Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–0 Poland — pre-match prediction — UEFA Nations League — October 05, 2026

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UEFA Nations League · League B - 4 October 05, 2026 20:45 Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica

Bosnia & Herzegovina

#2 · 8 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Poland

#3 · 4 pts

Ivan Bašić 84' (pen.)

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bosnia & Herzegovina a 33% win probability (draw 35%, Poland 30%). The final result was Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–0 Poland. In 1 previous meetings, Bosnia & Herzegovina have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Poland.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

44%

Possession

56%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

Armin Gigovic

32'

38'

Nicola Zalewski

Ermedin Demirović

42'

63'

Norbert Wojtuszek / Matty Cash ↕

63'

Marcel Regula / Karol Świderski ↕

↕ Zinedin Smajlovic / Esmir Bajraktarević

63'

↕ Ermin Mahmić / Benjamin Tahirovic

63'

76'

Nikola Katić

76'

↕ Haris Tabaković / Samed Baždar

78'

↕ Ermedin Demirović / Jovo Lukić

78'

83'

Jan Bednarek

⚽Ivan Bašić (pen.)

84'

89'

Kacper Urbanski / Wiktor Nowak ↕

89'

Oskar Pietuszewski / Mateusz Zukowski ↕

↕ Armin Gigovic / Stjepan Radeljić

89'

90'+1

Norbert Wojtuszek

Pre-match prediction

33.85%

Bosnia ←

35.98%

30.17%

Poland

we assigned to the actual result (Bosnia & Herzegovina) 33.85% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Bosnia

0.89

—

Poland

0.83

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Sweden	4	10
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	4	8
3	Poland	4	4
4	Romania	4	0

Lineups

Bosnia & Herzegovina 4-4-2

M. Zlomislić G 7.77

S. Kolašinac D 6.61

T. Muharemović D 6.79

N. Katić D 6.80

Z. Smajlović 63' D 6.86

Ermin Mahmić 63' M 5.98

I. Bašić 1 ⚽ M 7.78

A. Gigović 89' M 6.25

A. Memić M 6.39

H. Tabaković 78' F 6.39

E. Demirović 78' F 6.25

Bench

A. Hasić M 0.00

A. Malic D 0.00

Benjamin Tahirović 27' M 6.54

E. Bajraktarevic 27' F 6.68

I. Šunjić M 0.00

J. Lukić 12' F 6.28

Mladen Jurkas G 0.00

Nihad Mujakić D 0.00

N. Omerović F 0.00

S. Baždar 12' F 6.07

S. Hamzić G 0.00

S. Radeljić 1' D 6.55

Poland 4-2-3-1

M. Bułka G 6.49

P. Frankowski D 7.20

J. Kiwior D 7.20

J. Bednarek D 6.36

M. Cash 63' D 6.59

P. Zieliński M 7.03

W. Nowak 89' M 6.74

N. Zalewski M 6.08

S. Szymański M 6.75

K. Świderski 63' M 6.55

M. Żukowski 89' F 6.00

Bench

B. Slisz M 0.00

K. Potulski D 0.00

K. UrbaÅski 1' M 6.18

M. Kochalski G 0.00

M. Reguła 27' M 6.32

M. Skóraś F 0.00

N. Wojtuszek 27' D 5.86

O. Pietuszewski 1' F 6.35

P. Wiśniewski D 0.00

S. Abramowicz G 0.00

T. Kędziora D 0.00

T. Puchacz D 0.00

Best on the pitch

I. Bašić

M · Bosnia

7.78

1 ⚽

3 shots · 65 pass

M. Zlomislić

G · Bosnia

7.77

· 19 pass

J. Kiwior

D · Poland

7.20

2 shots · 54 pass

P. Frankowski

D · Poland

7.20

4 shots · 63 pass

P. Zieliński

M · Poland

7.03

3 shots · 61 pass

Z. Smajlović

D · Bosnia

6.86

1 shots · 38 pass

Bosnia & Herzegovina — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Zlomislić	G	90	7.77	—	—	0	19	12%	0	—	—
S. Kolašinac	D	90	6.61	—	—	1	19	15%	2	—	—
T. Muharemović	D	90	6.79	—	—	1	66	55%	1	—	—
N. Katić	D	90	6.80	—	—	0	48	43%	1	1	—
Z. Smajlović	D	63	6.86	—	—	1	38	32%	0	—	—
Ermin Mahmić	M	63	5.98	—	—	1	18	14%	2	—	—
I. Bašić	M	90	7.78	1	—	3	65	58%	1	—	—
A. Gigović	M	89	6.25	—	—	0	19	17%	1	1	—
A. Memić	M	90	6.39	—	—	0	19	16%	0	—	—
H. Tabaković	F	78	6.39	—	—	0	15	13%	0	—	—
E. Demirović	F	78	6.25	—	—	1	7	5%	0	1	—
Benjamin Tahirović	M	27	6.54	—	—	1	11	11%	0	—	—
E. Bajraktarevic	F	27	6.68	—	—	0	8	5%	0	—	—
J. Lukić	F	12	6.28	—	—	0	3	2%	1	—	—
S. Baždar	F	12	6.07	—	—	0	1	1%	0	—	—
S. Radeljić	D	1	6.55	—	—	0	3	2%	1	—	—

Poland — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
M. Bułka	G	90	6.49	—	—	0	25	18%	0	—	—
P. Frankowski	D	90	7.20	—	—	4	63	54%	3	—	—
J. Kiwior	D	90	7.20	—	—	2	54	47%	1	—	—
J. Bednarek	D	90	6.36	—	—	1	47	44%	1	1	—
M. Cash	D	63	6.59	—	—	1	34	28%	0	—	—
P. Zieliński	M	90	7.03	—	—	3	61	56%	2	—	—
W. Nowak	M	89	6.74	—	—	1	39	33%	3	—	—
N. Zalewski	M	90	6.08	—	—	0	36	28%	0	1	—
S. Szymański	M	90	6.75	—	—	1	24	20%	1	—	—
K. Świderski	M	63	6.55	—	—	2	14	12%	0	—	—
M. Żukowski	F	89	6.00	—	—	3	18	13%	0	—	—
K. UrbaÅski	M	1	6.18	—	—	0	5	3%	1	—	—
M. Reguła	M	27	6.32	—	—	0	2	1%	0	—	—
N. Wojtuszek	D	27	5.86	—	—	0	20	16%	1	1	—
O. Pietuszewski	F	1	6.35	—	—	0	0	0%	0	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

The final score was Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–0 Poland.

What did the model predict before Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?

The model assigned 33% probability to a Bosnia & Herzegovina win, 35% to a draw, and 30% to an Poland win.