Premier League · Regular Season - 35 May 03, 2026 15:00

Bournemouth

#6 · 55 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Crystal Palace

#15 · 44 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bournemouth

J. Lerma 10' (og)

E. J. Kroupi 32' (pen.)

Rayan (ast. D. Brooks) 77'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bournemouth a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Crystal Palace 20%). The final result was Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace. In 1 previous meetings, Bournemouth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Crystal Palace.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

6

5

Shots on target

1

2.26

Actual xG

0.78

1

Saves

3

49%

Possession

51%

7

Corners

1

17

Tackles

22

0

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

6'

J. Canvot

⚽J. Lerma (og)

10'

⚽E. J. Kroupi (pen.)

32'

38'

M. Lacroix

46'

A. Wharton / D. Kamada ↕

46'

I. Sarr / Y. Pino ↕

46'

T. Mitchell / D. Munoz ↕

65'

J. Mateta / J. S. Larsen ↕

↕ T. Adams / R. Christie

70'

↕ E. J. Kroupi / D. Brooks

70'

76'

C. Richards / C. Riad ↕

⚽Rayan · ast. D. Brooks

77'

↕ Evanilson / E. Unal

80'

↕ Rayan / A. Adli

86'

↕ M. Tavernier / B. Doak

86'

Pre-match prediction

56.49%

Bournemouth ←

23.3%

X

20.21%

Crystal

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bournemouth) 56.49% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Bournemouth

1.74

2.26

+0.52

Crystal

0.95

0.78

-0.17

Bournemouth dominated by xG (2.26 vs 0.78). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	36	79
2	Manchester City	36	77
3	Manchester United	36	65
4	Liverpool	36	59
5	Aston Villa	36	59
6	Bournemouth	36	55
7	Brighton	36	53
8	Brentford	36	51
9	Chelsea	36	49
10	Everton	36	49
11	Fulham	36	48
12	Sunderland	36	48
13	Newcastle	36	46
14	Leeds	36	44
15	Crystal Palace	36	44
16	Nottingham Forest	36	43
17	Tottenham	36	38
18	West Ham	36	36
19	Burnley	36	21
20	Wolves	36	18

Lineups

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

1

D. Petrovic G 6.90

3

A. Truffert D 6.60

5

D 8.20

23

J. Hill D 7.50

20 Álex Jiménez D 7.20

12

T. Adams 69' M 6.90

8

A. Scott M 7.00

16

M. Tavernier 86' M 6.60

22 E. Kroupi 1 ⚽ 70' M 6.90

37 Rayan 1 ⚽ 86' M 7.90

9

Evanilson 80' F 6.90

Bench

27

A. Toth M

7

D. Brooks 1 👟 24' M 6.90

10

R. Christie 25' M 6.50

Crystal Palace 3-4-3

1 Dean Henderson G 5.90

34 Chadi Riad 76' D 6.30

5 Maxence Lacroix D 6.50

23 Jaydee Canvot D 5.90

55

M 6.90

18 Daichi Kamada 45' M 6.50

8 Jefferson Lerma 1 ⚽ M 6.20

2 Daniel Muñoz 45' M 6.30

10 Yéremy Pino 45' F 6.60

22 Jørgen Strand Larsen 65' F 6.20

11 Brennan Johnson F 6.50

Bench

20 Adam Wharton 49' M 6.60

26 Chris Richards 18' D 6.50

7 Ismaïla Sarr 49' F 6.00

14 Jean Philippe Mateta 29' F 6.30

3 Tyrick Mitchell 49' D 6.90

Best on the pitch

D · Bournemouth

8.20

· 65 pass

Rayan

M · Bournemouth

7.90

1 ⚽

4 shots · 20 pass

J. Hill

D · Bournemouth

7.50

· 56 pass

Álex Jiménez

D · Bournemouth

7.20

· 33 pass

A. Scott

M · Bournemouth

7.00

1 shots · 47 pass

Tyrick Mitchell

D · Crystal

6.90

· 21 pass

Bournemouth — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Petrovic	G	94	6.90	—	—	—	18	15%	—	—	—
A. Truffert	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	35	31%	—	—	—
	D	94	8.20	—	—	—	65	50%	3	—	—
J. Hill	D	94	7.50	—	—	—	56	37%	4	—	—
Álex Jiménez	D	94	7.20	—	—	—	33	29%	3	—	—
T. Adams	M	69	6.90	—	—	—	25	23%	—	—	—
A. Scott	M	94	7.00	—	—	1	47	41%	2	—	—
M. Tavernier	M	86	6.60	—	—	1	25	24%	—	—	—
E. Kroupi	M	70	6.90	1	—	2	16	12%	1	—	—
Rayan	M	86	7.90	1	—	4	20	15%	2	—	—
Evanilson	F	80	6.90	—	—	2	16	12%	—	—	—
D. Brooks	M	24	6.90	—	1	—	3	2%	1	—	—
R. Christie	M	25	6.50	—	—	—	13	13%	1	—	—

Crystal Palace — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Dean Henderson	G	94	5.90	—	—	—	37	19%	—	—	—
Chadi Riad	D	76	6.30	—	—	—	40	34%	2	—	—
Maxence Lacroix	D	94	6.50	—	—	—	55	48%	2	1	—
Jaydee Canvot	D	94	5.90	—	—	—	38	32%	3	1	—
	M	94	6.90	—	—	—	25	17%	7	—	—
Daichi Kamada	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	18	17%	—	—	—
Jefferson Lerma	M	94	6.20	1	—	—	43	31%	—	—	—
Daniel Muñoz	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	12%	3	—	—
Yéremy Pino	F	45	6.60	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
Jørgen Strand Larsen	F	65	6.20	—	—	2	21	13%	1	—	—
Brennan Johnson	F	94	6.50	—	—	1	21	17%	1	—	—
Adam Wharton	M	49	6.60	—	—	—	20	17%	1	—	—
Chris Richards	D	18	6.50	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
Ismaïla Sarr	F	49	6.00	—	—	2	12	10%	—	—	—
Jean Philippe Mateta	F	29	6.30	—	—	1	6	3%	1	—	—
Tyrick Mitchell	D	49	6.90	—	—	—	21	16%	1	—	—