Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 22
August 09, 2026 02:00
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Alex Telles
44'
58'
(ast. K. Serna)
Ignacio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Fluminense 24%). The final result was Botafogo 1–1 Fluminense. In 1 previous meetings, Botafogo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fluminense.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
4
1.06
Actual xG
0.94
3
Saves
6
40%
Possession
60%
7
Corners
7
12
Tackles
27
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Alex Telles
44'
54'
Ignacio
58'
ast. K. Serna ·
Ignacio⚽
Kauan Toledo
/ J. Barrera
59'
L. M. Villalba Jaume
/ Matheus Martins
59'
N. Ferraresi
68'
70'
A. Canobbio
/
K. Serna
70'
Hercules
/
PH Ganso
Alex Telles
/ Paulinho
70'
76'
Nonato
77'
Samuel Xavier
79'
L. Acosta
/
Y. Soteldo
79'
J. Savarino
/
Nonato
85'
Hulk
/
R. Castillo
J. Barrera
/ L. E. Jales do Nascimento
85'
A. Montoro
/ Danilo Pereira
85'
G. Justino
90'+2
Marcal
90'+4
Marcal
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
48.73%
Botafogo
26.8%
X ←
24.47%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
1.06
-0.34
0.85
0.94
+0.09
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 0.94).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
17
Warleson
G
Warleson
G
13
Alex Telles
1 ⚽
70'
D
Alex Telles
1 ⚽
70'
D
5
N. Ferraresi
D
N. Ferraresi
D
34
G. Justino
D
G. Justino
D
2
Vitinho
D
Vitinho
D
8
Danilo Santos
M
Danilo Santos
M
6
C. Medina
M
C. Medina
M
59
Kauan Toledo
59'
M
Kauan Toledo
59'
M
10
Álvaro Montoro
85'
M
Álvaro Montoro
85'
M
77
L. Villalba
59'
M
L. Villalba
59'
M
19
Arthur Cabral
F
Arthur Cabral
F
Bench
9
Danilo
12'
F
Danilo
12'
F
91
Domingos Andrade
M
Domingos Andrade
M
88
Edenílson
M
Edenílson
M
12
Gabriel Batista
G
Gabriel Batista
G
14
Jordan Barrera
26'
M
Jordan Barrera
26'
M
37
K. Barria
F
K. Barria
F
33
L. Monzón
D
L. Monzón
D
79
Lucas Emanuel
12'
F
Lucas Emanuel
12'
F
21
Marçal
D
Marçal
D
11
Matheus Martins
38'
F
Matheus Martins
38'
F
4
M. Ponte
D
M. Ponte
D
29
Paulinho
27'
D
Paulinho
27'
D
1
Fábio
G
Fábio
G
6
Renê
D
Renê
D
44
Jemmes
D
Jemmes
D
4
Ignacio
1 ⚽
D
Ignacio
1 ⚽
D
2
Samuel Xavier
D
Samuel Xavier
D
16
Nonato
79'
M
Nonato
79'
M
94
Otávio
M
Otávio
M
90
K. Serna
1 👟
70'
M
K. Serna
1 👟
70'
M
10
PH Ganso
70'
M
PH Ganso
70'
M
30
Y. Soteldo
79'
M
Y. Soteldo
79'
M
19
R. Castillo
85'
F
R. Castillo
85'
F
Bench
17
A. Canobbio
27'
F
A. Canobbio
27'
F
14
G. Cano
F
G. Cano
F
23
Guga
D
Guga
D
13
Guilherme Arana
D
Guilherme Arana
D
35
Hércules
27'
M
Hércules
27'
M
7
Hulk
12'
F
Hulk
12'
F
21
Igor Rabello
D
Igor Rabello
D
11
J. Savarino
18'
F
J. Savarino
18'
F
32
L. Acosta
18'
M
L. Acosta
18'
M
27
Marcelo
G
Marcelo
G
8
Martinelli
M
Martinelli
M
28
Riquelme
F
Riquelme
F
Best on the pitch
Ignacio
D · Fluminense
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 37 pass
Álvaro Montoro
M · Botafogo
8.50
1 shots
· 42 pass
Alex Telles
D · Botafogo
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
K. Serna
M · Fluminense
7.20
1 👟
2 shots
· 33 pass
Danilo Santos
M · Botafogo
7.20
2 shots
· 43 pass
Samuel Xavier
D · Fluminense
7.20
· 47 pass
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warleson | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alex Telles | D | 70 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Ferraresi | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 43 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Justino | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vitinho | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 43 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Medina | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Kauan Toledo | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 4 | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 85 | 8.50 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Villalba | M | 59 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Barrera | M | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Emanuel | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Martins | F | 38 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | D | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
Fluminense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fábio | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Renê | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 57% | 4 | — | — |
| Jemmes | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Ignacio | D | 97 | 8.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 37 | 33% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Samuel Xavier | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nonato | M | 79 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Otávio | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 57 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Serna | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| PH Ganso | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Soteldo | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| R. Castillo | F | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Canobbio | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| Hércules | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Hulk | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Savarino | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Acosta | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Fluminense?
The final score was Botafogo 1–1 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Botafogo win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Fluminense win.