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✗Model wrong — prediction Botev Plovdiv, result Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins
18' (ast. C. Itu) J. Zwarts
90'+3 J. Zwarts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botev Plovdiv a 65% win probability (draw 23%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 10%). The final result was Botev Plovdiv 0–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. In 3 previous meetings, Botev Plovdiv have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Match statistics
2
Shots on target
6
0.54
Actual xG
0.93
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
1
Match Events
E. Rodriguez
15'
18'
ast. C. Itu · J. Zwarts⚽
↕ N. Iliev / Mascote
24'
↕ T. Nedelev / W. Chimezie
35'
S. Kalu
40'
E. Kwateng
62'
Lucas Araujo
65'
67'
S. Idriz
71'
G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
73'
Z. Dinev / S. Idriz ↕
73'
M. Trdan / G. B. Chorbadzhiyski ↕
74'
↕ E. Kwateng / Z. Tindano
83'
↕ Lucas Araujo / E. Martinho da Silva
83'
84'
J. Lamy / C. Itu ↕
85'
Z. Dinev
90'+3
J. Zwarts⚽
90'+4
M. Atanasov / I. Ivanov ↕
90'+5
Francisco Politino / J. Zwarts ↕
K. Balogiannis
90'+10
Pre-match prediction
65.61%
Botev
23.43%
X
10.96%
Lokomotiv ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) 10.96% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Botev
1.78
0.54
-1.24
Lokomotiv
0.44
0.93
+0.49
Lokomotiv Plovdiv dominated by xG (0.93 vs 0.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 9 25
2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 10 24
3 Ludogorets Ludogorets 9 23
4 CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 10 22
5 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 10 17
6 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 10 16
7 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 10 11
8 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 10 10
9 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 10 9
10 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 10 8
11 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 10 7
12 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 10 7
13 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 10 6
14 Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse 10 5
Lineups
29
G
38
Konstantinos Balogiannis D
4
N. Soldo D
87
S. Petrov D
22
Enock Kwateng D
90
S. Kalu M
14
Carlos Algarra M
77
Lucas Araújo M
8
T. Nedelev M
10 E. Rodríguez E. Rodríguez M
7
N. Iliev M
Bench
45
Edson Silva M
30
Franklin Mascote F
88
W. Chimezie F
1
G
5
D
13
Lucas Ryan D
4
A. Chindriş D
2
Adrián Cova D
12
Efe Ali M
29
G. Chorbadzhiyski M
22
Ivaylo Ivanov M
94
C. Itu 1 👟 M
77
J. Zwarts 2 ⚽ F
7
Sevi Idriz M
Bench
33
Martin Atanasov M
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G — — — — — — — — — —
Konstantinos Balogiannis D — — — — — — — — — —
N. Soldo D — — — — — — — — — —
S. Petrov D — — — — — — — — — —
Enock Kwateng D — — — — — — — — — —
S. Kalu M — — — — — — — — — —
Carlos Algarra M — — — — — — — — — —
Lucas Araújo M — — — — — — — — — —
T. Nedelev M — — — — — — — — — —
E. Rodríguez M — — — — — — — — — —
N. Iliev M — — — — — — — — — —
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G — — — — — — — — — —
D — — — — — — — — — —
Lucas Ryan D — — — — — — — — — —
A. Chindriş D — — — — — — — — — —
Adrián Cova D — — — — — — — — — —
Efe Ali M — — — — — — — — — —
G. Chorbadzhiyski M — — — — — — — — — —
Ivaylo Ivanov M — — — — — — — — — —
C. Itu M — — — 1 — — — — — —
J. Zwarts F — — 2 — — — — — — —
Sevi Idriz M — — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
The final score was Botev Plovdiv 0–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What did the model predict before Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Botev Plovdiv win, 23% to a draw, and 10% to an Lokomotiv Plovdiv win.