EFL Cup
· Round of 32
September 08, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction Bournemouth
Ryan Christie
(ast. Ben Gannon-Doak)
7'
Ryan Christie
(ast. David Brooks)
69'
Ryan Christie
(ast. Bafode Diakite)
88'
Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha
(ast. Daniel Jebbison)
90'+4
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bournemouth a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Lincoln 21%). The final result was Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln.
Match statistics
36
Total shots
2
8
Shots on target
1
1
Saves
4
60%
Possession
40%
10
Corners
0
14
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Ryan Christie
· ast. Ben Gannon-Doak
7'
27'
Callum Elder
Justin Kluivert
41'
48'
Dom Jefferies
58'
Robert Nicholas Street
/
Mikkel Ladefoged
58'
Andrei Coubiș
/
Joshua Honohan
Antonio Silva
61'
Justin Kluivert
/ Alex Tóth
62'
67'
Daniel Oyegoke
⚽Ryan Christie
· ast. David Brooks
69'
73'
Ben House
/
Daniel Oyegoke
73'
Sonny Bradley
/
Callum Elder
73'
Deji Elerewe
/
Yunus Konak
Álvaro Rodríguez
/ Daniel Jebbison
78'
David Brooks
/ Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha
78'
Ben Gannon-Doak
/ Marcus Tavernier
78'
Antonio Silva
/ Juanlu Sánchez
82'
⚽Ryan Christie
· ast. Bafode Diakite
88'
⚽Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha
· ast. Daniel Jebbison
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
57.34%
Bournemouth ←
21.22%
X
21.44%
Lincoln
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bournemouth)
57.34%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
4.27
—
—
2.06
—
—
Lineups
20
M. Di Gregorio
G
M. Di Gregorio
G
6
J. Soler
D
J. Soler
D
14
António Silva
82'
D
António Silva
82'
D
18
B. Diakité
1 👟
D
B. Diakité
1 👟
D
5
J. Hill
D
J. Hill
D
10
R. Christie
3 ⚽
M
R. Christie
3 ⚽
M
4
L. Cook
M
L. Cook
M
11
B. Doak
1 👟
78'
M
B. Doak
1 👟
78'
M
19
J. Kluivert
62'
M
J. Kluivert
62'
M
7
D. Brooks
1 👟
78'
M
D. Brooks
1 👟
78'
M
30
Á. Rodríguez
78'
F
Á. Rodríguez
78'
F
Bench
8
A. Scott
M
A. Scott
M
27
A. Tóth
28'
M
A. Tóth
28'
M
3
A. Truffert
D
A. Truffert
D
29
D. Jebbison
1 👟
12'
F
D. Jebbison
1 👟
12'
F
1
Đ. Petrović
G
Đ. Petrović
G
24
Juanlu Sánchez
8'
M
Juanlu Sánchez
8'
M
16
M. Tavernier
12'
M
M. Tavernier
12'
M
37
Rayan
1 ⚽
12'
F
Rayan
1 ⚽
12'
F
12
T. Adams
M
T. Adams
M
46
J. Gauci
G
J. Gauci
G
20
C. Elder
73'
D
C. Elder
73'
D
6
R. Towler
D
R. Towler
D
33
D. Oyegoke
73'
D
D. Oyegoke
73'
D
16
D. Jefferies
D
D. Jefferies
D
23
J. Honohan
58'
M
J. Honohan
58'
M
26
Y. Konak
73'
M
Y. Konak
73'
M
8
T. Bayliss
M
T. Bayliss
M
27
C. Ogbene
M
C. Ogbene
M
7
R. Hackett
F
R. Hackett
F
11
M. Ladefoged
58'
F
M. Ladefoged
58'
F
Bench
4
A. Coubiș
32'
D
A. Coubiș
32'
D
18
B. House
17'
F
B. House
17'
F
25
D. Elerewe
17'
D
D. Elerewe
17'
D
29
E. Wheatley
F
E. Wheatley
F
1
G. Wickens
G
G. Wickens
G
19
I. Olaofe
F
I. Olaofe
F
24
I. Varfolomeev
M
I. Varfolomeev
M
17
R. Street
32'
F
R. Street
32'
F
15
S. Bradley
17'
D
S. Bradley
17'
D
Best on the pitch
R. Christie
M · Bournemouth
9.73
3 ⚽
7 shots
· 71 pass
Rayan
F · Bournemouth
7.73
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
B. Doak
M · Bournemouth
7.70
1 👟
4 shots
· 35 pass
D. Brooks
M · Bournemouth
7.60
1 👟
1 shots
· 44 pass
B. Diakité
D · Bournemouth
7.42
1 👟
1 shots
· 61 pass
J. Hill
D · Bournemouth
7.36
4 shots
· 76 pass
Bournemouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Di Gregorio | G | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Soler | D | 90 | 7.16 | — | — | 2 | 52 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| António Silva | D | 82 | 7.05 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 67% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Diakité | D | 90 | 7.42 | — | 1 | 1 | 61 | 58% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Hill | D | 90 | 7.36 | — | — | 4 | 76 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Christie | M | 90 | 9.73 | 3 | — | 7 | 71 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Cook | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 80 | 72% | 3 | — | — |
| B. Doak | M | 78 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 4 | 35 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Kluivert | M | 62 | 6.45 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 20% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Brooks | M | 78 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 44 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Á. Rodríguez | F | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | 5 | 19 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Tóth | M | 28 | 6.84 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Jebbison | F | 12 | 6.93 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Tavernier | M | 12 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Rayan | F | 12 | 7.73 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Lincoln — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gauci | G | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Elder | D | 73 | 5.37 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Towler | D | 90 | 5.69 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Oyegoke | D | 73 | 5.19 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Jefferies | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Honohan | M | 58 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Konak | M | 73 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Bayliss | M | 90 | 5.76 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Ogbene | M | 90 | 5.44 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Hackett | F | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ladefoged | F | 58 | 6.82 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Coubiș | D | 32 | 5.87 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| B. House | F | 17 | 6.31 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Elerewe | D | 17 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Street | F | 32 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Bradley | D | 17 | 5.68 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Lincoln?
The final score was Bournemouth 4–0 Lincoln.
What did the model predict before Bournemouth vs Lincoln?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Bournemouth win, 21% to a draw, and 21% to an Lincoln win.