Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 5
April 19, 2026 21:00
Everton Morelli
4'
(pen.)
23'
Gustavo Coutinho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo SP a 39% win probability (draw 31%, Atletico Goianiense 29%). The final result was Botafogo SP 1–1 Atletico Goianiense. In 1 previous meetings, Botafogo SP have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Goianiense.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
1.22
Actual xG
1.22
2
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
5
15
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Everton Morelli
4'
23'
(pen.)
Gustavo Coutinho⚽
25'
Guilherme
Wallace
26'
34'
Ariel
/
Igor Henrique
Luizao
40'
45'+2
Gustavo Coutinho
46'
Bruno Jose
/
Geovany Soares
46'
Guilherme
/
Assis
57'
Leo Jaco
/
Gustavo Coutinho
Kelvin
/ Wesley Santos
59'
Luizao
/ Thalles
59'
74'
Leo Tocantins
/
Marrony
Leandro Maciel
/ Marquinho
77'
Ze Hugo
/ Jefferson Nem
77'
79'
Ariel
Wallace
/ Darlan
90'
Pre-match prediction
39.01%
Botafogo
31.13%
X ←
29.87%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.13%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
1.22
-0.54
1.00
1.22
+0.22
xG dominance was balanced (1.22 – 1.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
6
Patrick Brey
D
Patrick Brey
D
13
Wallace
89'
D
Wallace
89'
D
4
D
31
Pedro Henrique
D
Pedro Henrique
D
5
L. Maciel
77'
M
L. Maciel
77'
M
16
Matheus Sales
M
Matheus Sales
M
7
Kelvin
59'
M
Kelvin
59'
M
8
Everton Morelli
1 ⚽
M
Everton Morelli
1 ⚽
M
30
Zé Hugo
77'
M
Zé Hugo
77'
M
21
Luizão
59'
F
Luizão
59'
F
Bench
11
Jefferson Nem
13'
F
Jefferson Nem
13'
F
19
Márcio Carlos Maranhão
F
Márcio Carlos Maranhão
F
28
Marco Antônio
M
Marco Antônio
M
29
Thiago Henrique
M
Thiago Henrique
M
1
G
6
Guilherme Lopes
D
Guilherme Lopes
D
4
J. Barreto
D
J. Barreto
D
3
D
2
Ewerthon
D
Ewerthon
D
5
Cristiano
M
Cristiano
M
8
Igor Henrique
34'
M
Igor Henrique
34'
M
11
Soares Geovany
45'
M
Soares Geovany
45'
M
7
Assis
45'
M
Assis
45'
M
10
Marrony
74'
M
Marrony
74'
M
9
Gustavo Coutinho
1 ⚽
57'
F
Gustavo Coutinho
1 ⚽
57'
F
Bench
16
Ariel
56'
M
17
Guilherme Marques
45'
M
Guilherme Marques
45'
M
15
Leandro Vilela
M
Leandro Vilela
M
20
Léo Jacó
33'
F
Léo Jacó
33'
F
Best on the pitch
Gustavo Coutinho
F · Atletico
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
G · Atletico
7.30
· 30 pass
Everton Morelli
M · Botafogo
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
Cristiano
M · Atletico
7.20
· 32 pass
L. Maciel
M · Botafogo
7.20
1 shots
· 35 pass
Zé Hugo
M · Botafogo
7.20
2 shots
· 14 pass
Botafogo SP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Patrick Brey | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Wallace | D | 89 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 43% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Maciel | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Sales | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Kelvin | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Everton Morelli | M | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| Zé Hugo | M | 77 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Luizão | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Jefferson Nem | F | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Atletico Goianiense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Guilherme Lopes | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Barreto | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — | |
| Ewerthon | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristiano | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Henrique | M | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Soares Geovany | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Assis | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Marrony | M | 74 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Coutinho | F | 57 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Ariel | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Marques | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Léo Jacó | F | 33 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Atletico Goianiense?
The final score was Botafogo SP 1–1 Atletico Goianiense.
What did the model predict before Botafogo SP vs Atletico Goianiense?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Botafogo SP win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Atletico Goianiense win.