Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 4
May 07, 2026 02:30
✓Model correct — prediction Botafogo
M. Di Cesare
19'
(og)
Danilo
(ast. Matheus Martins)
74'
49'
Adrian Martinez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Racing Club 20%). The final result was Botafogo 2–1 Racing Club. In 1 previous meetings, Botafogo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Racing Club.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
10
4
Shots on target
5
1.14
Actual xG
0.86
4
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
5
Corners
4
10
Tackles
14
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
3'
A. Fernandez
⚽M. Di Cesare
(og)
19'
K. Barria
26'
30'
B. Rodriguez
49'
Adrian Martinez⚽
59'
M. Zaracho
/
B. Rodriguez
60'
T. Conechny
/
S. Solari
K. Barria
/ Arthur Cabral
61'
65'
B. Zuculini
/
A. Forneris
⚽Danilo
· ast. Matheus Martins
74'
Matheus Martins
/ Edenilson
76'
Junior Santos
/ L. M. Villalba Jaume
77'
79'
M. Di Cesare
79'
M. Miljevic
/
A. Fernandez
80'
T. Perez
/
A. Garcia
L. M. Villalba Jaume
87'
Alex Telles
/ Marcal
90'+2
90'+3
F. Cambeses
90'+5
M. Tagliamonte
/
S. Sosa
Edenilson
90'
Pre-match prediction
55.93%
Botafogo ←
23.08%
X
20.98%
Racing
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo)
55.93%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
1.14
-0.59
0.90
0.86
-0.04
xG dominance was balanced (1.14 – 0.86).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
13
Alex Telles
89'
D
Alex Telles
89'
D
20
A. Barboza
D
A. Barboza
D
5
Nahuel Ferraresi
D
Nahuel Ferraresi
D
2
Vitinho
D
Vitinho
D
6
C. Medina
M
C. Medina
M
28
Newton
M
Newton
M
11
Matheus Martins
1 👟
76'
M
Matheus Martins
1 👟
76'
M
8
Danilo Santos
1 ⚽
M
Danilo Santos
1 ⚽
M
7
Junior Santos
77'
M
37
Kadir Barría
61'
F
Kadir Barría
61'
F
Bench
10
Álvaro Montoro
M
Álvaro Montoro
M
19
Arthur Cabral
29'
F
Arthur Cabral
29'
F
15
Bastos
D
88
Edenilson
14'
M
Edenilson
14'
M
30
J. Correa
F
J. Correa
F
14
Jordan Barrera
M
Jordan Barrera
M
77
Lucas Villalba
13'
F
Lucas Villalba
13'
F
4
Mateo Ponte
D
Mateo Ponte
D
1
Raul
G
Raul
G
25
Facundo Cambeses
G
Facundo Cambeses
G
27
Gabriel Rojas
D
Gabriel Rojas
D
2
A. García
80'
D
A. García
80'
D
13
Santiago Sosa
D
Santiago Sosa
D
3
Marco Di Cesare
1 ⚽
D
Marco Di Cesare
1 ⚽
D
15
Gastón Martirena
D
Gastón Martirena
D
24
A. Fernández
79'
M
A. Fernández
79'
M
8
Alan Forneris
65'
M
Alan Forneris
65'
M
20
Baltasar Rodriguez
59'
M
Baltasar Rodriguez
59'
M
28
Santiago Solari
60'
F
Santiago Solari
60'
F
9
A. Martínez
1 ⚽
F
A. Martínez
1 ⚽
F
Bench
36
Bruno Zuculini
25'
M
Bruno Zuculini
25'
M
7
Duván Vergara
F
Duván Vergara
F
18
Franco Pardo
D
Franco Pardo
D
44
Gonzalo Sosa
M
Gonzalo Sosa
M
6
Marcos Rojo
D
Marcos Rojo
D
11
Matías Zaracho
31'
M
Matías Zaracho
31'
M
10
Matko Miljevic
11'
M
Matko Miljevic
11'
M
34
Tobías Rubio
D
Tobías Rubio
D
17
Tomás Conechny
30'
F
Tomás Conechny
30'
F
58
Tomás Pérez
10'
F
Tomás Pérez
10'
F
Best on the pitch
Danilo Santos
M · Botafogo
7.60
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 18 pass
C. Medina
M · Botafogo
7.60
1 shots
· 39 pass
G · Botafogo
7.50
· 25 pass
A. Martínez
F · Racing
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Matheus Martins
M · Botafogo
7.00
1 👟
1 shots
· 21 pass
Edenilson
M · Botafogo
7.00
· 7 pass
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Alex Telles | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitinho | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Medina | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Newton | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Martins | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 4 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Junior Santos | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Kadir Barría | F | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | 14 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Villalba | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — |
Racing Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Cambeses | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 14% | — | — | 1 |
| Gabriel Rojas | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| A. García | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Santiago Sosa | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Di Cesare | D | 90 | 5.70 | 1 | — | — | 42 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gastón Martirena | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Fernández | M | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alan Forneris | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Baltasar Rodriguez | M | 59 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Solari | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Martínez | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Zuculini | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Matías Zaracho | M | 31 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Matko Miljevic | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Conechny | F | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Pérez | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Racing Club?
The final score was Botafogo 2–1 Racing Club.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Racing Club?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Botafogo win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Racing Club win.