E. J. Kroupi
(ast. A. Truffert)
39'
90'+5
E. Haaland
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Manchester City a 46% win probability (draw 20%, Bournemouth 33%). The final result was Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City. In 1 previous meetings, Bournemouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Manchester City.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
5
1.99
Actual xG
1.68
3
Saves
2
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
6
18
Tackles
5
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
T. Adams
37'
⚽E. J. Kroupi
· ast. A. Truffert
39'
56'
R. Cherki
/
B. Silva
56'
P. Foden
/
M. Kovacic
56'
Savinho
/
A. Semenyo
J. Hill
59'
E. J. Kroupi
/ J. Kluivert
76'
76'
O. Marmoush
/
J. Doku
Rayan
/ D. Brooks
84'
Evanilson
/ E. Unal
89'
J. Kluivert
90'+3
90'+3
Rodri
90'+5
E. Haaland⚽
A. Truffert
90'+6
A. Smith
/ L. Cook
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.2%
Bournemouth
20.57%
X ←
46.23%
Manchester
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.85
1.99
+0.14
2.02
1.68
-0.34
Bournemouth dominated by xG (1.99 vs 1.68).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Đorđe Petrović
G
Đorđe Petrović
G
3
Adrien Truffert
1 👟
D
Adrien Truffert
1 👟
D
5
M. Senesi
D
M. Senesi
D
23
James Hill
D
James Hill
D
15
Adam Smith
89'
D
Adam Smith
89'
D
12
Tyler Adams
M
Tyler Adams
M
8
Alex Scott
M
Alex Scott
M
16
Marcus Tavernier
M
Marcus Tavernier
M
22
E. Kroupi
1 ⚽
76'
M
E. Kroupi
1 ⚽
76'
M
37
Rayan
84'
M
Rayan
84'
M
9
Evanilson
89'
F
Evanilson
89'
F
Bench
27
Alex Tóth
M
Alex Tóth
M
21
Amine Adli
F
Amine Adli
F
18
Bafodé Diakité
D
Bafodé Diakité
D
11
Ben Gannon-Doak
F
Ben Gannon-Doak
F
29
Christos Mandas
G
Christos Mandas
G
7
D. Brooks
13'
M
D. Brooks
13'
M
26
Enes Ünal
8'
F
Enes Ünal
8'
F
19
Justin Kluivert
14'
F
Justin Kluivert
14'
F
4
Lewis Cook
1'
M
Lewis Cook
1'
M
25
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G
Gianluigi Donnarumma
G
33
Nico O'Reilly
D
Nico O'Reilly
D
15
M. Guéhi
D
M. Guéhi
D
45
A. Khusanov
D
A. Khusanov
D
27
Matheus Nunes
D
Matheus Nunes
D
16
Rodri
M
Rodri
M
11
J. Doku
76'
M
J. Doku
76'
M
8
Mateo Kovačić
56'
M
Mateo Kovačić
56'
M
20
Bernardo Silva
56'
M
Bernardo Silva
56'
M
42
A. Semenyo
56'
M
A. Semenyo
56'
M
9
E. Haaland
1 ⚽
F
E. Haaland
1 ⚽
F
Bench
1
James Trafford
G
James Trafford
G
5
John Stones
D
John Stones
D
24
Joško Gvardiol
D
Joško Gvardiol
D
7
Omar Marmoush
14'
F
Omar Marmoush
14'
F
47
P. Foden
34'
M
P. Foden
34'
M
10
R. Cherki
34'
M
R. Cherki
34'
M
3
Rúben Dias
D
Rúben Dias
D
26
Savinho
34'
F
Savinho
34'
F
4
T. Reijnders
M
T. Reijnders
M
Best on the pitch
M. Senesi
D · Bournemouth
7.70
· 67 pass
Rodri
M · Manchester
7.70
3 shots
· 87 pass
Alex Scott
M · Bournemouth
7.70
· 44 pass
Marcus Tavernier
M · Bournemouth
7.60
· 46 pass
E. Kroupi
M · Bournemouth
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 32 pass
Adrien Truffert
D · Bournemouth
7.50
1 👟
· 39 pass
Bournemouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Đorđe Petrović | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Adrien Truffert | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 32% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M. Senesi | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 67 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| James Hill | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Adam Smith | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Tyler Adams | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Alex Scott | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcus Tavernier | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Kroupi | M | 76 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Rayan | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Evanilson | F | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Brooks | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Enes Ünal | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Justin Kluivert | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Lewis Cook | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Manchester City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Nico O'Reilly | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | — | — | — |
| M. Guéhi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Khusanov | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 74% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Nunes | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodri | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 3 | 87 | 76% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Doku | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Kovačić | M | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | — | — | — |
| A. Semenyo | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| E. Haaland | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| P. Foden | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| R. Cherki | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Savinho | F | 34 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
The final score was Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City.
What did the model predict before Bournemouth vs Manchester City?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Bournemouth win, 20% to a draw, and 46% to an Manchester City win.