✗Model wrong — prediction Botafogo, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Vitoria 19%). The final result was Botafogo 0–0 Vitoria. In 1 previous meetings, Botafogo have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vitoria.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
1
1.38
Actual xG
0.39
1
Saves
6
57%
Possession
43%
9
Corners
3
17
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
34'
Emmanuel Martínez
46'
Caique Gonçalves
/
Emmanuel Martínez
46'
Renato Kayzer
/
Renê Sousa
Matheus Martins
/ Lucas Emanuel
66'
Lucas Villalba
/ Danilo Santos
66'
66'
Diego Tarzia
/
Matheuzinho
78'
Tomás Pochettino
/
Zé Vitor
Vitinho
/ Mateo Ponte
79'
Huguinho
/ Santiago Rodríguez
79'
Arthur Cabral
/ Kadir Barría
79'
87'
Mateusinho
/
Erick
Mateo Ponte
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
60.19%
Botafogo
20.52%
X ←
19.29%
Vitoria
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.03
1.38
-0.65
1.02
0.39
-0.63
Botafogo dominated by xG (1.38 vs 0.39).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
17
Warleson
G
Warleson
G
13
Alex Telles
D
Alex Telles
D
21
Marçal
D
Marçal
D
34
G. Justino
D
G. Justino
D
2
Vitinho
79'
D
Vitinho
79'
D
6
C. Medina
M
C. Medina
M
75
Huguinho
79'
M
Huguinho
79'
M
11
Matheus Martins
66'
M
Matheus Martins
66'
M
10
Álvaro Montoro
M
Álvaro Montoro
M
77
L. Villalba
66'
M
L. Villalba
66'
M
19
Arthur Cabral
79'
F
Arthur Cabral
79'
F
Bench
8
Danilo Santos
30'
M
Danilo Santos
30'
M
88
Edenílson
M
Edenílson
M
12
Gabriel Batista
G
Gabriel Batista
G
14
Jordan Barrera
M
Jordan Barrera
M
59
Kauan Toledo
M
Kauan Toledo
M
37
K. Barria
17'
F
K. Barria
17'
F
33
L. Monzón
D
L. Monzón
D
79
Lucas Emanuel
30'
F
Lucas Emanuel
30'
F
4
M. Ponte
17'
D
M. Ponte
17'
D
29
Paulinho
D
Paulinho
D
23
S. Rodríguez
17'
M
S. Rodríguez
17'
M
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
Lucas Arcanjo
G
13
Ramon
D
Ramon
D
36
Luan Cândido
D
Luan Cândido
D
25
Cacá
D
Cacá
D
83
Jamerson
D
Jamerson
D
44
Gabriel Baralhas
M
Gabriel Baralhas
M
88
Zé Vitor
78'
M
Zé Vitor
78'
M
6
E. Martínez
45'
M
E. Martínez
45'
M
10
Matheuzinho
66'
M
Matheuzinho
66'
M
33
Erick
87'
M
Erick
87'
M
91
Rene
45'
F
Rene
45'
F
Bench
95
Caíque
51'
M
Caíque
51'
M
12
D. Tarzia
30'
D
D. Tarzia
30'
D
2
E. Brítez
D
E. Brítez
D
26
Edenilson
M
Edenilson
M
70
Fabiano
D
Fabiano
D
23
Fabrício
F
Fabrício
F
7
Marinho
F
Marinho
F
98
Mateusinho
9'
D
Mateusinho
9'
D
79
Renato Kayzer
51'
F
Renato Kayzer
51'
F
8
T. Pochettino
18'
M
T. Pochettino
18'
M
15
Walace
D
Walace
D
71
Yuri Sena
G
Yuri Sena
G
Best on the pitch
Lucas Arcanjo
G · Vitoria
8.90
· 27 pass
Vitinho
D · Botafogo
8.00
1 shots
· 35 pass
Arthur Cabral
F · Botafogo
7.60
2 shots
· 17 pass
Caíque
M · Vitoria
7.50
· 13 pass
Erick
M · Vitoria
7.30
· 34 pass
Jamerson
D · Vitoria
7.30
· 33 pass
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warleson | G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Alex Telles | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Marçal | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Justino | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitinho | D | 79 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Medina | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Huguinho | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheus Martins | M | 66 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | — | — | — |
| L. Villalba | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 79 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Barria | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Emanuel | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Ponte | D | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Rodríguez | M | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
Vitoria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 96 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Ramon | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Luan Cândido | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Cacá | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Jamerson | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| Gabriel Baralhas | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 78 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Martínez | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Rene | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Caíque | M | 51 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Tarzia | D | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — |
| Mateusinho | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Pochettino | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botafogo vs Vitoria?
The final score was Botafogo 0–0 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before Botafogo vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Botafogo win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an Vitoria win.