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Premier League · Regular Season - 37 May 19, 2026 20:30 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Bournemouth
#15 · 3 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Manchester City
#2 · 9 pts
E. J. Kroupi (ast. A. Truffert) 39'
90'+5 E. Haaland
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 46% win probability (draw 20%, Bournemouth 33%). The final result was Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City. In 2 previous meetings, Bournemouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Manchester City.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
5
1.99
Actual xG
1.68
3
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
6
18
Tackles
5
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
T. Adams
37'
⚽E. J. Kroupi · ast. A. Truffert
39'
56'
R. Cherki / B. Silva ↕
56'
P. Foden / M. Kovacic ↕
56'
Savinho / A. Semenyo ↕
J. Hill
59'
↕ E. J. Kroupi / J. Kluivert
76'
76'
O. Marmoush / J. Doku ↕
↕ Rayan / D. Brooks
84'
↕ Evanilson / E. Unal
89'
J. Kluivert
90'+3
90'+3
Rodri
90'+5
E. Haaland⚽
A. Truffert
90'+6
↕ A. Smith / L. Cook
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.2%
Bournemouth
20.57%
X ←
46.23%
Manchester
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.57% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bournemouth
1.85
1.99
+0.14
Manchester
2.02
1.68
-0.34
Bournemouth dominated by xG (1.99 vs 1.68). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Arsenal Arsenal 4 12
2 Manchester City Manchester City 3 9
3 Hull City Hull City 4 8
4 Chelsea Chelsea 4 7
5 Brentford Brentford 4 6
6 Liverpool Liverpool 4 6
7 Everton Everton 4 6
8 Ipswich Ipswich 4 6
9 Newcastle Newcastle 3 5
10 Leeds Leeds 3 5
11 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 4 5
12 Brighton Brighton 3 4
13 Manchester United Manchester United 3 4
14 Sunderland Sunderland 4 4
15 Bournemouth Bournemouth 4 3
16 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 4 3
17 Tottenham Tottenham 4 2
18 Fulham Fulham 4 1
19 Aston Villa Aston Villa 4 1
20 Coventry Coventry 3 0
Lineups
Bournemouth Bournemouth 4-2-3-1
1 Đ. Petrović Đ. Petrović G 7.30
3 A. Truffert A. Truffert 1 👟 D 7.50
5 M. Senesi M. Senesi D 7.70
23 J. Hill J. Hill D 6.90
15 A. Smith A. Smith 89' D 6.90
12 T. Adams T. Adams M 6.90
8 A. Scott A. Scott M 7.70
16 M. Tavernier M. Tavernier M 7.60
22 E. Kroupi E. Kroupi 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.60
37 Rayan Rayan 84' M 6.60
9 Evanilson Evanilson 89' F 7.30
Bench
21 Amine Adli Amine Adli F
27 A. Tóth A. Tóth M
18 B. Diakité B. Diakité D
11 B. Doak B. Doak F
29 Christos Mandas Christos Mandas G
7 D. Brooks D. Brooks 13' M 6.50
26 E. Ünal E. Ünal 8' F 6.90
19 J. Kluivert J. Kluivert 14' F 6.20
4 L. Cook L. Cook 1' M
Manchester City Manchester City 4-1-4-1
25 G. Donnarumma G. Donnarumma G 6.90
33 N. O'Reilly N. O'Reilly D 6.20
15 M. Guéhi M. Guéhi D 6.60
45 A. Khusanov A. Khusanov D 7.00
27 Matheus Nunes Matheus Nunes D 6.90
16 Rodri Rodri M 7.70
11 J. Doku J. Doku 76' M 6.90
8 M. Kovačić M. Kovačić 56' M 6.60
20 Bernardo Silva Bernardo Silva 56' M 6.30
42 A. Semenyo A. Semenyo 56' M 6.50
9 E. Haaland E. Haaland 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
24 J. Gvardiol J. Gvardiol D
5 J. Stones J. Stones D
1 J. Trafford J. Trafford G
7 Omar Marmoush Omar Marmoush 14' F 6.60
47 P. Foden P. Foden 34' M 6.90
10 R. Cherki R. Cherki 34' M 6.60
3 Rúben Dias Rúben Dias D
26 Sávio Sávio 34' F 7.20
4 T. Reijnders T. Reijnders M
Best on the pitch
M. Senesi
M. Senesi
D · Bournemouth
7.70
· 67 pass
Rodri
Rodri
M · Manchester
7.70
3 shots · 87 pass
A. Scott
A. Scott
M · Bournemouth
7.70
· 44 pass
M. Tavernier
M. Tavernier
M · Bournemouth
7.60
· 46 pass
E. Kroupi
E. Kroupi
M · Bournemouth
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 32 pass
A. Truffert
A. Truffert
D · Bournemouth
7.50
1 👟
· 39 pass
Bournemouth Bournemouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Đ. Petrović G 90 7.30 — — — 33 20% — — —
A. Truffert D 90 7.50 — 1 — 39 32% 4 1 —
M. Senesi D 90 7.70 — — — 67 54% 1 — —
J. Hill D 90 6.90 — — — 42 34% 1 1 —
A. Smith D 89 6.90 — — — 28 22% 1 — —
T. Adams M 90 6.90 — — — 39 34% 4 1 —
A. Scott M 90 7.70 — — — 44 38% 2 — —
M. Tavernier M 90 7.60 — — — 46 40% 2 — —
E. Kroupi M 76 7.60 1 — 2 32 26% — — —
Rayan M 84 6.60 — — 1 25 19% 1 — —
Evanilson F 89 7.30 — — 2 19 17% 1 — —
D. Brooks M 13 6.50 — — 2 4 2% 1 — —
E. Ünal F 8 6.90 — — — 4 2% — — —
J. Kluivert F 14 6.20 — — — 6 4% — 1 —
L. Cook M 1 — — — — 3 2% — — —
Manchester City Manchester City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Donnarumma G 90 6.90 — — — 20 16% — — —
N. O'Reilly D 90 6.20 — — 1 47 39% — — —
M. Guéhi D 90 6.60 — — — 51 47% 1 — —
A. Khusanov D 90 7.00 — — 1 82 74% 1 — —
Matheus Nunes D 90 6.90 — — — 55 51% 1 — —
Rodri M 90 7.70 — — 3 87 76% 2 1 —
J. Doku M 76 6.90 — — 1 21 16% — — —
M. Kovačić M 56 6.60 — — — 46 40% — — —
Bernardo Silva M 56 6.30 — — — 45 39% — — —
A. Semenyo M 56 6.50 — — 1 22 17% — — —
E. Haaland F 90 7.20 1 — 1 15 13% — — —
Omar Marmoush F 14 6.60 — — — 2 1% — — —
P. Foden M 34 6.90 — — — 15 13% — — —
R. Cherki M 34 6.60 — — — 10 10% — — —
Sávio F 34 7.20 — — — 9 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
The final score was Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City.
What did the model predict before Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Bournemouth win, 20% to a draw, and 46% to an Manchester City win.