Bosnia & Herzegovina - Sweden
⚡ Pre-match analysis
61.09%
Win
Bosnia & Herzegovina
17.32%
Draw
21.58%
Win
Sweden
2.77
1.6
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Bosnia & Herzegovina
61.09%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(7.84%)
1X2 Result
1
61%
X
17%
2
22%
Double Chance
1X
78%
X2
39%
12
83%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
93%
Over 2.5
84%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bosnia & Herzegovina a 61% win probability, against 17% for a draw and 21% for Sweden. Expected goals are 2.8 for Bosnia & Herzegovina and 1.6 for Sweden (total 4.4), with a 92% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 7.84% probability.
Season Stats
0W
2D
4L
5W
1D
0L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
3.2
2.8
Conceded
0.7
2.5
Shots OT
10.3
2.0
Corners
9.2
36%
Poss.
65%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
50%
17%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
67%
BTTS
0W
1D
2L
· at home
2W
1D
0L
· away
0.7
gls/g
2.7
1.7
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
67%
33%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
67%
67%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
33%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Bosnia & Herzegovina
Sweden →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Attack
29
Defence
71
Form
37
Sweden
Attack
44
Defence
48
Form
14
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Injured
Sweden
Injured
UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 4
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Poland
|
0 | 0 |
| 2 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina
|
0 | 0 |
| 3 |
Romania
|
0 | 0 |
| 4 |
Sweden
|
0 | 0 |
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League B, Group 4
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #2 | #4 |
| → Bosnia & Herzegovina | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Sweden | #3 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
The model gives Bosnia & Herzegovina a 61% win probability, 17% for a draw, and 21% for an Sweden win.
How many goals are expected in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
Expected goals: Bosnia & Herzegovina 2.8, Sweden 1.6 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 92%.
What is the most likely score in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.84%.