Skip to main content
← Europa League

Bournemouth - Hapoel Beer Sheva

Europa League January 28, 2027 21:00
Bournemouth
#3 · 9 pts
vs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
#30 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.28%
Win
Bournemouth
26.92%
Draw
31.8%
Win
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.23
Expected xG
1.69

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.23%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 41%
X 27%
2 32%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 68%
X2 59%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 65%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bournemouth a 41% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Beer Sheva. Expected goals are 2.2 for Bournemouth and 1.7 for Hapoel Beer Sheva (total 3.9), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.23% probability.

Season Stats

Bournemouth
3W 0D 0L
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0W 3D 2L
Averages per game
2.7
Goals
0.2
0.3
Conceded
1.2
6.0
Shots OT
3.3
5.3
Corners
2.3
57%
Poss.
46%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
40%
100%
O 2.5
40%
33%
BTTS
20%
67%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
17%
O 3.5
17%
BTTS
Bournemouth
2W 0D 0L · at home
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0W 1D 2L · away
3.0
gls/g
0.3
0.0
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
33%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
33%
0%
BTTS
33%
100%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bournemouth Hapoel Beer Sheva →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0% 3.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.4% 7.5% 6.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.2% 5.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

Bournemouth Bournemouth
W AC Milan 3–0
W Sturm Graz 3–0
W Real Sociedad 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 56%
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
L Union St. Gilloise 4–0
L AZ Alkmaar 2–1
D Dinamo Zagreb 0–0
D Levski Sofia 0–0
D Levski Sofia 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Bournemouth Bournemouth
Attack
58
Defence
75
Form
72
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
Attack
41
Defence
61
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
The model gives Bournemouth a 41% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 31% for an Hapoel Beer Sheva win.
How many goals are expected in Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Expected goals: Bournemouth 2.2, Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.7 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Bournemouth vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.23%.