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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 16 May 17, 2026 21:00 Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Botafogo
#12 · 22 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Corinthians
#10 · 24 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Botafogo
Arthur Cabral (ast. L. M. Villalba Jaume) 7'
Arthur Cabral (ast. K. Barria) 32'
Arthur Cabral (ast. Kauan Toledo) 70'
11' (ast. J. Lingard) R. Garro
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 60% win probability (draw 21%, Corinthians 18%). The final result was Botafogo 3–1 Corinthians.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
1
0.82
Actual xG
1.11
0
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
3
Corners
2
13
Tackles
14
6
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Arthur Cabral · ast. L. M. Villalba Jaume
7'
11'
ast. J. Lingard · R. Garro⚽
M. Ponte
20'
⚽Arthur Cabral · ast. K. Barria
32'
C. Medina
39'
45'+6
J. Lingard
↕ K. Barria / Kauan Toledo
46'
46'
Kaio Cesar / J. Lingard ↕
63'
Andre / Raniele ↕
↕ M. Ponte / Vitinho
66'
⚽Arthur Cabral · ast. Kauan Toledo
70'
Arthur Cabral
71'
L. M. Villalba Jaume
73'
↕ L. M. Villalba Jaume / Edenilson
73'
76'
Allan / Breno Bidon ↕
77'
Pedro Raul / R. Garro ↕
77'
Dieguinho / A. Carrillo ↕
↕ C. Medina / G. Justino
80'
↕ A. Montoro / S. Rodriguez
80'
A. Barboza
81'
Alex Telles
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
60.2%
Botafogo ←
21.08%
X
18.73%
Corinthians
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo) 60.2% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Botafogo
2.06
0.82
-1.24
Corinthians
0.80
1.11
+0.31
xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 1.11). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 18 41
2 Flamengo Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense Fluminense 18 31
4 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 18 29
6 Bahia Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba Coritiba 18 26
8 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 18 25
9 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 18 24
10 Corinthians Corinthians 18 24
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 18 24
12 Botafogo Botafogo 17 22
13 Vitoria Vitoria 17 22
14 Internacional Internacional 18 21
15 Santos Santos 18 21
16 Gremio Gremio 18 21
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 18 20
18 Remo Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol Mirassol 17 16
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 17 9
Lineups
Botafogo Botafogo 4-2-3-1
22 Neto Neto G 6.70
13 Alex Telles Alex Telles D 6.50
20 A. Barboza A. Barboza D 6.70
5
Nahuel Ferraresi D 6.70
4 Mateo Ponte Mateo Ponte 66' D 6.90
6 C. Medina C. Medina 80' M 7.30
75 Huguinho Huguinho M 6.30
10 Álvaro Montoro Álvaro Montoro 80' M 7.30
37
Kadir Barría 1 👟 45' M 6.50
77 Lucas Villalba Lucas Villalba 1 👟 73' M 6.60
19 Arthur Cabral Arthur Cabral 3 ⚽ F 9.60
Bench
27 Caio Roque Caio Roque D
45 Caio Valle Caio Valle M
88 Edenilson Edenilson 17' M 6.70
34 Gabriel Justino Gabriel Justino 10' D 6.70
14 Jordan Barrera Jordan Barrera M
42 Kadu Santos Kadu Santos D
