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✓Model correct — prediction Botafogo
Tiquinho Soares (ast. Matheus Martins) 7'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 63% win probability (draw 18%, Chapecoense-sc 17%). The final result was Botafogo 1–0 Chapecoense-sc. In 3 previous meetings, Botafogo have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chapecoense-sc.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
9
11
Shots on target
0
2.41
Actual xG
0.24
0
Saves
10
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
15
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Tiquinho Soares · ast. Matheus Martins
7'
14'
Kauan Faria
45'
Yannick Bolasie / Fernando Augusto Pereira Bueno Júnior ↕
↕ Hakim Ziyech / Cristian Medina
55'
62'
Rodrigo / Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira ↕
62'
Max / Giovanni Augusto ↕
↕ Allan / domingos andrade
65'
↕ Tiquinho Soares / Danilo
66'
↕ Matheus Martins / Júnior Santos
76'
↕ Álvaro Montoro / Kauan Toledo
76'
82'
Luis Eduardo Marques dos Santos / Bruno Nunes De Barros ↕
88'
F. Rossi / Camilo Reijers de Oliveira ↕
Pre-match prediction
63.98%
Botafogo ←
18.04%
X
17.98%
Chapecoense-sc
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo) 63.98% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Botafogo
2.46
2.41
-0.05
Chapecoense-sc
1.36
0.24
-1.12
Botafogo dominated by xG (2.41 vs 0.24). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Botafogo Botafogo 4-2-3-1
12 Gabriel Batista Gabriel Batista G 6.89
13 Alex Telles Alex Telles D 8.00
21 Marçal Marçal D 7.16
5 N. Ferraresi N. Ferraresi D 7.11
2 Vitinho Vitinho D 7.28
8 Danilo Santos Danilo Santos M 7.20
25 Allan Allan 65' M 6.48
11 Matheus Martins Matheus Martins 1 👟 76' M 7.70
10 Álvaro Montoro Álvaro Montoro 76' M 6.28
22 H. Ziyech H. Ziyech 55' M 7.04
9 Tiquinho Soares Tiquinho Soares 1 ⚽ 66' F 8.20
Bench
19 Arthur Cabral Arthur Cabral F 0.00
6 C. Medina C. Medina 35' M 6.41
90 Danilo Danilo 24' F 6.68
91 Domingos Andrade Domingos Andrade 25' M 6.81
33 G. Justino G. Justino D 0.00
75 Huguinho Huguinho M 0.00
7 Júnior Santos Júnior Santos 14' F 6.60
59 Kauan Toledo Kauan Toledo 14' M 7.11
37 K. Barria K. Barria F 0.00
77 L. Villalba L. Villalba F 0.00
4 M. Ponte M. Ponte D 0.00
29 Paulinho Paulinho D 0.00
17 Warleson Warleson G 0.00
98 Anderson Anderson G 8.80
91 Bruno Pacheco Bruno Pacheco D 6.91
3 Doma Doma D 6.58
21 Kauan Faria Gomes Kauan Faria Gomes D 6.22
20 Bruno Tubarão Bruno Tubarão 82' D 6.66
12 Fernando Fernando 45' M 6.63
27 Camilo Camilo 88' M 7.11
88 Yago Felipe Yago Felipe M 6.72
31 Garcez Garcez M 6.21
9
62' F 6.45
10 Giovanni Augusto Giovanni Augusto 62' F 6.42
Bench
16 Bruno Matias Bruno Matias M 0.00
23 Dudu Dudu 8' D 6.26
29 F. Rossi F. Rossi 2' F 5.99
4 João Paulo João Paulo D 0.00
30 Matheus Aurélio Matheus Aurélio G 0.00
22 Max Max 28' M 6.28
80 Miguel Carvalho Miguel Carvalho M 0.00
15 Rafael Thyere Rafael Thyere D 0.00
39 Rodrigo Rodrigo 28' F 5.91
11 Y. Bolasie Y. Bolasie 45' F 6.96
Best on the pitch
Anderson
Anderson
G · Chapecoense-sc
8.80
· 31 pass
Tiquinho Soares
Tiquinho Soares
F · Botafogo
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 8 pass
Alex Telles
Alex Telles
D · Botafogo
8.00
· 42 pass
Matheus Martins
Matheus Martins
M · Botafogo
7.70
1 👟
4 shots · 23 pass
Vitinho
Vitinho
D · Botafogo
7.28
· 54 pass
Danilo Santos
Danilo Santos
M · Botafogo
7.20
1 shots · 57 pass
Botafogo Botafogo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gabriel Batista G 90 6.89 — — 0 19 15% 0 — —
Alex Telles D 90 8.00 — — 0 42 39% 0 — —
Marçal D 90 7.16 — — 2 88 83% 0 — —
N. Ferraresi D 90 7.11 — — 1 87 82% 2 — —
Vitinho D 90 7.28 — — 0 54 49% 2 — —
Danilo Santos M 90 7.20 — — 1 57 51% 0 — —
Allan M 65 6.48 — — 0 29 26% 1 — —
Matheus Martins M 76 7.70 — 1 4 23 20% 2 — —
Álvaro Montoro M 76 6.28 — — 0 40 31% 3 — —
H. Ziyech M 55 7.04 — — 4 37 29% 0 — —
Tiquinho Soares F 66 8.20 1 — 3 8 8% 1 — —
C. Medina M 35 6.41 — — 1 13 13% 2 — —
Danilo F 24 6.68 — — 2 6 6% 0 — —
Domingos Andrade M 25 6.81 — — 0 10 7% 2 — —
Júnior Santos F 14 6.60 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Kauan Toledo M 14 7.11 — — 2 11 11% 0 — —
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anderson G 90 8.80 — — 0 31 25% 0 — —
Bruno Pacheco D 90 6.91 — — 1 58 53% 1 — —
Doma D 90 6.58 — — 0 71 64% 0 — —
Kauan Faria Gomes D 90 6.22 — — 0 51 46% 0 1 —
Bruno Tubarão D 82 6.66 — — 0 36 31% 3 — —
Fernando M 45 6.63 — — 0 22 19% 0 — —
Camilo M 88 7.11 — — 2 54 48% 1 — —
Yago Felipe M 90 6.72 — — 0 56 48% 4 — —
Garcez M 90 6.21 — — 1 23 18% 0 — —
F 62 6.45 — — 3 12 10% 1 — —
Giovanni Augusto F 62 6.42 — — 0 43 35% 2 — —
Dudu D 8 6.26 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
F. Rossi F 2 5.99 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
Max M 28 6.28 — — 1 15 14% 1 — —
Rodrigo F 28 5.91 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
Y. Bolasie F 45 6.96 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Botafogo 1–0 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Botafogo win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an Chapecoense-sc win.