First League
· Relegation Group - 37
May 22, 2026 17:00
M. Ntelo
(ast. M. Petkov)
25'
M. Petkov
(ast. R. Tsonev)
48'
K. Hadji
90'+1
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botev Vratsa a 45% win probability (draw 25%, Beroe 29%). The final result was Botev Vratsa 3–0 Beroe. In 2 previous meetings, Botev Vratsa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Beroe.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
6
1.14
Actual xG
1.78
38%
Possession
62%
0
Corners
9
Match Events
⚽M. Ntelo
· ast. M. Petkov
25'
46'
Y. Valbuena
/
S. Gavrilov
⚽M. Petkov
· ast. R. Tsonev
48'
53'
F. Costantini
63'
J. Pineda
65'
W. Dual
/
F. Alarcon
M. Smolenski
/ D. Genov
74'
83'
E. Kuhinja
/
S. Brunelli
83'
Johny
/
D. Valverde
M. Ntelo
/ K. Hadji
84'
A. Stoyanov
85'
88'
Johny
⚽K. Hadji
90'+1
I. Yurukov
/ D. Jovicic
90'+3
A. Stoyanov
/ E. M. Petrov
90'+4
M. Petkov
/ Y. Bornosuzov
90'+4
90'+4
M. Borgnino
Pre-match prediction
45.12%
Botev ←
25.26%
X
29.62%
Beroe
we assigned to the actual result (Botev Vratsa)
45.12%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.45
1.14
-0.31
1.08
1.78
+0.7
Beroe dominated by xG (1.78 vs 1.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
94
Marin Orlinov
G
88
L. Boyanov
D
12
I. Yurukov
M
36
M. Stoev
D
44
I. Goranov
D
21
R. Tsonev
1 👟
M
8
Antoan Stoyanov
M
3
S. Sanyang
D
24
M. Smolenski
M
20
M. Ntelo
1 ⚽
F
M. Ntelo
1 ⚽
F
79
M. Petkov
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
9
D. Genov
M
55
Đorđe Jovičić
D
2
Emil Petrov
M
81
K. Hadji
1 ⚽
M
1
L. Vasilev
G
4
Viktor Pavlov
D
19
Y. Bornosuzov
F
1
Arthur Motta
G
30
Santiago Brunelli
D
3
J. Salomoni
D
J. Salomoni
D
4
Facundo Costantini
D
Facundo Costantini
D
23
Tijan Sohna
D
Tijan Sohna
D
8
Marco Borgnino
M
24
S. Gavrilov
M
11
Ismael Ferrer
M
12
David Valverde
D
15
Facundo Alarcon
F
7
Juanca Pineda
M
Juanca Pineda
M
Bench
19
Emir Kuhinja
F
32
Francisco Varela
M
6
Ivaylo Mitev
D
25
João Sérgio Milheirão
D
18
Stilyan Rusenov
M
99
Valentino Quintero
G
14
Viktorio Valkov
D
17
Wesley Dual
M
9
Yesid Valbuena
F
Botev Vratsa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marin Orlinov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Boyanov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Yurukov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Stoev | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Goranov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Tsonev | M | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antoan Stoyanov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Sanyang | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Smolenski | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ntelo | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Petkov | F | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Beroe — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Motta | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Brunelli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Salomoni | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Costantini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tijan Sohna | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Borgnino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Gavrilov | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ismael Ferrer | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Valverde | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Alarcon | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juanca Pineda | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Beroe?
The final score was Botev Vratsa 3–0 Beroe.
What did the model predict before Botev Vratsa vs Beroe?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Botev Vratsa win, 25% to a draw, and 29% to an Beroe win.