Botswana - Uganda
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 15, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.34%
Win
Botswana
31.85%
Draw
39.82%
Win
Uganda
0.75
1.01
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(16.18%)
1X2 Result
1
28%
X
32%
2
40%
Double Chance
1X
60%
X2
72%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
81%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
58%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Uganda a 39% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Botswana. Expected goals are 0.8 for Botswana and 1.0 for Uganda (total 1.8), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 16.18% probability.
Season Stats
0W
2D
0L
1W
1D
0L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.0
2.0
Conceded
0.5
3.0
Shots OT
2.0
3.0
Corners
3.5
31%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Botswana
Uganda →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.2% | 17.4% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Botswana
Attack
31
Defence
40
Form
32
Uganda
Attack
29
Defence
75
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
What's at stake · Group H
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #2 | #1 |
| → Botswana | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #2 | #1 |
| → Uganda | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Botswana vs Uganda?
The model gives Botswana a 28% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 39% for an Uganda win.
How many goals are expected in Botswana vs Uganda?
Expected goals: Botswana 0.8, Uganda 1.0 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Botswana vs Uganda?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.18%.