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Europa League · League Stage - 3 October 22, 2026 21:00 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Bournemouth
#2 · 12 pts
3 – 0
Final score
AC Milan
#28 · 3 pts
Justin Kluivert 8' (pen.)
Marcus Tavernier 32' (pen.)
Amine Adli 84'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bournemouth a 50% win probability (draw 21%, AC Milan 27%). The final result was Bournemouth 3–0 AC Milan.

Match statistics
20
Total shots
3
7
Shots on target
0
3.18
Actual xG
0.17
0
Saves
4
64%
Possession
36%
6
Corners
4
20
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
6'
⚽Justin Kluivert (pen.)
8'
Bafode Diakite
16'
27'
Mike Maignan
Tyler Adams
29'
32'
Lorenzo Torriani / Omari Hutchinson ↕
⚽Marcus Tavernier (pen.)
32'
35'
Pervis Estupinan
45'
Davide Bartesaghi / Pervis Estupinan ↕
45'
Adrien Rabiot / Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↕
↕ Tyler Adams / Lewis Cook
61'
↕ Marcus Tavernier / Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha
62'
↕ Justin Kluivert / Alex Tóth
62'
63'
Fikayo Tomori
↕ Francisco Evanilson / Álvaro Rodríguez
66'
66'
Sankhoun Diawara / Fikayo Tomori ↕
76'
Christian Comotto / Diego Moreira ↕
↕ Alex Tóth / Amine Adli
77'
81'
Koni De Winter
⚽Amine Adli
84'
Pre-match prediction
50.68%
Bournemouth ←
21.93%
X
27.39%
AC
we assigned to the actual result (Bournemouth) 50.68% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bournemouth
2.27
3.18
+0.91
AC
1.54
0.17
-1.37
Bournemouth dominated by xG (3.18 vs 0.17). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Benfica Benfica 4 12
2 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4 12
3 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 4 12
4 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 4 10
5 Juventus Juventus 4 10
6 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 4 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4 9
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 4 7
9 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4 7
10 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 4 7
11 Sunderland Sunderland 4 7
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 4 7
13 Lyon Lyon 4 7
14 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4 6
15 Anderlecht Anderlecht 4 6
16 OFI OFI 4 6
17 Rennes Rennes 4 6
18 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 4 6
19 Torreense Torreense 4 6
20 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4 5
21 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4 5
22 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 4 4
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 4 4
24 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4 4
25 Celje Celje 4 4
26 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 4 4
27 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 4 3
28 AC Milan AC Milan 4 3
29 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 4 3
30 Plzen Plzen 4 3
31 Marseille Marseille 4 3
32 Celtic Celtic 4 3
33 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 4 1
34 Lillestrom Lillestrom 4 1
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 4 1
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 4 0
Lineups
Bournemouth Bournemouth 4-4-2
20 M. Di Gregorio M. Di Gregorio G 6.75
3 A. Truffert A. Truffert D 7.16
14 António Silva António Silva D 7.69
18 B. Diakité B. Diakité D 6.30
5 J. Hill J. Hill D 7.24
16 M. Tavernier M. Tavernier 1 ⚽ 62' M 7.12
