Premier League · Regular Season - 35 May 03, 2026 15:00 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Bournemouth

#15 · 3 pts

3 – 0

Final score

Crystal Palace

#16 · 3 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bournemouth

J. Lerma 10' (og)

E. J. Kroupi 32' (pen.)

Rayan (ast. D. Brooks) 77'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bournemouth a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Crystal Palace 20%). The final result was Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace. In 1 previous meetings, Bournemouth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Crystal Palace.

Match statistics

10

Total shots

6

5

Shots on target

1

2.26

Actual xG

0.78

1

Saves

3

49%

Possession

51%

7

Corners

1

17

Tackles

22

0

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

6'

J. Canvot

⚽J. Lerma (og)

10'

⚽E. J. Kroupi (pen.)

32'

38'

M. Lacroix

46'

A. Wharton / D. Kamada ↕

46'

I. Sarr / Y. Pino ↕

46'

T. Mitchell / D. Munoz ↕

65'

J. Mateta / J. S. Larsen ↕

↕ T. Adams / R. Christie

70'

↕ E. J. Kroupi / D. Brooks

70'

76'

C. Richards / C. Riad ↕

⚽Rayan · ast. D. Brooks

77'

↕ Evanilson / E. Unal

80'

↕ Rayan / A. Adli

86'

↕ M. Tavernier / B. Doak

86'

Pre-match prediction

56.49%

Bournemouth ←

23.3%

X

20.21%

Crystal

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bournemouth) 56.49% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Bournemouth

1.74

2.26

+0.52

Crystal

0.95

0.78

-0.17

Bournemouth dominated by xG (2.26 vs 0.78). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Arsenal	4	12
2	Manchester City	3	9
3	Hull City	4	8
4	Chelsea	4	7
5	Brentford	4	6
6	Liverpool	4	6
7	Everton	4	6
8	Ipswich	4	6
9	Newcastle	3	5
10	Leeds	3	5
11	Nottingham Forest	4	5
12	Brighton	3	4
13	Manchester United	3	4
14	Sunderland	4	4
15	Bournemouth	4	3
16	Crystal Palace	4	3
17	Tottenham	4	2
18	Fulham	4	1
19	Aston Villa	4	1
20	Coventry	3	0

Lineups

Bournemouth 4-2-3-1

1 Đ. Petrović G 6.90

3 A. Truffert D 6.60

5

D 8.20

23 J. Hill D 7.50

20 Álex Jiménez D 7.20

12 T. Adams 69' M 6.90

8 A. Scott M 7.00

16 M. Tavernier 86' M 6.60

22 E. Kroupi 1 ⚽ 70' M 6.90

37 Rayan 1 ⚽ 86' M 7.90

9 Evanilson 80' F 6.90

Bench

27 A. Tóth M

7 D. Brooks 1 👟 24' M 6.90

10 R. Christie 25' M 6.50

Crystal Palace 3-4-3

1 D. Henderson G 5.90

34 Chadi Riad 76' D 6.30

5 M. Lacroix D 6.50

23 J. Canvot D 5.90

55

M 6.90

18 D. Kamada 45' M 6.50

8 J. Lerma 1 ⚽ M 6.20

2 D. Muñoz 45' M 6.30

10 Yeremy Pino 45' F 6.60

22 J. Strand Larsen 65' F 6.20

11 B. Johnson F 6.50

Bench

20 A. Wharton 49' M 6.60

26 C. Richards 18' D 6.50

7 I. Sarr 49' F 6.00

14 Jean-Philippe Mateta 29' F 6.30

3 T. Mitchell 49' D 6.90

Best on the pitch

D · Bournemouth

8.20

· 65 pass

Rayan

M · Bournemouth

7.90

1 ⚽

4 shots · 20 pass

J. Hill

D · Bournemouth

7.50

· 56 pass

Álex Jiménez

D · Bournemouth

7.20

· 33 pass

A. Scott

M · Bournemouth

7.00

1 shots · 47 pass

T. Mitchell

D · Crystal

6.90

· 21 pass

Bournemouth — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Đ. Petrović	G	94	6.90	—	—	—	18	15%	—	—	—
A. Truffert	D	94	6.60	—	—	—	35	31%	—	—	—
	D	94	8.20	—	—	—	65	50%	3	—	—
J. Hill	D	94	7.50	—	—	—	56	37%	4	—	—
Álex Jiménez	D	94	7.20	—	—	—	33	29%	3	—	—
T. Adams	M	69	6.90	—	—	—	25	23%	—	—	—
A. Scott	M	94	7.00	—	—	1	47	41%	2	—	—
M. Tavernier	M	86	6.60	—	—	1	25	24%	—	—	—
E. Kroupi	M	70	6.90	1	—	2	16	12%	1	—	—
Rayan	M	86	7.90	1	—	4	20	15%	2	—	—
Evanilson	F	80	6.90	—	—	2	16	12%	—	—	—
D. Brooks	M	24	6.90	—	1	—	3	2%	1	—	—
R. Christie	M	25	6.50	—	—	—	13	13%	1	—	—

Crystal Palace — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Henderson	G	94	5.90	—	—	—	37	19%	—	—	—
Chadi Riad	D	76	6.30	—	—	—	40	34%	2	—	—
M. Lacroix	D	94	6.50	—	—	—	55	48%	2	1	—
J. Canvot	D	94	5.90	—	—	—	38	32%	3	1	—
	M	94	6.90	—	—	—	25	17%	7	—	—
D. Kamada	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	18	17%	—	—	—
J. Lerma	M	94	6.20	1	—	—	43	31%	—	—	—
D. Muñoz	M	45	6.30	—	—	—	13	12%	3	—	—
Yeremy Pino	F	45	6.60	—	—	—	17	13%	—	—	—
J. Strand Larsen	F	65	6.20	—	—	2	21	13%	1	—	—
B. Johnson	F	94	6.50	—	—	1	21	17%	1	—	—
A. Wharton	M	49	6.60	—	—	—	20	17%	1	—	—
C. Richards	D	18	6.50	—	—	—	11	10%	—	—	—
I. Sarr	F	49	6.00	—	—	2	12	10%	—	—	—
Jean-Philippe Mateta	F	29	6.30	—	—	1	6	3%	1	—	—
T. Mitchell	D	49	6.90	—	—	—	21	16%	1	—	—