Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 15
July 01, 2026 01:00
17'
(ast. Lucas Lovat)
Dada Belmonte
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CRB a 39% win probability (draw 28%, Botafogo SP 32%). The final result was Botafogo SP 0–1 CRB.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
4
1.84
Actual xG
0.83
60%
Possession
40%
11
Corners
6
Match Events
17'
ast. Lucas Lovat ·
Dada Belmonte⚽
Everton Morelli
45'
Wallace
/ Felipe Vieira
46'
Yuri Felipe
/ Kelvin
46'
53'
Henri
56'
Thiaguinho
67'
Douglas Baggio
/
Danielzinho
67'
De Lucca
/
Thiaguinho
Everton Morelli
/ Leandro Maciel
70'
Jefferson Nem
/ Arthur Caike
70'
77'
Luiz Phellype
/
Mikael
Pedro Henrique
/ Thiago Moraes
82'
89'
Bressan
/
Dada Belmonte
90'
Douglas Baggio
Pre-match prediction
32.26%
Botafogo
28.02%
X
39.72%
CRB ←
we assigned to the actual result (CRB)
39.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.91
1.84
+0.93
1.34
0.83
-0.51
Botafogo SP dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.83).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs CRB?
The final score was Botafogo SP 0–1 CRB.
What did the model predict before Botafogo SP vs CRB?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Botafogo SP win, 28% to a draw, and 39% to an CRB win.