59 Kauan Toledo Kauan Toledo 1 👟 45' M 6.20
24 Léo Linck Léo Linck G
21 Marçal Marçal D
1 Raul Raul G
23 Santiago Rodríguez Santiago Rodríguez 10' M 6.70
2 Vitinho Vitinho 24' D 6.60
Corinthians Corinthians 4-2-3-1
1 Hugo Souza Hugo Souza G 5.60
21 Matheus Bidu Matheus Bidu D 6.30
13 Gustavo Henrique Gustavo Henrique D 6.30
5 André Ramalho André Ramalho D 6.20
2 Matheuzinho Matheuzinho D 6.50
14 Raniele Raniele 63' M 6.70
19 André Carrillo André Carrillo 77' M 7.50
77 J. Lingard J. Lingard 1 👟 45' M 6.20
8 R. Garro R. Garro 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20
7 Breno Bidon Breno Bidon 76' M 6.60
9 Yuri Alberto Yuri Alberto F 6.00
Bench
80 Alex Santana Alex Santana M
29 Allan Allan 14' M 6.90
49 André Luiz André Luiz 27' M 6.60
61 Dieguinho Dieguinho 13' M 6.30
26 Fabrizio Angileri Fabrizio Angileri D
56 Gui Negão Gui Negão F
55 Iago Machado Iago Machado D
37 Kaio César Kaio César 45' F 7.00
51 Kauê Kauê G
23 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira M
20 Pedro Milans Pedro Milans D
18 Pedro Raul Pedro Raul 13' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
Arthur Cabral
Arthur Cabral
F · Botafogo
9.60
3 ⚽
5 shots · 14 pass
R. Garro
R. Garro
M · Corinthians
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 39 pass
André Carrillo
André Carrillo
M · Corinthians
7.50
· 41 pass
C. Medina
C. Medina
M · Botafogo
7.30
2 shots · 18 pass
Álvaro Montoro
Álvaro Montoro
M · Botafogo
7.30
· 25 pass
Kaio César
Kaio César
F · Corinthians
7.00
· 13 pass
Botafogo Botafogo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Neto G 90 6.70 — — — 27 10% — — —
Alex Telles D 90 6.50 — — 1 16 12% 1 1 —
A. Barboza D 90 6.70 — — 1 38 25% 1 1 —
Nahuel Ferraresi D 90 6.70 — — — 39 26% 3 — —
Mateo Ponte D 66 6.90 — — — 19 14% — 1 —
C. Medina M 80 7.30 — — 2 18 14% 4 1 —
Huguinho M 90 6.30 — — — 26 22% 1 — —
Álvaro Montoro M 80 7.30 — — — 25 20% 1 — —
Kadir Barría M 45 6.50 — 1 — 5 3% — — —
Lucas Villalba M 73 6.60 — 1 — 7 4% 1 1 —
Arthur Cabral F 90 9.60 3 — 5 14 10% 1 1 —
Edenilson M 17 6.70 — — — 7 4% — — —
Gabriel Justino D 10 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Kauan Toledo M 45 6.20 — 1 1 6 6% — — —
Santiago Rodríguez M 10 6.70 — — 1 1 1% — — —
Vitinho D 24 6.60 — — — 4 1% — — —
Corinthians Corinthians — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hugo Souza G 90 5.60 — — — 23 15% — — —
Matheus Bidu D 90 6.30 — — 1 49 44% 1 — —
Gustavo Henrique D 90 6.30 — — 3 52 46% 1 — —
André Ramalho D 90 6.20 — — 1 56 50% 1 — —
Matheuzinho D 90 6.50 — — — 47 42% 3 — —
Raniele M 63 6.70 — — 1 27 23% 3 — —
André Carrillo M 77 7.50 — — — 41 40% 2 — —
J. Lingard M 45 6.20 — 1 — 20 17% — 1 —
R. Garro M 77 8.20 1 — 4 39 32% — — —
Breno Bidon M 76 6.60 — — 1 38 31% 1 — —
Yuri Alberto F 90 6.00 — — 2 21 18% — — —
Allan M 14 6.90 — — — 21 21% — — —
André Luiz M 27 6.60 — — — 10 7% — — —
Dieguinho M 13 6.30 — — — 9 8% — — —
Kaio César F 45 7.00 — — — 13 10% 2 — —
Pedro Raul F 13 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Corinthians?
The final score was Botafogo 3–1 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Botafogo win, 21% to a draw, and 18% to an Corinthians win.