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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 24 August 25, 2026 01:00 Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Botafogo
#11 · 39 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Atletico Paranaense
#5 · 54 pts
S. Rodriguez 85'
S. Rodriguez (ast. Danilo Pereira) 90'+2
11' Joao Cruz
13' (ast. Dantas) K. Viveros
78' (ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas) K. Viveros
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 37% win probability (draw 25%, Atletico Paranaense 36%). The final result was Botafogo 2–3 Atletico Paranaense. In 1 previous meetings, Botafogo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Paranaense.

Match statistics
22
Total shots
7
8
Shots on target
6
2.75
Actual xG
0.83
3
Saves
6
56%
Possession
44%
13
Corners
2
14
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
11'
Joao Cruz⚽
13'
ast. Dantas · K. Viveros⚽
Kauan Toledo
35'
↕ Kauan Toledo / Junior Santos
46'
46'
K. A. Calderon Vargas / Leozinho ↕
46'
J. Portilla / Luiz Gustavo ↕
61'
Dudu Kogitzki / Joao Cruz ↕
↕ C. Medina / K. Barria
63'
↕ Allan / Huguinho
63'
Edenilson
68'
↕ Edenilson / S. Rodriguez
72'
77'
Dantas
78'
ast. K. A. Calderon Vargas · K. Viveros⚽
↕ A. Montoro / Matheus Martins
80'
85'
Renan Peixoto / K. Viveros ↕
⚽S. Rodriguez
85'
⚽S. Rodriguez · ast. Danilo Pereira
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
37.99%
Botafogo
25.87%
X
36.14%
Atletico ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Paranaense) 36.14% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Botafogo
1.27
2.75
+1.48
Atletico
1.31
0.83
-0.48
Botafogo dominated by xG (2.75 vs 0.83). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Botafogo Botafogo 4-2-3-1
12 Gabriel Batista Gabriel Batista G 5.30
13 Alex Telles Alex Telles D 6.20
34 G. Justino G. Justino D 6.20
5 N. Ferraresi N. Ferraresi D 6.90
2 Vitinho Vitinho D 6.70
25 Allan Allan 63' M 6.90
6 C. Medina C. Medina 63' M 6.20
59 Kauan Toledo Kauan Toledo 45' M 5.90
10 Álvaro Montoro Álvaro Montoro 80' M 6.30
88 Edenílson Edenílson 72' M 6.70
9 Danilo Danilo 1 👟 F 7.00
Bench
62 Cléber Lucas Cléber Lucas G
91 Domingos Andrade Domingos Andrade M
75 Huguinho Huguinho 27' M 6.60
7 Júnior Santos Júnior Santos 45' F 6.70
42 Kadu Santos Kadu Santos D
37 K. Barria K. Barria 27' F 6.60
77 L. Villalba L. Villalba F
21 Marçal Marçal D
11 Matheus Martins Matheus Martins 10' F 6.90
4 M. Ponte M. Ponte D
32 Rhyan Carvalho Rhyan Carvalho G
23 S. Rodríguez S. Rodríguez 2 ⚽ 18' M 8.20
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
23 Santos Santos G 8.90
4 Arthur Dias Arthur Dias D 7.30
33 Juan Felipe Aguirre Juan Felipe Aguirre D 6.90
25 Dantas Dantas 1 👟 D 7.00
7 Steven Mendoza Steven Mendoza M 6.90
14 Luiz Gustavo Luiz Gustavo 45' M 6.60
16 Jádson Jádson M 6.60
29 Gastón Benavídez Gastón Benavídez M 6.90
8 João Cruz João Cruz 61' F 6.70
21 Leozinho Leozinho 45' F 6.50
9 Kevin Viveros Kevin Viveros 2 ⚽ 85' F 8.30
Bench
10 Bruno Zapelli Bruno Zapelli M
47 Chiqueti Chiqueti M
22 C. Terán C. Terán D
53 Dudu Dudu 29' M 6.30
5 Felipinho Felipinho D
2 Gilberto Junior Gilberto Junior D
19 Jorge Rivaldo Jorge Rivaldo F
27 Juan Portilla Juan Portilla 45' M 6.50
18 Kerwin Vargas Kerwin Vargas 1 👟 45' F 7.70
3 Léo Léo D
1 Mycael Mycael G
70 Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno 11' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
Santos
Santos
G · Atletico
8.90
· 29 pass
Kevin Viveros
Kevin Viveros
F · Atletico
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
S. Rodríguez
S. Rodríguez
M · Botafogo
8.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Kerwin Vargas
Kerwin Vargas
F · Atletico
7.70
1 👟
· 26 pass
Arthur Dias
Arthur Dias
D · Atletico
7.30
· 43 pass
Dantas
Dantas
D · Atletico
7.00
1 👟
· 47 pass
Botafogo Botafogo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gabriel Batista G 90 5.30 — — — 18 14% — — —
Alex Telles D 90 6.20 — — 2 48 42% 1 — —
G. Justino D 90 6.20 — — 1 67 62% 1 — —
N. Ferraresi D 90 6.90 — — 2 84 75% 4 — —
Vitinho D 90 6.70 — — 1 42 36% 3 — —
Allan M 63 6.90 — — 1 50 46% 1 — —
C. Medina M 63 6.20 — — — 38 35% 3 — —
Kauan Toledo M 45 5.90 — — 2 12 10% 1 1 —
Álvaro Montoro M 80 6.30 — — 1 39 34% — — —
Edenílson M 72 6.70 — — 2 26 23% — 1 —
Danilo F 90 7.00 — 1 2 16 16% — — —
Huguinho M 27 6.60 — — — 22 18% — — —
Júnior Santos F 45 6.70 — — 3 5 5% — — —
K. Barria F 27 6.60 — — 2 6 2% — — —
Matheus Martins F 10 6.90 — — 1 6 6% — — —
S. Rodríguez M 18 8.20 2 — 2 9 8% — — —
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Santos G 90 8.90 — — — 29 15% — — —
Arthur Dias D 90 7.30 — — — 43 36% 3 — —
Juan Felipe Aguirre D 90 6.90 — — 1 25 24% 2 — —
Dantas D 90 7.00 — 1 — 47 36% 2 1 —
Steven Mendoza M 90 6.90 — — — 50 47% 2 — —
Luiz Gustavo M 45 6.60 — — — 17 15% — — —
Jádson M 90 6.60 — — 1 47 39% 3 — —
Gastón Benavídez M 90 6.90 — — — 35 29% 2 — —
João Cruz F 61 6.70 — — 2 23 20% 1 — —
Leozinho F 45 6.50 — — 1 23 19% — — —
Kevin Viveros F 85 8.30 2 — 2 15 13% — — —
Dudu M 29 6.30 — — — 3 2% 1 — —
Juan Portilla M 45 6.50 — — — 27 24% 2 — —
Kerwin Vargas F 45 7.70 — 1 — 26 25% — — —
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno F 11 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense?
The final score was Botafogo 2–3 Atletico Paranaense.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Botafogo win, 25% to a draw, and 36% to an Atletico Paranaense win.