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Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna

First League May 16, 2026 18:00
Botev Plovdiv
#8 · 43 pts
vs
Cherno More Varna
#5 · 54 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 22.1°C 💨 7 km/h 🌧️ 43% · Plovdiv
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.35%
Win
Botev Plovdiv
27.61%
Draw
25.04%
Win
Cherno More Varna
1.31
Expected xG
0.77

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Botev Plovdiv a 47% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Cherno More Varna. Expected goals are 1.3 for Botev Plovdiv and 0.8 for Cherno More Varna (total 2.1), with a 65% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.4% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Botev Plovdiv have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Cherno More Varna.

Score Matrix
↕ Botev Plovdiv Cherno More Varna →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5% 9.6% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% —
1 16.4% 12.6% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% —
2 10.7% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% —
3 4.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% — —
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
L Arda Kardzhali 1–2
L Cherno More Varna 2–0
L Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–2
W Arda Kardzhali 0–2
W Dobrudzha 0–3
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 33%
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
W Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–0
W Botev Plovdiv 2–0
D Arda Kardzhali 0–0
W Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1
L CSKA 1948 0–4
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 43%
Playing profile
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
Attack
36
Defence
76
Form
53
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
Attack
26
Defence
75
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Botev Plovdiv
0
Draw
2
Cherno More Varna
L 9 May 2026 First League 0–2
W 29 Nov 2025 First League 2–1
L 27 Jul 2025 First League 1–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 30 70
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 34 77
2 Ludogorets Ludogorets 34 64
2 Ludogorets Ludogorets 30 60
3 CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 30 59
3 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 34 63
4 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 30 56
4 CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 34 63
5 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 34 54
5 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 30 46
6 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 30 44
6 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 34 52
7 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 30 44
7 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 34 48
8 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 34 43
8 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 30 40
9 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 30 39
9 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 35 47
10 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 35 44
10 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 30 38
11 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 30 37
11 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 35 43
12 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 30 27
12 Beroe Beroe 35 34
13 Dobrudzha Dobrudzha 30 26
13 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 35 32
14 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 30 26
14 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 35 31
15 Beroe Beroe 30 23
15 Dobrudzha Dobrudzha 35 30
16 Montana Montana 30 17
16 Montana Montana 35 23
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
The model gives Botev Plovdiv a 47% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 25% for an Cherno More Varna win.
How many goals are expected in Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
Expected goals: Botev Plovdiv 1.3, Cherno More Varna 0.8 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 65%.
What is the most likely score in Botev Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.4%.