Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 16
July 07, 2026 00:00
✓Model correct — prediction Botafogo SP
Everton Morelli
(ast. Ze Hugo)
28'
Hygor
(ast. Ze Hugo)
54'
Patrick Brey
80'
58'
(ast. Thayllon)
Wallison
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo SP a 66% win probability (draw 20%, Avai 13%). The final result was Botafogo SP 3–1 Avai.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
4
1.39
Actual xG
0.31
39%
Possession
61%
6
Corners
2
Match Events
12'
Paulo Vitor
⚽Everton Morelli
· ast. Ze Hugo
28'
46'
William
/
DG
46'
Wenderson
/
Wesley Gasolina
⚽Hygor
· ast. Ze Hugo
54'
58'
ast. Thayllon ·
Wallison⚽
58'
Marcio Vitor
/
Paulo Vitor
Kelvin
/ Jefferson Nem
64'
Pedro Henrique
/ Yuri Felipe
64'
Matheus Sales
/ Leandro Maciel
77'
Hygor
/ Guilherme Queiroz
77'
78'
Wenderson
⚽Patrick Brey
80'
81'
Jamerson
/
Daniel Penha
Ze Hugo
/ Felipe Vieira
86'
88'
Quaresma
/
Thayllon
Pre-match prediction
66.54%
Botafogo ←
20.32%
X
13.14%
Avai
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo SP)
66.54%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.01
1.39
-0.62
0.50
0.31
-0.19
Botafogo SP dominated by xG (1.39 vs 0.31).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Avai?
The final score was Botafogo SP 3–1 Avai.
What did the model predict before Botafogo SP vs Avai?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Botafogo SP win, 20% to a draw, and 13% to an Avai win.