Botafogo SP 4–2 Juventude — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série B — July 24, 2026

← Brasileirão Série B

Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 19 July 24, 2026 02:30

Botafogo SP

#15 · 31 pts

4 – 2

Final score

Juventude

#1 · 50 pts

Vilar 16'

Wesley Santos 32'

Arthur Caike 49'

Wesley Santos (ast. Rafael Gava) 58'

55' (ast. Marcos Paulo) Patryck

70' Pablo Roberto

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo SP a 39% win probability (draw 27%, Juventude 33%). The final result was Botafogo SP 4–2 Juventude.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.62

Actual xG

0.66

Saves

37%

Possession

63%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽Vilar

16'

⚽Wesley Santos

32'

35'

Lucas Mineiro

Yuri Felipe

44'

46'

Nathan Santos / Rai Ramos ↕

⚽Arthur Caike

49'

55'

ast. Marcos Paulo · Patryck⚽

⚽Wesley Santos · ast. Rafael Gava

58'

59'

Alan Kardec / Fabio Lima ↕

60'

Pablo Roberto / Luan Martins ↕

↕ Arthur Caike / Guilherme Queiroz

60'

Yuri Felipe

65'

Yuri Felipe

65'

70'

Pablo Roberto⚽

71'

M. Castro / Lucas Mineiro ↕

↕ Wesley Santos / Wallace

73'

↕ Rafael Gava / Marco Antonio

73'

↕ Pedro Henrique / Gabriel Inocencio

74'

78'

Diogo Barbosa / Patryck ↕

↕ Guilherme Queiroz / Leandro Maciel

85'

Patrick Brey

90'+5

Pre-match prediction

39.49%

Botafogo ←

27.03%

33.48%

Juventude

we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo SP) 39.49% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Botafogo

1.27

1.62

+0.35

Juventude

1.19

0.66

-0.53

Botafogo SP dominated by xG (1.62 vs 0.66). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Juventude	27	50
2	Novorizontino	27	49
3	Vila Nova	27	47
4	Fortaleza EC	27	47
5	Criciuma	27	47
6	Operario-PR	27	43
7	Atletico Goianiense	27	43
8	CRB	27	42
9	Sport Recife	27	41
10	Cuiaba	27	39
11	Nautico Recife	27	37
12	Athletic Club	27	37
13	Goias	27	36
14	São Bernardo	27	35
15	Botafogo SP	27	31
16	Ceara	27	31
17	Avai	27	29
18	Londrina	27	25
19	America Mineiro	27	17
20	Ponte Preta	27	10

Lineups

Botafogo SP 4-5-1

Victor Souza G 5.30

Patrick Brey D 6.20

Vilar 1 ⚽ D 7.30

Ericson D 6.30

Pedro Henrique 74' D 5.90

Wesley Pinheiro Santos 2 ⚽ 73' M 7.90

Rafael Gava 1 👟 73' M 6.90

Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição 65' M 5.90

Everton Morelli M 6.70

Zé Hugo M 6.90

Arthur Caíke 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.70

Bench

Badaró D

Felipe Vieira D

Gabriel Inocêncio 24' D 6.50

Guilherme Queiróz 25' F 6.20

Jefferson Nem F

Jordan G

Kelvin F

L. Maciel 13' M 6.30

Márcio Carlos Maranhão F

Marco Antônio 25' M 6.20

Thiago Henrique M

Wallace 25' D 6.70

Juventude 5-4-1

Jandrei G 5.30

Patryck 1 ⚽ 78' D 6.90

Marcos Paulo 1 👟 D 6.70

Rodrigo Sam D 6.30

Gabriel Pinheiro D 7.30

Raí Ramos 45' D 6.20

Marcos Paulo 1 👟 M 6.20

Lucas Mineiro 71' M 5.70

Luan Gonçalves 60' M 6.20

Fábio Lima 59' M 6.20

Alisson Safira F 5.90

Bench

Alan Kardec 39' F 6.30

Diogo Barbosa 20' D 6.30

Iba Ly D

Kaua Oliveira Costa D

Lucas Alves F

M. Castro 27' F 6.90

Nathan 53' D 6.50

Pablo Roberto 1 ⚽ 38' M 7.60

Pedro Rocha G

Ruan Carneiro G

Titi D

Wadson D

Best on the pitch

Wesley Pinheiro Santos

M · Botafogo

7.90

2 ⚽

2 shots · 13 pass

Arthur Caíke

F · Botafogo

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 11 pass

Pablo Roberto

M · Juventude

7.60

1 ⚽

2 shots · 23 pass

Vilar

D · Botafogo

7.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 22 pass

Gabriel Pinheiro

D · Juventude

7.30

1 shots · 59 pass

M. Castro

F · Juventude

6.90

· 7 pass

Botafogo SP — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Victor Souza	G	98	5.30	—	—	—	33	13%	—	—	—
Patrick Brey	D	98	6.20	—	—	1	23	21%	1	1	—
Vilar	D	98	7.30	1	—	1	22	17%	2	—	—
Ericson	D	98	6.30	—	—	—	24	19%	—	—	—
Pedro Henrique	D	74	5.90	—	—	—	12	12%	—	—	—
Wesley Pinheiro Santos	M	73	7.90	2	—	2	13	7%	—	—	—
Rafael Gava	M	73	6.90	—	1	1	30	26%	—	—	—
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição	M	65	5.90	—	—	—	21	18%	1	2	1
Everton Morelli	M	98	6.70	—	—	3	19	17%	3	—	—
Zé Hugo	M	98	6.90	—	—	—	11	9%	3	—	—
Arthur Caíke	F	60	7.70	1	—	1	11	6%	—	—	—
Gabriel Inocêncio	D	24	6.50	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—
Guilherme Queiróz	F	25	6.20	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
L. Maciel	M	13	6.30	—	—	1	4	3%	1	—	—
Marco Antônio	M	25	6.20	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—
Wallace	D	25	6.70	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Juventude — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Jandrei	G	98	5.30	—	—	—	20	13%	—	—	—
Patryck	D	78	6.90	1	—	2	25	16%	1	—	—
Marcos Paulo	D	98	6.70	—	1	1	75	64%	3	—	—
Rodrigo Sam	D	98	6.30	—	—	—	42	40%	1	—	—
Gabriel Pinheiro	D	98	7.30	—	—	1	59	54%	6	—	—
Raí Ramos	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	5	3%	1	—	—
Marcos Paulo	M	98	6.20	—	1	—	34	28%	—	—	—
Lucas Mineiro	M	71	5.70	—	—	—	43	40%	1	1	—
Luan Gonçalves	M	60	6.20	—	—	1	16	14%	—	—	—
Fábio Lima	M	59	6.20	—	—	1	6	5%	1	—	—
Alisson Safira	F	98	5.90	—	—	2	7	5%	—	—	—
Alan Kardec	F	39	6.30	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—
Diogo Barbosa	D	20	6.30	—	—	—	8	6%	—	—	—
M. Castro	F	27	6.90	—	—	—	7	6%	2	—	—
Nathan	D	53	6.50	—	—	1	18	14%	—	—	—
Pablo Roberto	M	38	7.60	1	—	2	23	20%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Juventude?

The final score was Botafogo SP 4–2 Juventude.

What did the model predict before Botafogo SP vs Juventude?

The model assigned 39% probability to a Botafogo SP win, 27% to a draw, and 33% to an Juventude win.