Copa Sudamericana
· Round of 16
August 21, 2026 02:30
Danilo Pereira
(ast. A. Montoro)
8'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Cienciano 25%). The final result was Botafogo 1–0 Cienciano. In 1 previous meetings, Botafogo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cienciano.
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
1
2.29
Actual xG
0.23
69%
Possession
31%
6
Corners
1
Match Events
⚽Danilo Pereira
· ast. A. Montoro
8'
Huguinho
11'
22'
S. D. Arias Fierro
36'
40'
M. Amondarain
Alex Telles
40'
Warleson
/ Gabriel Batista
45'+6
46'
N. Bandiera
/
J. Romagnoli
Huguinho
/ Junior Santos
46'
59'
H. Caparo
/
S. D. Arias Fierro
60'
G. Barreto
64'
A. Robles
/
G. Barreto
Danilo Pereira
/ K. Barria
64'
Danilo Santos
/ Edenilson
64'
70'
M. Succar
/
C. Garces
70'
G. Aguirre
/
A. Hohberg
C. Medina
/ Matheus Martins
74'
77'
C. Cabello
G. Justino
89'
N. Ferraresi
90'+8
90'
H. Melgarejo
Pre-match prediction
47.18%
Botafogo ←
26.85%
X
25.97%
Cienciano
we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo)
47.18%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
2.29
+1.17
0.94
0.23
-0.71
Botafogo dominated by xG (2.29 vs 0.23).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Cienciano?
The final score was Botafogo 1–0 Cienciano.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Cienciano?
The model assigned 47% probability to a Botafogo win, 26% to a draw, and 25% to an Cienciano win.