Botafogo SP 4–2 Juventude — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série B — July 24, 2026

← Brasileirão Série B

Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 19 July 24, 2026 02:30

Botafogo SP

#15 · 24 pts

4 – 2

Final score

Juventude

#2 · 35 pts

Vilar 16'

Wesley Santos 32'

Arthur Caike 49'

Wesley Santos (ast. Rafael Gava) 58'

55' (ast. Marcos Paulo) Patryck

70' Pablo Roberto

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo SP a 39% win probability (draw 27%, Juventude 33%). The final result was Botafogo SP 4–2 Juventude.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.62

Actual xG

0.66

Saves

37%

Possession

63%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽Vilar

16'

⚽Wesley Santos

32'

35'

Lucas Mineiro

Yuri Felipe

44'

46'

Nathan Santos / Rai Ramos ↕

⚽Arthur Caike

49'

55'

ast. Marcos Paulo · Patryck⚽

⚽Wesley Santos · ast. Rafael Gava

58'

59'

Alan Kardec / Fabio Lima ↕

60'

Pablo Roberto / Luan Martins ↕

↕ Arthur Caike / Guilherme Queiroz

60'

Yuri Felipe

65'

Yuri Felipe

65'

70'

Pablo Roberto⚽

71'

M. Castro / Lucas Mineiro ↕

↕ Wesley Santos / Wallace

73'

↕ Rafael Gava / Marco Antonio

73'

↕ Pedro Henrique / Gabriel Inocencio

74'

78'

Diogo Barbosa / Patryck ↕

↕ Guilherme Queiroz / Leandro Maciel

85'

Patrick Brey

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

39.49%

Botafogo ←

27.03%

33.48%

Juventude

we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo SP) 39.49% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Botafogo

1.27

1.62

+0.35

Juventude

1.19

0.66

-0.53

Botafogo SP dominated by xG (1.62 vs 0.66). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Criciuma	20	40
2	Juventude	20	35
3	Operario-PR	20	35
4	Fortaleza EC	20	34
5	Vila Nova	20	34
6	Novorizontino	20	33
7	Atletico Goianiense	20	31
8	CRB	20	29
9	Goias	20	29
10	Sport Recife	20	29
11	Athletic Club	20	28
12	São Bernardo	20	27
13	Nautico Recife	20	25
14	Cuiaba	20	25
15	Botafogo SP	20	24
16	Ceara	20	22
17	Londrina	20	20
18	Avai	20	20
19	America Mineiro	20	11
20	Ponte Preta	20	9

Lineups

Botafogo SP 4-5-1

Victor Souza G 5.30

Patrick Brey D 6.20

Vilar 1 ⚽ D 7.30

Ericson da Silva D 6.30

Pedrinho 74' D 5.90

Wesley Pinheiro 2 ⚽ 73' M 7.90

Rafael Gava 1 👟 73' M 6.90

Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao 65' M 5.90

Everton Morelli M 6.70

Zé Hugo M 6.90

Arthur Caíke 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.70

Bench

Felipe Vieira D

Gabriel Inocêncio 24' D 6.50

Guilherme Queiróz 25' F 6.20

Hebert Willian Badaró Oliveira D

Jefferson Nem F

Jordan G

Kelvin F

Leandro Maciel 13' M 6.30

Márcio Carlos Maranhão F

Marco Antonio Batistussi 25' M 6.20

Thiago Moraes M

Wallace 25' D 6.70

Juventude 5-4-1

Jandrei G 5.30

Patryck 1 ⚽ 78' D 6.90

Marcos Paulo 1 👟 D 6.70

Rodrigo Sam D 6.30

Gabriel Barbosa Pinheiro D 7.30

Raí Ramos 45' D 6.20

Marcos Paulo 1 👟 M 6.20

Lucas Mineiro 71' M 5.70

Luan Martins Gonçalves 60' M 6.20

Fábio Lima 59' M 6.20

Alisson Safira F 5.90

Bench

Alan Kardec 39' F 6.30

Diogo Barbosa 20' D 6.30

Iba Ly D

Kaua Oliveira Costa D

Lucas Alves F

Manuel Castro 27' F 6.90

Nathan 53' D 6.50

Pablo Roberto 1 ⚽ 38' M 7.60

Pedro Rocha G

Ruan Carneiro G

Titi D

Wadson D

Best on the pitch

Wesley Pinheiro

M · Botafogo

7.90

2 ⚽

2 shots · 13 pass

Arthur Caíke

F · Botafogo

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 11 pass

Pablo Roberto

M · Juventude

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 23 pass

Vilar

D · Botafogo

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 22 pass

Gabriel Barbosa Pinheiro

D · Juventude

7.30

1 shots · 59 pass

Manuel Castro

F · Juventude

6.90

· 7 pass

Botafogo SP — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Victor Souza	G	98	5.30	—	—	—	33	13%	—	—	—
Patrick Brey	D	98	6.20	—	—	1	23	21%	1	1	—
Vilar	D	98	7.30	1	—	1	22	17%	2	—	—
Ericson da Silva	D	98	6.30	—	—	—	24	19%	—	—	—
Pedrinho	D	74	5.90	—	—	—	12	12%	—	—	—
Wesley Pinheiro	M	73	7.90	2	—	2	13	7%	—	—	—
Rafael Gava	M	73	6.90	—	1	1	30	26%	—	—	—
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao	M	65	5.90	—	—	—	21	18%	1	2	1
Everton Morelli	M	98	6.70	—	—	3	19	17%	3	—	—
Zé Hugo	M	98	6.90	—	—	—	11	9%	3	—	—
Arthur Caíke	F	60	7.70	1	—	1	11	6%	—	—	—
Gabriel Inocêncio	D	24	6.50	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—
Guilherme Queiróz	F	25	6.20	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Leandro Maciel	M	13	6.30	—	—	1	4	3%	1	—	—
Marco Antonio Batistussi	M	25	6.20	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Wallace	D	25	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Juventude — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Jandrei	G	98	5.30	—	—	—	20	13%	—	—	—
Patryck	D	78	6.90	1	—	2	25	16%	1	—	—
Marcos Paulo	D	98	6.70	—	1	1	75	64%	3	—	—
Rodrigo Sam	D	98	6.30	—	—	—	42	40%	1	—	—
Gabriel Barbosa Pinheiro	D	98	7.30	—	—	1	59	54%	6	—	—
Raí Ramos	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	5	3%	1	—	—
Marcos Paulo	M	98	6.20	—	1	—	34	28%	—	—	—
Lucas Mineiro	M	71	5.70	—	—	—	43	40%	1	1	—
Luan Martins Gonçalves	M	60	6.20	—	—	1	16	14%	—	—	—
Fábio Lima	M	59	6.20	—	—	1	6	5%	1	—	—
Alisson Safira	F	98	5.90	—	—	2	7	5%	—	—	—
Alan Kardec	F	39	6.30	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
Diogo Barbosa	D	20	6.30	—	—	—	8	6%	—	—	—
Manuel Castro	F	27	6.90	—	—	—	7	6%	2	—	—
Nathan	D	53	6.50	—	—	1	18	14%	—	—	—
Pablo Roberto	M	38	7.60	1	—	2	23	20%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Juventude?

The final score was Botafogo SP 4–2 Juventude.

What did the model predict before Botafogo SP vs Juventude?

The model assigned 39% probability to a Botafogo SP win, 27% to a draw, and 33% to an Juventude win.