Bournemouth - Genoa
Friendlies Clubs
August 04, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
36.45%
Win
Bournemouth
31.78%
Draw
31.78%
Win
Genoa
3.88
1.32
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.89%)
1X2 Result
1
36%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
64%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bournemouth a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Genoa. Expected goals are 3.9 for Bournemouth and 1.3 for Genoa (total 5.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.89% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
0L
1W
1D
0L
Averages per game
4.0
Goals
2.0
1.0
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Bournemouth
Genoa →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Bournemouth
Attack
100
Defence
75
Form
81
Genoa
Attack
50
Defence
62
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bournemouth vs Genoa?
The model gives Bournemouth a 36% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Genoa win.
How many goals are expected in Bournemouth vs Genoa?
Expected goals: Bournemouth 3.9, Genoa 1.3 (total 5.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Bournemouth vs Genoa?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.89%.