Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 10
May 26, 2026 00:00
Everton Morelli
(ast. Rafael Gava)
49'
37'
(ast. Ian Luccas)
Max
69'
(ast. Ian Luccas)
Diogo Batista
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo SP a 35% win probability (draw 33%, Athletic Club 30%). The final result was Botafogo SP 1–2 Athletic Club. In 1 previous meetings, Botafogo SP have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Athletic Club.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
1.37
Actual xG
1.00
0
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
6
Corners
2
12
Tackles
14
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Gabriel Inocencio
31'
Rafael Gava
35'
Matheus Sales
35'
37'
ast. Ian Luccas ·
Max⚽
Matheus Sales
/ Leandro Maciel
46'
Guilherme Queiroz
/ Ze Hugo
46'
46'
Luan Polli
⚽Everton Morelli
· ast. Rafael Gava
49'
Everton Morelli
52'
53'
Marcelo Henrique
⚽Leandro Maciel
(missed pen.)
56'
63'
Gabriel Moyses
/
Jota
69'
ast. Ian Luccas ·
Diogo Batista⚽
72'
G. Cabezas
/
D. Vera
72'
Zeca
/
Marcelo Henrique
Felipe Vieira
/ Pedro Henrique
75'
Rafael Gava
/ Marco Antonio
75'
Kelvin
/ Arthur Caike
79'
80'
Pedro Oliveira
/
Kauan Rodrigues
80'
Bruninho
/
Max
Pre-match prediction
35.42%
Botafogo
33.92%
X
30.66%
Athletic ←
we assigned to the actual result (Athletic Club)
30.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
1.37
+0.46
0.89
1.00
+0.11
Botafogo SP dominated by xG (1.37 vs 1.00).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Victor Souza
G
Victor Souza
G
26
Felipe Vieira
75'
D
Felipe Vieira
75'
D
13
Wallace
D
Wallace
D
4
Vilar
D
Vilar
D
22
Gabriel Inocêncio
D
Gabriel Inocêncio
D
16
Matheus Sales
45'
M
Matheus Sales
45'
M
10
Rafael Gava
1 👟
75'
M
Rafael Gava
1 👟
75'
M
7
Kelvin
78'
M
Kelvin
78'
M
8
Everton Morelli
1 ⚽
M
Everton Morelli
1 ⚽
M
17
Guilherme Queiróz
45'
M
Guilherme Queiróz
45'
M
9
Hygor
F
Hygor
F
Bench
18
Arthur Caíke
23'
F
Arthur Caíke
23'
F
25
Brenno
G
Brenno
G
3
Ericson
D
Ericson
D
15
Guilherme Mariano
D
Guilherme Mariano
D
11
Jefferson Nem
F
Jefferson Nem
F
12
Jordan
G
Jordan
G
5
L. Maciel
56'
M
L. Maciel
56'
M
28
Marco Antônio
26'
M
Marco Antônio
26'
M
31
Pedro Henrique
26'
D
Pedro Henrique
26'
D
29
Thiago Henrique
M
Thiago Henrique
M
23
Wesley Pinheiro Santos
F
Wesley Pinheiro Santos
F
30
Zé Hugo
56'
F
Zé Hugo
56'
F
1
Luan Polli
G
Luan Polli
G
14
Marcelo Henrique
72'
D
Marcelo Henrique
72'
D
4
Lucas Belezi
D
Lucas Belezi
D
3
Jhonatan
D
Jhonatan
D
22
Diogo Batista
1 ⚽
D
Diogo Batista
1 ⚽
D
15
Jota
63'
M
Jota
63'
M
16
João Miguel
M
João Miguel
M
17
Kauan
80'
M
Kauan
80'
M
5
Ian Luccas
2 👟
M
Ian Luccas
2 👟
M
21
D. Vera
72'
F
D. Vera
72'
F
11
Max
1 ⚽
80'
F
Max
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
7
Bruninho
21'
F
Bruninho
21'
F
2
Douglas Pelé
D
Douglas Pelé
D
20
Gabriel Moyses
38'
F
Gabriel Moyses
38'
F
8
G. Cabezas
29'
M
G. Cabezas
29'
M
10
Gustavinho
M
Gustavinho
M
12
Jhonatan
G
Jhonatan
G
19
Kauan Lindes
M
Kauan Lindes
M
18
Pedro Oliveira
21'
M
Pedro Oliveira
21'
M
6
Zeca
29'
D
Zeca
29'
D
Best on the pitch
Max
F · Athletic
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
Diogo Batista
D · Athletic
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
Rafael Gava
M · Botafogo
7.50
1 👟
· 34 pass
Gabriel Inocêncio
D · Botafogo
7.30
· 61 pass
Luan Polli
G · Athletic
7.30
· 32 pass
Ian Luccas
M · Athletic
7.00
2 👟
3 shots
· 20 pass
Botafogo SP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Souza | G | 101 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Vieira | D | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Wallace | D | 101 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Vilar | D | 101 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 74 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Inocêncio | D | 101 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 46% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Sales | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Gava | M | 75 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Kelvin | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Everton Morelli | M | 101 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Queiróz | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Hygor | F | 101 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Caíke | F | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Maciel | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Marco Antônio | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Hugo | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luan Polli | G | 101 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| Marcelo Henrique | D | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Belezi | D | 101 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Jhonatan | D | 101 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Diogo Batista | D | 101 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Jota | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| João Miguel | M | 101 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Kauan | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Ian Luccas | M | 101 | 7.00 | — | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vera | F | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| Max | F | 80 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruninho | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Moyses | F | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| G. Cabezas | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Oliveira | M | 21 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Zeca | D | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?
The final score was Botafogo SP 1–2 Athletic Club.
What did the model predict before Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Botafogo SP win, 33% to a draw, and 30% to an Athletic Club win.