Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 11
April 12, 2026 21:00
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Danilo
(ast. Vitinho)
55'
Arthur Cabral
(ast. Edenilson)
77'
33'
(ast. Josue)
Breno Lopes
79'
J. Lavega
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Coritiba 31%). The final result was Botafogo 2–2 Coritiba.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
13
8
Shots on target
5
1.51
Actual xG
1.04
3
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
4
9
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
33'
ast. Josue ·
Breno Lopes⚽
A. Montoro
/ Edenilson
46'
S. Rodriguez
/ L. M. Villalba Jaume
46'
J. Hernandez
/ Caio Roque
49'
⚽Danilo
· ast. Vitinho
55'
60'
Wallisson
/
Vini Paulista
J. Barrera
/ Matheus Martins
65'
70'
Wallisson Luiz
70'
Tiago Coser
/
Maicon
70'
J. Lavega
/
Breno Lopes
Vitinho
71'
Vitinho
/ C. Ramos
76'
⚽Arthur Cabral
· ast. Edenilson
77'
78'
Felipe Jonatan
/
Bruno Melo
79'
Renato Marques
/
Pedro Rocha
79'
J. Lavega⚽
82'
Thiago Santos
/
S. Gomez
85'
Pedro Rangel
Alexander Barboza
89'
89'
Thiago Santos
90'+9
Jacy Maranhão
Pre-match prediction
38.9%
Botafogo
29.62%
X ←
31.48%
Coritiba
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.62%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.32
1.51
+0.19
1.13
1.04
-0.09
Botafogo dominated by xG (1.51 vs 1.04).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Raul
G
Raul
G
67
J. Hernandez
49'
D
20
Alexander Barboza
D
Alexander Barboza
D
15
Bastos
D
2
Vitinho
1 👟
76'
D
Vitinho
1 👟
76'
D
8
Danilo Santos
1 ⚽
M
Danilo Santos
1 ⚽
M
6
Cristian Medina
M
Cristian Medina
M
14
Jordan Barrera
65'
M
Jordan Barrera
65'
M
10
Álvaro Montoro
45'
M
Álvaro Montoro
45'
M
23
Santiago Rodríguez
45'
M
Santiago Rodríguez
45'
M
19
Arthur Cabral
1 ⚽
F
Arthur Cabral
1 ⚽
F
Bench
25
Allan
M
27
Caio Roque
41'
D
Caio Roque
41'
D
88
Edenilson
1 👟
45'
M
Edenilson
1 👟
45'
M
7
Junior Santos
F
77
Lucas Villalba
45'
F
Lucas Villalba
45'
F
11
Matheus Martins
25'
F
Matheus Martins
25'
F
28
Newton
M
Newton
M
22
Pedro Rangel
G
Pedro Rangel
G
26
Bruno Melo
78'
D
Bruno Melo
78'
D
55
Jacy Maranhão
D
Jacy Maranhão
D
3
Maicon
70'
D
Maicon
70'
D
2
Tinga
D
Tinga
D
19
Sebastian Gomez
82'
M
Sebastian Gomez
82'
M
36
Vini Paulista
60'
M
Vini Paulista
60'
M
77
Breno Lopes
1 ⚽
70'
M
Breno Lopes
1 ⚽
70'
M
10
Josué
1 👟
M
Josué
1 👟
M
11
Lucas Ronier
M
Lucas Ronier
M
32
Pedro Rocha
79'
F
Pedro Rocha
79'
F
Bench
6
Felipe Jonatan
12'
D
Felipe Jonatan
12'
D
44
João Pedro Chermont
D
João Pedro Chermont
D
7
Joaquín Lavega
1 ⚽
20'
F
Joaquín Lavega
1 ⚽
20'
F
78
Renato Marques
11'
F
Renato Marques
11'
F
21
Thiago Santos
8'
M
Thiago Santos
8'
M
23
Tiago Cóser
20'
D
Tiago Cóser
20'
D
8
Wallisson Luiz
30'
M
Wallisson Luiz
30'
M
29
Willian Oliveira
M
Willian Oliveira
M
Best on the pitch
Danilo Santos
M · Botafogo
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 67 pass
Cristian Medina
M · Botafogo
7.70
1 shots
· 51 pass
Breno Lopes
M · Coritiba
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Caio Roque
D · Botafogo
7.50
· 14 pass
Bastos
D · Botafogo
7.50
· 76 pass
Joaquín Lavega
F · Coritiba
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| J. Hernandez | D | 49 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Barboza | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 83 | 69% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bastos | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 76 | 72% | 3 | — | — |
| Vitinho | D | 76 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 67 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Cristian Medina | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Jordan Barrera | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Rodríguez | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Caio Roque | D | 41 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Villalba | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Martins | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Coritiba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Rangel | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 27% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Jacy Maranhão | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maicon | D | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Tinga | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | M | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Breno Lopes | M | 70 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Josué | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 51 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Ronier | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Jonatan | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Lavega | F | 20 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Renato Marques | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Wallisson Luiz | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 8% | 3 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Coritiba?
The final score was Botafogo 2–2 Coritiba.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Coritiba?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Botafogo win, 29% to a draw, and 31% to an Coritiba win.