Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 9
April 02, 2026 00:30
Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Arthur Cabral
(ast. Edenilson)
11'
Alex Telles
43'
(pen.)
Junior Santos
66'
21'
Shaylon
90'
(ast. Gabriel Pires)
Igor Formiga
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 35% win probability (draw 29%, Mirassol 34%). The final result was Botafogo 3–2 Mirassol.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
4
2.38
Actual xG
0.98
2
Saves
2
35%
Possession
65%
2
Corners
8
20
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
-5'
Lucas Oliveira
⚽Arthur Cabral
· ast. Edenilson
11'
21'
Shaylon⚽
39'
⚽Alex Telles
(pen.)
43'
45'+1
Negueba
Cristian Medina
46'
Vitinho
48'
62'
Tiquinho Soares
S. Rodriguez
/ J. Barrera
62'
Alex Telles
/ Caio Roque
63'
64'
Andre Luis
/
Jose Aldo
⚽Junior Santos
66'
Arthur Cabral
/ Matheus Martins
70'
C. Medina
/ A. Montoro
70'
73'
A. Galeano
/
Negueba
73'
Edson Carioca
/
Tiquinho Soares
Edenilson
/ N. Ferraresi
77'
77'
Gabriel Pires
/
Neto Moura
77'
Denilson
/
Shaylon
Bastos
90'+1
90'
ast. Gabriel Pires ·
Igor Formiga⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.77%
Botafogo ←
29.8%
X
34.43%
Mirassol
we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo)
35.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.22
2.38
+1.16
1.45
0.98
-0.47
Botafogo dominated by xG (2.38 vs 0.98).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Raul
G
Raul
G
13
Alex Telles
1 ⚽
63'
D
Alex Telles
1 ⚽
63'
D
34
D
15
Bastos
D
2
Vitinho
D
Vitinho
D
25
Allan
M
23
Santiago Rodríguez
62'
M
Santiago Rodríguez
62'
M
88
Edenilson
1 👟
77'
M
Edenilson
1 👟
77'
M
6
Cristian Medina
70'
M
Cristian Medina
70'
M
17
Junior Santos
1 ⚽
M
19
Arthur Cabral
1 ⚽
70'
F
Arthur Cabral
1 ⚽
70'
F
Bench
10
Álvaro Montoro
29'
M
Álvaro Montoro
29'
M
27
Caio Roque
36'
D
Caio Roque
36'
D
14
Jordan Barrera
37'
M
Jordan Barrera
37'
M
77
Lucas Villalba
F
Lucas Villalba
F
4
Mateo Ponte
D
Mateo Ponte
D
11
Matheus Martins
29'
F
Matheus Martins
29'
F
5
Nahuel Ferraresi
22'
D
Nahuel Ferraresi
22'
D
28
Newton
M
Newton
M
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
12
Victor Luis
D
Victor Luis
D
3
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
32
Igor Formiga
1 ⚽
D
Igor Formiga
1 ⚽
D
21
José Aldo
64'
M
José Aldo
64'
M
25
Neto Moura
11
Negueba
73'
M
7
Shaylon
1 ⚽
77'
M
Shaylon
1 ⚽
77'
M
77
Alesson
F
Alesson
F
29
Tiquinho Soares
73'
F
Tiquinho Soares
73'
F
Bench
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
99
André Luis
35'
F
André Luis
35'
F
27
Antonio Galeano
26'
F
Antonio Galeano
26'
F
8
Denilson
22'
M
Denilson
22'
M
95
Edson Carioca
26'
F
Edson Carioca
26'
F
17
Everton Galdino
F
Everton Galdino
F
26
Lucas Mugni
M
Lucas Mugni
M
2
Lucas Oliveira
D
Lucas Oliveira
D
5
Yuri Lara
Best on the pitch
Junior Santos
M · Botafogo
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
Arthur Cabral
F · Botafogo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 12 pass
Edenilson
M · Botafogo
7.70
1 👟
· 22 pass
Igor Formiga
D · Mirassol
7.60
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 48 pass
Shaylon
M · Mirassol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 54 pass
Cristian Medina
M · Botafogo
7.20
· 23 pass
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul | G | 99 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Alex Telles | D | 63 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 3 | — | — | |
| Bastos | D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Vitinho | D | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Allan | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Rodríguez | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | 77 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Medina | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Junior Santos | M | 99 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 70 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Caio Roque | D | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Barrera | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Martins | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | D | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Victor Luis | D | 99 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 67 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | — | — | — | |
| João Victor | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 65 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 99 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 48 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| José Aldo | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| Neto Moura | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Negueba | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Shaylon | M | 77 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 54 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Alesson | F | 99 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Tiquinho Soares | F | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | — | 1 | — |
| André Luis | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Antonio Galeano | F | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Edson Carioca | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Mirassol?
The final score was Botafogo 3–2 Mirassol.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Mirassol?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Botafogo win, 29% to a draw, and 34% to an Mirassol win.