Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 23
August 20, 2026 02:30
Vilar
(ast. Kelvin)
90'+6
70'
(ast. Marcelo Hermes)
Waguininho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo SP a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Criciuma 30%). The final result was Botafogo SP 1–1 Criciuma. In 1 previous meetings, Botafogo SP have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Criciuma.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
5
0.87
Actual xG
0.30
4
Saves
2
57%
Possession
43%
9
Corners
8
7
Tackles
26
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
24'
Bruno Alves
33'
Jhonata Robert
45'+1
Waguininho
60'
Caue Santos
/
Nicolas
60'
Diego Goncalves
/
Jhonata Robert
70'
ast. Marcelo Hermes ·
Waguininho⚽
Hygor
/ Arthur Caike
75'
Matheus Sales
/ Kelvin
75'
Wesley Santos
/ Jefferson Nem
75'
82'
Jean Irmer
/
Ronald Lopes
Rafael Gava
/ Leandro Maciel
89'
Ze Hugo
/ Marco Antonio
89'
90'+1
Thiaguinho
/
Eduardo
90'+1
Ruan Carvalho
/
Waguininho
⚽Vilar
· ast. Kelvin
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
39.12%
Botafogo
30.02%
X ←
30.87%
Criciuma
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.02%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
0.87
-0.2
0.93
0.30
-0.63
Botafogo SP dominated by xG (0.87 vs 0.30).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Victor Souza
G
Victor Souza
G
6
Patrick Brey
D
Patrick Brey
D
4
Vilar
1 ⚽
D
Vilar
1 ⚽
D
3
Ericson
D
Ericson
D
22
Gabriel Inocêncio
D
Gabriel Inocêncio
D
8
Everton Morelli
89'
M
Everton Morelli
89'
M
16
Matheus Sales
75'
M
Matheus Sales
75'
M
23
Wesley Pinheiro Santos
75'
M
Wesley Pinheiro Santos
75'
M
10
Rafael Gava
89'
M
Rafael Gava
89'
M
30
Zé Hugo
M
Zé Hugo
M
9
Hygor
75'
F
Hygor
75'
F
Bench
18
Arthur Caíke
16'
F
Arthur Caíke
16'
F
34
Badaró
D
Badaró
D
26
Felipe Vieira
D
Felipe Vieira
D
15
Guilherme Mariano
D
Guilherme Mariano
D
11
Jefferson Nem
16'
F
Jefferson Nem
16'
F
2
Jonathan
D
Jonathan
D
12
Jordan
G
Jordan
G
7
Kelvin
1 👟
16'
F
Kelvin
1 👟
16'
F
5
L. Maciel
2'
M
L. Maciel
2'
M
28
Marco Antônio
2'
M
Marco Antônio
2'
M
29
Thiago Henrique
M
Thiago Henrique
M
20
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição
M
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição
M
32
Airton
G
Airton
G
34
Bruno Alves
D
Bruno Alves
D
3
Rodrigo
D
Rodrigo
D
37
César Martins
D
César Martins
D
22
Marcelo Hermes
1 👟
M
Marcelo Hermes
1 👟
M
14
Ronald
82'
M
Ronald
82'
M
5
Eduardo
M
Eduardo
M
13
Waguininho
1 ⚽
M
Waguininho
1 ⚽
M
7
Fellipe Mateus
F
Fellipe Mateus
F
10
Jhonata Robert
60'
F
Jhonata Robert
60'
F
9
Nicolas
60'
F
Nicolas
60'
F
Bench
1
Alisson
G
Alisson
G
88
Cauê
31'
F
Cauê
31'
F
77
Diego Gonçalves
31'
F
Diego Gonçalves
31'
F
31
Hiago Accinelli da Roza
M
Hiago Accinelli da Roza
M
41
Jean Irmer
9'
M
Jean Irmer
9'
M
21
João Carlos
F
João Carlos
F
11
Romarinho
F
Romarinho
F
43
Ruan
D
Ruan
D
50
Thiaguinho
M
Thiaguinho
M
33
Yuri
F
Yuri
F
Best on the pitch
Waguininho
M · Criciuma
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
Rodrigo
D · Criciuma
7.90
· 31 pass
Gabriel Inocêncio
D · Botafogo
7.50
1 shots
· 63 pass
Marcelo Hermes
M · Criciuma
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
Ronald
M · Criciuma
7.30
· 30 pass
César Martins
D · Criciuma
7.30
· 40 pass
Botafogo SP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Souza | G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Patrick Brey | D | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Vilar | D | 91 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 54 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Ericson | D | 91 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Inocêncio | D | 91 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Everton Morelli | M | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Sales | M | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Wesley Pinheiro Santos | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Gava | M | 89 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Hugo | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Hygor | F | 75 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Caíke | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Nem | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Kelvin | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| L. Maciel | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Marco Antônio | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Criciuma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airton | G | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Alves | D | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo | D | 91 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| César Martins | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| Marcelo Hermes | M | 91 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 30 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Ronald | M | 82 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 91 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Waguininho | M | 91 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 23% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Fellipe Mateus | F | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhonata Robert | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Nicolas | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Cauê | F | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Diego Gonçalves | F | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Irmer | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Criciuma?
The final score was Botafogo SP 1–1 Criciuma.
What did the model predict before Botafogo SP vs Criciuma?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Botafogo SP win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Criciuma win.