Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 14
May 02, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Botafogo, result Remo vince
N. Ferraresi
(ast. Alex Telles)
13'
70'
Alef Manga
90'+3
Jaja
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 60% win probability (draw 22%, Remo 17%). The final result was Botafogo 1–2 Remo.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
12
5
Shots on target
9
1.17
Actual xG
1.96
7
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
9
Corners
6
10
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽N. Ferraresi
· ast. Alex Telles
13'
Vitinho
37'
45'+1
D. Tchamba
K. Barria
/ Edenilson
46'
Danilo
49'
Alex Telles
/ Marcal
63'
C. Medina
/ Allan
63'
70'
Alef Manga⚽
72'
L. Picco
/
Ze Welison
A. Montoro
/ Junior Santos
77'
Allan
/ J. Correa
80'
85'
Jaderson
/
Ze Ricardo
88'
L. Picco
90'+1
Matheus Alexandre
/
Marcelinho
90'+1
David Braga
/
Mayk
90'+1
Gabriel Poveda
/
Alef Manga
90'+3
Jaja⚽
Pre-match prediction
60.37%
Botafogo
22.11%
X
17.52%
Remo ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Remo)
17.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.05
1.17
-0.88
0.75
1.96
+1.21
Remo dominated by xG (1.96 vs 1.17).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
13
Alex Telles
1 👟
63'
D
Alex Telles
1 👟
63'
D
15
Bastos
D
5
Nahuel Ferraresi
1 ⚽
D
Nahuel Ferraresi
1 ⚽
D
2
Vitinho
D
6
Cristian Medina
63'
M
Cristian Medina
63'
M
11
Matheus Martins
M
Matheus Martins
M
8
Danilo Oliveira
M
Danilo Oliveira
M
10
Álvaro Montoro
77'
M
Álvaro Montoro
77'
M
37
Kadir Barría
45'
F
Kadir Barría
45'
F
19
Arthur Cabral
F
Arthur Cabral
F
Bench
25
Allan
17'
M
27
Caio Roque
D
Caio Roque
D
88
Edenilson
45'
M
Edenilson
45'
M
30
Joaquín Correa
10'
F
Joaquín Correa
10'
F
14
Jordan Barrera
M
Jordan Barrera
M
7
Junior Santos
13'
F
4
Mateo Ponte
D
Mateo Ponte
D
28
Newton
M
Newton
M
1
Raul
G
Raul
G
88
G
98
Mayk
89'
D
Mayk
89'
D
18
Duplexe Tchamba
D
Duplexe Tchamba
D
13
Marllon
D
Marllon
D
79
Marcelinho
89'
D
Marcelinho
89'
D
8
Patrick
M
Patrick
M
28
Zé Welison
72'
M
Zé Welison
72'
M
37
Jajá
1 ⚽
M
Jajá
1 ⚽
M
55
Zé Ricardo
85'
M
Zé Ricardo
85'
M
22
Yago Pikachu
M
Yago Pikachu
M
11
Alef Manga
1 ⚽
89'
F
Alef Manga
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
26
David Braga
1'
M
David Braga
1'
M
99
Gabriel Poveda
1'
F
Gabriel Poveda
1'
F
10
Jáderson
13'
F
Jáderson
13'
F
14
Leonel Picco
18'
M
Leonel Picco
18'
M
2
Matheus Alexandre
1'
D
Matheus Alexandre
1'
D
Best on the pitch
Nahuel Ferraresi
D · Botafogo
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 73 pass
Alex Telles
D · Botafogo
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 15 pass
Cristian Medina
M · Botafogo
7.50
· 37 pass
Alef Manga
F · Remo
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Matheus Martins
M · Botafogo
7.20
3 shots
· 28 pass
Jajá
M · Remo
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | — | — | — | |
| Alex Telles | D | 63 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Bastos | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 73 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitinho | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| Cristian Medina | M | 63 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Martins | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Danilo Oliveira | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Kadir Barría | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Correa | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Junior Santos | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Remo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | — | — | — | |
| Mayk | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Duplexe Tchamba | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Marllon | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Marcelinho | D | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Patrick | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Zé Welison | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Jajá | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Ricardo | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Yago Pikachu | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Alef Manga | F | 89 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| David Braga | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Poveda | F | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jáderson | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Leonel Picco | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Matheus Alexandre | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Remo?
The final score was Botafogo 1–2 Remo.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Remo?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Botafogo win, 22% to a draw, and 17% to an Remo win.