
M
N. Barella
1 👟
85'
M
7
M. Politano
45'
M
M. Politano
45'
M
9
M. Retegui
44'
F
M. Retegui
44'
F
11
M. Kean
1 ⚽
71'
F
M. Kean
1 ⚽
71'
F
Bench
6
Alessandro Buongiorno
D
Alessandro Buongiorno
D
20
Andrea Cambiaso
D
Andrea Cambiaso
D
17
D. Frattesi
35'
M
D. Frattesi
35'
M
19
Federico Gatti
76'
D
Federico Gatti
76'
D
15
F. Esposito
49'
F
F. Esposito
49'
F
10
Giacomo Raspadori
F
Giacomo Raspadori
F
4
L. Spinazzola
30'
D
L. Spinazzola
30'
D
12
Marco Carnesecchi
G
Marco Carnesecchi
G
2
Marco Palestra
75'
D
Marco Palestra
75'
D
14
Niccolò Pisilli
M
Niccolò Pisilli
M
Best on the pitch
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G · Italy
8.90
· 49 pass
Nikola Katić
D · Bosnia
8.50
3 shots
· 109 pass
Esmir Bajraktarević
M · Bosnia
8.20
2 shots
· 58 pass
T. Muharemović
D · Bosnia
7.90
1 shots
· 96 pass
D · Bosnia
7.90
1 shots
· 86 pass
Amar Memić
M · Bosnia
7.70
2 shots
· 35 pass
Bosnia & Herzegovina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Muharemović | D | 120 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 96 | 85% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nikola Katić | D | 120 | 8.50 | — | — | 3 | 109 | 100% | 4 | 1 | — |
| D | 120 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 75% | 1 | — | — | |
| Amar Memić | M | 71 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Šunjić | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Ivan Bašić | M | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Esmir Bajraktarević | M | 120 | 8.20 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Edin Džeko | F | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Demirović | F | 115 | 7.50 | — | — | 5 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Amir Hadžiahmetović | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Tahirović | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 76 | 73% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Burnić | M | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Tabaković | F | 49 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Kerim Alajbegović | F | 75 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 43% | — | — | — |
Italy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | G | 120 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Riccardo Calafiori | D | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bastoni | D | 41 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | — | — | 1 |
| G. Mancini | D | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
| F. Dimarco | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Tonali | M | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Locatelli | M | 71 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Barella | M | 85 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 43 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Politano | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Retegui | F | 44 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Kean | F | 71 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Frattesi | M | 35 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Federico Gatti | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| F. Esposito | F | 49 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 6% | — | — | — |
| L. Spinazzola | D | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Palestra | D | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy?
The final score was Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–1 Italy.
What did the model predict before Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Bosnia & Herzegovina win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Italy win.