12 T. Adams T. Adams 61' M 6.64
10 R. Christie R. Christie M 7.45
11 B. Doak B. Doak M 6.38
9 Evanilson Evanilson 66' F 6.97
19 J. Kluivert J. Kluivert 1 ⚽ 62' F 7.09
Bench
21 A. Adli A. Adli 1 ⚽ 13' F 7.41
30 Á. Rodríguez Á. Rodríguez 24' F 6.44
15 A. Smith A. Smith D 0.00
27 A. Tóth A. Tóth 15' M 6.52
7 D. Brooks D. Brooks M 0.00
1 Đ. Petrović Đ. Petrović G 0.00
6 J. Soler J. Soler D 0.00
4 L. Cook L. Cook 29' M 6.92
55 M. Allan M. Allan G 0.00
37 Rayan Rayan 28' F 6.82
AC Milan AC Milan 3-4-2-1
16 M. Maignan M. Maignan 27' G 4.76
31 S. Pavlović S. Pavlović D 6.38
5 K. De Winter K. De Winter D 6.40
23 F. Tomori F. Tomori 66' D 5.64
2 P. Estupiñán P. Estupiñán 45' M 5.60
30 A. Jashari A. Jashari M 5.88
80 Y. Musah Y. Musah M 6.23
22 Diego Moreira Diego Moreira 76' M 6.16
8 R. Loftus-Cheek R. Loftus-Cheek 45' M 5.72
20 O. Hutchinson O. Hutchinson 32' M 5.47
70 A. Cissè A. Cissè F 6.04
Bench
12 A. Rabiot A. Rabiot 45' M 5.95
28 C. Comotto C. Comotto 14' M 5.77
11 C. Pulišić C. Pulišić M 0.00
33 D. Bartesaghi D. Bartesaghi 45' D 5.74
73 F. Camarda F. Camarda F 0.00
14 L. Modrić L. Modrić M 0.00
41 L. P. Bouyer L. P. Bouyer G 0.00
96 L. Torriani L. Torriani 58' G 4.61
34 Mario Gila Mario Gila D 0.00
13 S. Bocoum S. Bocoum 24' D 5.85
35 V. Vladimirov V. Vladimirov D 0.00
Best on the pitch
António Silva
António Silva
D · Bournemouth
7.69
1 shots · 97 pass
R. Christie
R. Christie
M · Bournemouth
7.45
4 shots · 50 pass
A. Adli
A. Adli
F · Bournemouth
7.41
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
J. Hill
J. Hill
D · Bournemouth
7.24
1 shots · 66 pass
A. Truffert
A. Truffert
D · Bournemouth
7.16
2 shots · 57 pass
M. Tavernier
M. Tavernier
M · Bournemouth
7.12
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
Bournemouth Bournemouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Di Gregorio G 90 6.75 — — 0 15 13% 0 — —
A. Truffert D 90 7.16 — — 2 57 50% 3 — —
António Silva D 90 7.69 — — 1 97 94% 1 — —
B. Diakité D 90 6.30 — — 0 59 54% 1 1 —
J. Hill D 90 7.24 — — 1 66 57% 4 — —
M. Tavernier M 62 7.12 1 — 2 22 18% 0 — —
T. Adams M 61 6.64 — — 0 37 34% 0 1 —
R. Christie M 90 7.45 — — 4 50 46% 3 — —
B. Doak M 90 6.38 — — 2 23 17% 3 — —
Evanilson F 66 6.97 — — 2 12 10% 3 — —
J. Kluivert F 62 7.09 1 — 2 15 13% 0 — —
A. Adli F 13 7.41 1 — 1 9 8% 1 — —
Á. Rodríguez F 24 6.44 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
A. Tóth M 15 6.52 — — 1 6 5% 0 — —
L. Cook M 29 6.92 — — 0 21 19% 0 — —
Rayan F 28 6.82 — — 2 14 11% 1 — —
AC Milan AC Milan — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Maignan G 27 4.76 — — 0 12 9% 0 — 1
S. Pavlović D 90 6.38 — — 1 35 33% 1 — —
K. De Winter D 90 6.40 — — 1 33 29% 4 1 —
F. Tomori D 66 5.64 — — 0 19 15% 2 1 —
P. Estupiñán M 45 5.60 — — 0 17 14% 3 1 —
A. Jashari M 90 5.88 — — 0 44 34% 1 — —
Y. Musah M 90 6.23 — — 1 22 22% 2 — —
Diego Moreira M 76 6.16 — — 0 12 9% 2 — —
R. Loftus-Cheek M 45 5.72 — — 0 10 7% 0 — —
O. Hutchinson M 32 5.47 — — 0 11 9% 0 — —
A. Cissè F 90 6.04 — — 0 16 12% 0 — —
A. Rabiot M 45 5.95 — — 0 12 7% 1 — —
C. Comotto M 14 5.77 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
D. Bartesaghi D 45 5.74 — — 0 10 6% 0 — —
L. Torriani G 58 4.61 — — 0 29 18% 0 — —
S. Bocoum D 24 5.85 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
The final score was Bournemouth 3–0 AC Milan.
What did the model predict before Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Bournemouth win, 21% to a draw, and 27% to an AC Milan win.