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Bournemouth - AC Milan

Europa League October 22, 2026 21:00
Bournemouth
#10 · 3 pts
vs
AC Milan
#30 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.56%
Win
Bournemouth
23.91%
Draw
31.53%
Win
AC Milan
2.31
Expected xG
1.8

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.75%)
1X2 Result
1 45%
X 24%
2 32%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (14 picks)
1X 69%
X2 55%
12 76%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 72%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bournemouth a 44% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 31% for AC Milan. Expected goals are 2.3 for Bournemouth and 1.8 for AC Milan (total 4.1), with a 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.75% probability.

Season Stats

Bournemouth
1W 0D 0L
AC Milan
0W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
0.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
3.0
Shots OT
4.0
3.0
Corners
9.0
46%
Poss.
61%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 1 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Bournemouth AC Milan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6% 2.9% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
1 3.8% 6.8% 6.1% 3.7% 1.6% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.9% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 3.4% 6.1% 5.5% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
4 2.0% 3.5% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
5 0.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

Bournemouth Bournemouth
W Real Sociedad 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
AC Milan AC Milan
L Benfica 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 14%

Playing profile

Bournemouth Bournemouth
Attack
45
Defence
63
Form
47
AC Milan AC Milan
Attack
43
Defence
63
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Juventus Juventus 1 3
2 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1 3
3 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 1 3
4 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1 3
5 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 1 3
6 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 1 3
7 Benfica Benfica 1 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1 3
9 OFI OFI 1 3
10 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1 3
11 Lyon Lyon 1 3
12 Torreense Torreense 1 3
13 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 1 3
14 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 1 3
15 Sunderland Sunderland 1 3
16 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 1 3
17 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1 1
18 Rennes Rennes 1 1
19 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1 1
20 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 1 1
21 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 1 0
22 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 1 0
23 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1 0
24 Lillestrom Lillestrom 1 0
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1 0
27 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 1 0
28 Celtic Celtic 1 0
29 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0
30 AC Milan AC Milan 1 0
31 Celje Celje 1 0
32 Marseille Marseille 1 0
33 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 1 0
34 Plzen Plzen 1 0
35 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1 0
36 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
The model gives Bournemouth a 44% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 31% for an AC Milan win.
How many goals are expected in Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
Expected goals: Bournemouth 2.3, AC Milan 1.8 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 86%.
What is the most likely score in Bournemouth vs AC Milan?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.75%.