Amine Adli
(ast. Julio Soler)
7'
Lewis Cook
(ast. Ben Gannon-Doak)
51'
Álvaro Rodríguez
(ast. Tyler Adams)
69'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bournemouth a 50% win probability (draw 16%, Aston Villa 32%). The final result was Bournemouth 3–0 Aston Villa. In 2 previous meetings, Bournemouth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Aston Villa.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
17
7
Shots on target
5
2.75
Actual xG
1.67
5
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
2
20
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Amine Adli
· ast. Julio Soler
7'
12'
Emiliano Buendía
Juanlu Sánchez
16'
Ben Gannon-Doak
25'
33'
Brian Madjo
Marcus Tavernier
/ Justin Kluivert
45'
Amine Adli
/ Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha
45'
⚽Lewis Cook
· ast. Ben Gannon-Doak
51'
54'
João Gomes
58'
Alejandro Garnacho
/
George Hemmings
58'
Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
/
Ibrahim Mbaye
Ben Gannon-Doak
/ David Brooks
63'
Ryan Christie
/ Tyler Adams
63'
Lewis Cook
67'
⚽Álvaro Rodríguez
· ast. Tyler Adams
69'
70'
Ross Barkley
/
Emiliano Buendía
70'
John McGinn
/
Leon Goretzka
75'
Tammy Abraham
/
Brian Madjo
Álvaro Rodríguez
/ Eli Kroupi
80'
Pre-match prediction
50.76%
Bournemouth ←
16.51%
X
32.73%
Aston
we assigned to the actual result (Bournemouth)
50.76%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.91
2.75
-1.16
3.23
1.67
-1.56
Bournemouth dominated by xG (2.75 vs 1.67).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
20
M. Di Gregorio
G
M. Di Gregorio
G
6
J. Soler
1 👟
D
J. Soler
1 👟
D
14
António Silva
D
António Silva
D
18
B. Diakité
D
B. Diakité
D
24
Juanlu Sánchez
D
Juanlu Sánchez
D
4
L. Cook
1 ⚽
M
L. Cook
1 ⚽
M
21
A. Adli
1 ⚽
45'
M
A. Adli
1 ⚽
45'
M
10
R. Christie
63'
M
R. Christie
63'
M
16
M. Tavernier
45'
M
M. Tavernier
45'
M
11
B. Doak
1 👟
63'
M
B. Doak
1 👟
63'
M
30
Á. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
80'
F
Á. Rodríguez
1 ⚽
80'
F
Bench
15
A. Smith
D
A. Smith
D
3
A. Truffert
D
A. Truffert
D
7
D. Brooks
27'
M
D. Brooks
27'
M
1
Đ. Petrović
G
Đ. Petrović
G
22
E. Kroupi
10'
F
E. Kroupi
10'
F
5
J. Hill
D
J. Hill
D
19
J. Kluivert
45'
F
J. Kluivert
45'
F
37
Rayan
45'
F
Rayan
45'
F
12
T. Adams
1 👟
27'
M
T. Adams
1 👟
27'
M
40
M. Bizot
G
M. Bizot
G
22
I. Maatsen
D
I. Maatsen
D
5
T. Mings
D
T. Mings
D
4
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
T. Harwood-Bellis
D
26
L. Bogarde
D
L. Bogarde
D
27
L. Goretzka
70'
M
L. Goretzka
70'
M
35
João Gomes
M
João Gomes
M
53
George Hemmings
58'
M
George Hemmings
58'
M
10
E. Buendía
70'
M
E. Buendía
70'
M
19
I. Mbaye
58'
M
I. Mbaye
58'
M
39
Brian Madjo
75'
F
Brian Madjo
75'
F
Bench
17
A. Garnacho
32'
F
A. Garnacho
32'
F
47
Alysson Edward
32'
F
Alysson Edward
32'
F
8
B. Kamara
M
B. Kamara
M
7
J. McGinn
20'
M
J. McGinn
20'
M
2
M. Cash
D
M. Cash
D
48
M. Cissé
D
M. Cissé
D
6
R. Barkley
20'
M
R. Barkley
20'
M
18
T. Abraham
15'
F
T. Abraham
15'
F
1
Z. Suzuki
G
Z. Suzuki
G
Best on the pitch
L. Cook
M · Bournemouth
8.14
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 48 pass
M. Di Gregorio
G · Bournemouth
8.03
· 30 pass
A. Adli
M · Bournemouth
7.92
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 12 pass
B. Doak
M · Bournemouth
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 34 pass
Á. Rodríguez
F · Bournemouth
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
M. Tavernier
M · Bournemouth
7.50
3 shots
· 26 pass
Bournemouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Di Gregorio | G | 90 | 8.03 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Soler | D | 90 | 6.67 | — | 1 | 0 | 31 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| António Silva | D | 90 | 7.27 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Diakité | D | 90 | 7.41 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | D | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 38% | 5 | 1 | — |
| L. Cook | M | 90 | 8.14 | 1 | — | 2 | 48 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Adli | M | 45 | 7.92 | 1 | — | 3 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Christie | M | 63 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Tavernier | M | 45 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Doak | M | 63 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 34 | 31% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Á. Rodríguez | F | 80 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Brooks | M | 27 | 6.77 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Kroupi | F | 10 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Kluivert | F | 45 | 7.15 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Rayan | F | 45 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Adams | M | 27 | 7.19 | — | 1 | 0 | 24 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bizot | G | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Maatsen | D | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Mings | D | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 88 | 83% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Harwood-Bellis | D | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 60% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Bogarde | D | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Goretzka | M | 70 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| João Gomes | M | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| George Hemmings | M | 58 | 6.01 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Buendía | M | 70 | 6.33 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| I. Mbaye | M | 58 | 5.88 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Brian Madjo | F | 75 | 6.23 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Garnacho | F | 32 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Alysson Edward | F | 32 | 6.37 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 20 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Barkley | M | 20 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Abraham | F | 15 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
The final score was Bournemouth 3–0 Aston Villa.
What did the model predict before Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Bournemouth win, 16% to a draw, and 32% to an Aston Villa win.