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Botafogo - Cienciano

Copa Sudamericana August 19, 2026 22:00
Botafogo
#1 · 16 pts
vs
Cienciano
#2 · 8 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
66.96%
Win
Botafogo
16.82%
Draw
16.23%
Win
Cienciano
2.97
Expected xG
0.96
Most likely outcome
Botafogo
66.96%
Probability
81.8%
1X2 accuracy · 22 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–0 (9.3%)
1X2 Result ✓ 81.8% hit rate (22 picks)
1 67%
X 17%
2 16%
Double Chance
1X 84%
X2 33%
12 83%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 87%
✓ 80.9% hit rate (68 picks)
Over 2.5 70%
✓ 63.2% hit rate (19 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Botafogo a 66% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 16% for Cienciano. Expected goals are 3.0 for Botafogo and 1.0 for Cienciano (total 3.9), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 9.3% probability.

Season Stats

Botafogo
5W 1D 0L
Cienciano
5W 5D 5L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.3
0.8
Conceded
1.2
8.0
Shots OT
4.0
6.7
Corners
3.9
56%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
93%
83%
O 2.5
33%
67%
BTTS
40%
33%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
11%
O 3.5
62%
BTTS
Botafogo
2W 1D 0L · at home
Cienciano
0W 5D 4L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.8
0.7
Conceded
1.8
67%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
56%
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
33%
0%
O 3.5
22%
67%
BTTS
56%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
44%
last 9
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Botafogo Cienciano →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
1 5.8% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% —
2 8.7% 8.3% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.6% 8.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.4% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% —
5 3.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% —

Recent form

Botafogo Botafogo
W Caracas FC 1–3
W Independiente Petrolero 0–3
W Racing Club 2–1
W Independiente Petrolero 3–0
W Racing Club 2–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Cienciano Cienciano
W Lanus 4–0
L Lanus 2–0
D Juventud 1–1
L Atletico-MG 2–0
L Puerto Cabello 3–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 12%

Playing profile

Botafogo Botafogo
Attack
49
Defence
65
Form
67
Cienciano Cienciano
Attack
32
Defence
56
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Botafogo vs Cienciano?
The model gives Botafogo a 66% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 16% for an Cienciano win.
How many goals are expected in Botafogo vs Cienciano?
Expected goals: Botafogo 3.0, Cienciano 1.0 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Botafogo vs Cienciano?
2–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.3%.