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Model wrong — prediction Botev Plovdiv, result Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins
18' (ast. C. Itu) J. Zwarts
90'+3 J. Zwarts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botev Plovdiv a 65% win probability (draw 23%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 10%). The final result was Botev Plovdiv 0–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. In 2 previous meetings, Botev Plovdiv have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Match statistics
2
Shots on target
6
0.54
Actual xG
0.93
50%
Possession
50%
4
Corners
1
Match Events
E. Rodriguez
15'
18'
ast. C. Itu · J. Zwarts
N. Iliev / Mascote
24'
T. Nedelev / W. Chimezie
35'
S. Kalu
40'
E. Kwateng
62'
Lucas Araujo
65'
67'
S. Idriz
71'
G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
73'
Z. Dinev / S. Idriz
73'
M. Trdan / G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
74'
E. Kwateng / Z. Tindano
83'
Lucas Araujo / E. Martinho da Silva
83'
84'
J. Lamy / C. Itu
85'
Z. Dinev
90'+3
J. Zwarts
90'+4
M. Atanasov / I. Ivanov
90'+5
Francisco Politino / J. Zwarts
K. Balogiannis
90'+10
Pre-match prediction
65.61%
Botev
23.43%
X
10.96%
Lokomotiv ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) 10.96% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Botev
1.78
0.54
-1.24
Lokomotiv
0.44
0.93
+0.49
Lokomotiv Plovdiv dominated by xG (0.93 vs 0.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 4 12
2 Ludogorets Ludogorets 4 12
3 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 4 10
4 CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948 4 10
5 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 4 7
6 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 4 7
7 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 4 7
8 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 4 5
9 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4 3
10 Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia 4 2
11 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 4 1
12 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 4 1
13 Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 4 1
14 Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse 4 0
Lineups
29
G
38
Konstantinos Balogiannis D
4
Nikola Soldo D
87
Simeon Petrov D
22
Enock Kwateng D
90
Samuel Kalu M
14
Carlos Algarra López M
77
Lucas Araujo M
8
T. Nedelev M
10
Emerson Rodríguez M
7
Nikola Iliev M
Bench
45
Edson Silva M
30
Franklin Mascote F
88
Williams Chimezie Oluebube F
1
G
5
D
13
Lucas Ryan D
4
Andrei Chindriş D
2
Adrián Cova D
12
Efe Ali M
29
Georgi Chorbadzhiyski M
22
Ivaylo Ivanov M
94
Cătălin Itu 1 👟 M
77
Joël Zwarts 2 ⚽ F
7
Sevi Idriz M
Bench
33
Martin Atanasov M
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G
Konstantinos Balogiannis D
Nikola Soldo D
Simeon Petrov D
Enock Kwateng D
Samuel Kalu M
Carlos Algarra López M
Lucas Araujo M
T. Nedelev M
Emerson Rodríguez M
Nikola Iliev M
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G
D
Lucas Ryan D
Andrei Chindriş D
Adrián Cova D
Efe Ali M
Georgi Chorbadzhiyski M
Ivaylo Ivanov M
Cătălin Itu M 1
Joël Zwarts F 2
Sevi Idriz M
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
The final score was Botev Plovdiv 0–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
What did the model predict before Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Botev Plovdiv win, 23% to a draw, and 10% to an Lokomotiv Plovdiv win.