Premier League · Regular Season - 35 May 03, 2026 15:00 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Bournemouth

#3 · 0 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Crystal Palace

#8 · 0 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bournemouth

J. Lerma 10' (og)

E. J. Kroupi 32' (pen.)

Rayan (ast. D. Brooks) 77'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bournemouth a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Crystal Palace 20%). The final result was Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace. In 1 previous meetings, Bournemouth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Crystal Palace.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

6

5

Shots on target

1

2.26

Actual xG

0.78

1

Saves

3

49%

Possession

51%

7

Corners

1

17

Tackles

22

0

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

6'

J. Canvot

⚽J. Lerma (og)

10'

⚽E. J. Kroupi (pen.)

32'

38'

M. Lacroix

46'

A. Wharton / D. Kamada ↕

46'

I. Sarr / Y. Pino ↕

46'

T. Mitchell / D. Munoz ↕

65'

J. Mateta / J. S. Larsen ↕

↕ T. Adams / R. Christie

70'

↕ E. J. Kroupi / D. Brooks

70'

76'

C. Richards / C. Riad ↕

⚽Rayan · ast. D. Brooks

77'

↕ Evanilson / E. Unal

80'

↕ Rayan / A. Adli

86'

↕ M. Tavernier / B. Doak

86'

Pre-match prediction

56.49%

Bournemouth ←

23.3%

X

20.21%

Crystal

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bournemouth) 56.49% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Bournemouth

1.74

2.26

+0.52

Crystal

0.95

0.78

-0.17

Bournemouth dominated by xG (2.26 vs 0.78). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0
5	Brighton	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0
7	Coventry	0	0
8	Crystal Palace	0	0
9	Everton	0	0
10	Fulham	0	0
11	Hull City	0	0
12	Ipswich	0	0
13	Leeds	0	0
14	Liverpool	0	0
15	Manchester City	0	0
16	Manchester United	0	0
17	Newcastle	0	0
18	Nottingham Forest	0	0
19	Sunderland	0	0
20	Tottenham	0	0

Lineups

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

1 Đorđe Petrović G 6.90

3 Adrien Truffert D 6.60

5

D 8.20

23 James Hill D 7.50

20 Álex Jiménez D 7.20

12 Tyler Adams 69' M 6.90

8 Alex Scott M 7.00

16 Marcus Tavernier 86' M 6.60

22 E. Kroupi 1 ⚽ 70' M 6.90

37 Rayan 1 ⚽ 86' M 7.90

9 Evanilson 80' F 6.90

Bench

27 Alex Tóth M

7 D. Brooks 1 👟 24' M 6.90

10 R. Christie 25' M 6.50

Crystal Palace 3-4-3

1 Dean Henderson G 5.90

34 Chadi Riad 76' D 6.30

5 Maxence Lacroix D 6.50

23 Jaydee Canvot D 5.90

55

M 6.90

18 D. Kamada 45' M 6.50

8 J. Lerma 1 ⚽ M 6.20

2 D. Muñoz 45' M 6.30

10 Yeremy Pino 45' F 6.60

22 J. Strand Larsen 65' F 6.20

11 Brennan Johnson F 6.50

Bench

20 Adam Wharton 49' M 6.60

26 C. Richards 18' D 6.50

7 I. Sarr 49' F 6.00

14 Jean-Philippe Mateta 29' F 6.30

3 Tyrick Mitchell 49' D 6.90

Best on the pitch

D · Bournemouth

8.20

· 65 pass

Rayan

M · Bournemouth

7.90

1 ⚽

4 shots · 20 pass

James Hill

D · Bournemouth

7.50

· 56 pass

Álex Jiménez

D · Bournemouth

7.20

· 33 pass

Alex Scott

M · Bournemouth

7.00

1 shots · 47 pass

Tyrick Mitchell

D · Crystal

6.90

· 21 pass

Bournemouth — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Đorđe Petrović	G	94	6.90	—	—	—	18	15%	—	—	—
Adrien Truffert	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	35	31%	—	—	—
	D	94	8.20	—	—	—	65	50%	3	—	—
James Hill	D	94	7.50	—	—	—	56	37%	4	—	—
Álex Jiménez	D	94	7.20	—	—	—	33	29%	3	—	—
Tyler Adams	M	69	6.90	—	—	—	25	23%	—	—	—
Alex Scott	M	94	7.00	—	—	1	47	41%	2	—	—
Marcus Tavernier	M	86	6.60	—	—	1	25	24%	—	—	—
E. Kroupi	M	70	6.90	1	—	2	16	12%	1	—	—
Rayan	M	86	7.90	1	—	4	20	15%	2	—	—
Evanilson	F	80	6.90	—	—	2	16	12%	—	—	—
D. Brooks	M	24	6.90	—	1	—	3	2%	1	—	—
R. Christie	M	25	6.50	—	—	—	13	13%	1	—	—

Crystal Palace — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Dean Henderson	G	94	5.90	—	—	—	37	19%	—	—	—
Chadi Riad	D	76	6.30	—	—	—	40	34%	2	—	—
Maxence Lacroix	D	94	6.50	—	—	—	55	48%	2	1	—
Jaydee Canvot	D	94	5.90	—	—	—	38	32%	3	1	—
	M	94	6.90	—	—	—	25	17%	7	—	—
D. Kamada	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	18	17%	—	—	—
J. Lerma	M	94	6.20	1	—	—	43	31%	—	—	—
D. Muñoz	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	12%	3	—	—
Yeremy Pino	F	45	6.60	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
J. Strand Larsen	F	65	6.20	—	—	2	21	13%	1	—	—
Brennan Johnson	F	94	6.50	—	—	1	21	17%	1	—	—
Adam Wharton	M	49	6.60	—	—	—	20	17%	1	—	—
C. Richards	D	18	6.50	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
I. Sarr	F	49	6.00	—	—	2	12	10%	—	—	—
Jean-Philippe Mateta	F	29	6.30	—	—	1	6	3%	1	—	—
Tyrick Mitchell	D	49	6.90	—	—	—	21	16%	1	—	—