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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 22 August 09, 2026 02:00 Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Botafogo
#11 · 39 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Fluminense
#4 · 54 pts
Alex Telles 44'
58' (ast. K. Serna) Ignacio
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 48% win probability (draw 26%, Fluminense 24%). The final result was Botafogo 1–1 Fluminense. In 1 previous meetings, Botafogo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fluminense.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
4
1.06
Actual xG
0.94
3
Saves
6
40%
Possession
60%
7
Corners
7
12
Tackles
27
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Alex Telles
44'
54'
Ignacio
58'
ast. K. Serna · Ignacio⚽
↕ Kauan Toledo / J. Barrera
59'
↕ L. M. Villalba Jaume / Matheus Martins
59'
N. Ferraresi
68'
70'
A. Canobbio / K. Serna ↕
70'
Hercules / PH Ganso ↕
↕ Alex Telles / Paulinho
70'
76'
Nonato
77'
Samuel Xavier
79'
L. Acosta / Y. Soteldo ↕
79'
J. Savarino / Nonato ↕
85'
Hulk / R. Castillo ↕
↕ J. Barrera / L. E. Jales do Nascimento
85'
↕ A. Montoro / Danilo Pereira
85'
G. Justino
90'+2
Marcal
90'+4
Marcal
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
48.73%
Botafogo
26.8%
X ←
24.47%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.8% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Botafogo
1.40
1.06
-0.34
Fluminense
0.85
0.94
+0.09
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 0.94). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Botafogo Botafogo 4-2-3-1
17 Warleson Warleson G 6.90
13 Alex Telles Alex Telles 1 ⚽ 70' D 7.30
5 N. Ferraresi N. Ferraresi D 7.00
34 G. Justino G. Justino D 6.70
2 Vitinho Vitinho D 6.30
8 Danilo Santos Danilo Santos M 7.20
6 C. Medina C. Medina M 6.50
59 Kauan Toledo Kauan Toledo 59' M 6.90
10 Álvaro Montoro Álvaro Montoro 85' M 8.50
77 L. Villalba L. Villalba 59' M 6.20
19 Arthur Cabral Arthur Cabral F 6.20
Bench
9 Danilo Danilo 12' F 6.30
91 Domingos Andrade Domingos Andrade M
88 Edenílson Edenílson M
12 Gabriel Batista Gabriel Batista G
14 Jordan Barrera Jordan Barrera 26' M 6.20
37 K. Barria K. Barria F
79 L. E. Jales do Nascimento L. E. Jales do Nascimento 12' F 6.50
33 L. Monzón L. Monzón D
21 Marçal Marçal D
11 Matheus Martins Matheus Martins 38' F 6.60
4 M. Ponte M. Ponte D
29 Paulinho Paulinho 27' D 6.30
Fluminense Fluminense 4-2-3-1
1 Fábio Fábio G 6.90
6 Renê Renê D 7.20
44 Jemmes Jemmes D 7.20
4 Ignacio Ignacio 1 ⚽ D 8.90
2 Samuel Xavier Samuel Xavier D 7.20
16 Nonato Nonato 79' M 5.90
94 Otávio Otávio M 6.90
90 K. Serna K. Serna 1 👟 70' M 7.20
10 PH Ganso PH Ganso 70' M 6.60
30 Y. Soteldo Y. Soteldo 79' M 6.90
19 R. Castillo R. Castillo 85' F 6.30
Bench
17 A. Canobbio A. Canobbio 27' F 6.90
14 G. Cano G. Cano F
23 Guga Guga D
13 Guilherme Arana Guilherme Arana D
35 Hércules Hércules 27' M 6.70
7 Hulk Hulk 12' F 6.70
21 Igor Rabello Igor Rabello D
11 J. Savarino J. Savarino 18' F 6.30
32 L. Acosta L. Acosta 18' M 6.50
27 Marcelo Marcelo G
8 Martinelli Martinelli M
28 Riquelme Riquelme F
Best on the pitch
Ignacio
Ignacio
D · Fluminense
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 37 pass
Álvaro Montoro
Álvaro Montoro
M · Botafogo
8.50
1 shots · 42 pass
Alex Telles
Alex Telles
D · Botafogo
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 20 pass
K. Serna
K. Serna
M · Fluminense
7.20
1 👟
2 shots · 33 pass
Danilo Santos
Danilo Santos
M · Botafogo
7.20
2 shots · 43 pass
Samuel Xavier
Samuel Xavier
D · Fluminense
7.20
· 47 pass
Botafogo Botafogo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Warleson G 97 6.90 — — — 16 11% — — —
Alex Telles D 70 7.30 1 — 2 20 18% 1 — —
N. Ferraresi D 97 7.00 — — — 43 34% 1 1 —
G. Justino D 97 6.70 — — — 32 28% 1 1 —
Vitinho D 97 6.30 — — — 22 16% 1 — —
Danilo Santos M 97 7.20 — — 2 43 38% 1 — —
C. Medina M 97 6.50 — — 2 36 32% — — —
Kauan Toledo M 59 6.90 — — — 6 4% 4 — —
Álvaro Montoro M 85 8.50 — — 1 42 36% 2 — —
L. Villalba M 59 6.20 — — 1 5 3% — — —
Arthur Cabral F 97 6.20 — — 2 11 10% 1 — —
Danilo F 12 6.30 — — — 8 7% — — —
Jordan Barrera M 26 6.20 — — 1 4 4% — — —
L. E. Jales do Nascimento F 12 6.50 — — — 1 — — — —
Matheus Martins F 38 6.60 — — 1 17 14% — — —
Paulinho D 27 6.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fábio G 97 6.90 — — — 20 14% — — —
Renê D 97 7.20 — — — 62 57% 4 — —
Jemmes D 97 7.20 — — 1 48 44% 2 — —
Ignacio D 97 8.90 1 — 2 37 33% 5 1 —
Samuel Xavier D 97 7.20 — — — 47 43% 3 1 —
Nonato M 79 5.90 — — 1 43 40% 1 1 —
Otávio M 97 6.90 — — 2 57 51% 1 — —
K. Serna M 70 7.20 — 1 2 33 29% 2 — —
PH Ganso M 70 6.60 — — — 42 35% 1 — —
Y. Soteldo M 79 6.90 — — 1 30 26% — — —
R. Castillo F 85 6.30 — — — 28 20% 1 — —
A. Canobbio F 27 6.90 — — — 3 3% 2 — —
Hércules M 27 6.70 — — — 4 2% 2 — —
Hulk F 12 6.70 — — — 4 3% 1 — —
J. Savarino F 18 6.30 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
L. Acosta M 18 6.50 — — — 2 2% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Fluminense?
The final score was Botafogo 1–1 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Botafogo win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Fluminense win.