Botev Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia
Friendlies Clubs
October 02, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
60.99%
Win
Botev Plovdiv
20.49%
Draw
18.51%
Win
Septemvri Sofia
2.67
0.86
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Botev Plovdiv
60.99%
Probability
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.6%)
1X2 Result
1
61%
X
20%
2
19%
Double Chance
1X
82%
X2
39%
12
80%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Botev Plovdiv a 60% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Septemvri Sofia. Expected goals are 2.7 for Botev Plovdiv and 0.9 for Septemvri Sofia (total 3.5), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.6% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Botev Plovdiv have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Septemvri Sofia.
Season Stats
11W
0D
1L
4W
0D
6L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
1.2
0.3
Conceded
1.6
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
80%
58%
O 2.5
60%
25%
BTTS
40%
75%
Clean Sht
30%
ℹ
Based on the last 12 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
15%
BTTS
9W
0D
1L
· at home
1W
0D
1L
· away
2.6
gls/g
0.5
0.4
Conceded
0.5
90%
Win %
50%
90%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
0%
70%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
30%
BTTS
0%
70%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Botev Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 10.5% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 9.3% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Botev Plovdiv
Attack
65
Defence
88
Form
79
Septemvri Sofia
Attack
38
Defence
68
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
The model gives Botev Plovdiv a 60% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 18% for an Septemvri Sofia win.
How many goals are expected in Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
Expected goals: Botev Plovdiv 2.7, Septemvri Sofia 0.9 (total 3.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Botev Plovdiv vs Septemvri Sofia?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.6%.