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Model wrong — prediction Le Mans, result Draw
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Le Mans a 74% win probability (draw 5%, Boulogne 20%). The final result was Boulogne 0–0 Le Mans. In 1 previous meetings, Boulogne have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Le Mans.

Match statistics
1
Total shots
6
1
Shots on target
2
0
Saves
1
43%
Possession
57%
2
Corners
5
12
Tackles
13
Match Events
61'
W. Harhouz / E. Colas
61'
D. Gueye / A. Rabillard
62'
A. Bourabaa / E. Quarshie
67'
M. Robin / A. Lauray
J. Boyer / N. Fatar
70'
78'
A. Ribelin / L. Calodat
A. El Farissi / A. Platret
78'
S. Duflos / J. Martin
79'
M. Lecolier / C. Fatou
83'
Pre-match prediction
20.0%
Boulogne
5.15%
X ←
74.85%
Le
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 5.15% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Boulogne
0.30
Le
3.59
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Saint Etienne Saint Etienne 5 15
2 Reims Reims 6 12
3 Montpellier Montpellier 6 11
4 Annecy Annecy 5 10
5 Metz Metz 5 9
6 RED Star FC 93 RED Star FC 93 5 8
7 Nancy Nancy 6 7
8 Rodez Rodez 6 7
9 Grenoble Grenoble 6 7
10 Dijon Dijon 6 6
11 Sochaux Sochaux 5 6
12 Guingamp Guingamp 5 5
13 Clermont Foot Clermont Foot 6 5
14 Dunkerque Dunkerque 5 5
15 Boulogne Boulogne 6 5
16 PAU PAU 6 5
17 Nantes Nantes 5 4
18 Laval Laval 6 4
Lineups
Boulogne Boulogne 4-1-4-1
99 Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu 62' G 6.50
12 J. Boyer J. Boyer 62' D 7.20
5
62' D 7.20
25 S. Gourville S. Gourville 62' D 6.70
18 D. Thiam D. Thiam 62' D 6.70
14 J. Bultel J. Bultel 62' M 6.30
3 V. Burlet V. Burlet 62' M 6.90
22 S. Duflos S. Duflos 62' M 6.90
19 N. Binet N. Binet 62' M 6.90
10
A. El Farissi 62' M 6.20
9 Martin Lecolier Martin Lecolier 62' F 6.90
Bench
15 A. Pinot A. Pinot D
90 J. Martin J. Martin M
23 N. Fatar N. Fatar F
Le Mans Le Mans 3-1-4-2
98
62' G 6.30
3 I. Cossier I. Cossier 62' D 6.90
17 S. Yohou S. Yohou 62' D 6.90
31 N. Boissé N. Boissé 62' D 7.20
29
62' M 6.50
22 L. Calodat L. Calodat 62' M 6.20
6
E. Quarshie 62' M 6.30
8 A. Lauray A. Lauray 62' M 7.30
18
62' M 6.20
28 Erwan Colas Erwan Colas 61' F 6.20
9 A. Rabillard A. Rabillard 61' F 6.30
Bench
11 A. Bourabaa A. Bourabaa F
25 D. Guèye D. Guèye 1' F
5 H. Voyer H. Voyer D
24 Milan Robin Milan Robin M
Best on the pitch
A. Lauray
A. Lauray
M · Le
7.30
· 33 pass
J. Boyer
J. Boyer
D · Boulogne
7.20
· 26 pass
D · Boulogne
7.20
· 25 pass
N. Boissé
N. Boissé
D · Le
7.20
· 41 pass
V. Burlet
V. Burlet
M · Boulogne
6.90
· 11 pass
S. Duflos
S. Duflos
M · Boulogne
6.90
· 11 pass
Boulogne Boulogne — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Blondy Rudolph Nna Noukeu G 62 6.50 24 11%
J. Boyer D 62 7.20 26 20%
D 62 7.20 25 18% 1
S. Gourville D 62 6.70 13 8%
D. Thiam D 62 6.70 22 14% 2
J. Bultel M 62 6.30 15 12% 1
V. Burlet M 62 6.90 11 8% 3
S. Duflos M 62 6.90 11 10% 2
N. Binet M 62 6.90 24 12% 2
A. El Farissi M 62 6.20 1 9 2% 1
Martin Lecolier F 62 6.90 8 8%
Le Mans Le Mans — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 62 6.30 18 13%
I. Cossier D 62 6.90 47 38% 1
S. Yohou D 62 6.90 1 46 40% 2
N. Boissé D 62 7.20 41 31% 2
M 62 6.50 1 17 12% 2
L. Calodat M 62 6.20 16 9%
E. Quarshie M 62 6.30 15 12% 4
A. Lauray M 62 7.30 33 25% 2
M 62 6.20 15 6%
Erwan Colas F 61 6.20 3 6 4%
A. Rabillard F 61 6.30 1 7 5%
D. Guèye F 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Boulogne vs Le Mans?
The final score was Boulogne 0–0 Le Mans.
What did the model predict before Boulogne vs Le Mans?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Boulogne win, 5% to a draw, and 74% to an Le Mans win.